Toronto Marlies vs Belleville Senators prediction
Chance to win · 49% and 30% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2LostTorontoodds down 2.32Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.33Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonBelleville +1.5odds up 1.29Confidence 65%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostTorontoodds down 1.85Confidence 62%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceLostToronto or drawodds down 1.47Confidence 71%
- Draw no betLostTorontoodds down 1.82Confidence 63%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.07Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostTorontoodds down 2.70Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.77Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Toronto 3–2
Belleville Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min2–43%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–18%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (3%), 4-3 (3%), 5-4 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formToronto Marlies
Belleville Senators
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Toronto 3–2
Belleville - Nov 1, 2026: Belleville Senators 4, Toronto Marlies 1.
- Oct 17, 2026: Belleville Senators 4, Toronto Marlies 5, after overtime.
- Jan 10, 2026: Belleville Senators 6, Toronto Marlies 3.
- Jan 9, 2026: Toronto Marlies 6, Belleville Senators 1.
- Dec 26, 2025: Toronto Marlies 3, Belleville Senators 2.
Last five games
Toronto
4-1-0 - Win, 5–4 at Belleville Senators, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: Belleville 2.62, Toronto 2.14.
- Win, 5–2 at Hamilton Hammers, Oct 11. Odds: Hamilton 2.47, Toronto 2.27.
- Win, 5–4 at Hamilton Hammers, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: Hamilton 2.55, Toronto 2.25.
- Win, 5–3 against Hamilton Hammers, Oct 3.
- Loss, 1–3 at Rochester Americans, Oct 2.
Belleville
2-1-2 - Overtime loss, 4–5 against Toronto Marlies, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: Belleville 2.62, Toronto 2.14.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 against Laval Rocket, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Belleville 2.42, Laval 2.15.
- Loss, 2–4 against Utica Comets, Oct 11. Odds: Belleville 2.03, Utica 2.94.
- Win, 3–2 at Syracuse Crunch, Oct 10.
- Win, 3–2 against Rochester Americans, after a shootout, Oct 4.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 08:03 Goal Belleville Senators: Blais S. assists: Stanley H. 0-1
2nd period1-1
- 09:06 Goal Belleville Senators: Tomasino P. assists: Suzuki R., Hamara T. 0-2
- 10:50 Goal Toronto Marlies: Borgesi V. assists: Raty A. 1-2
3rd period1-2
- 18:36 Goal ENG Belleville Senators: Boucher T. assists: Bakke Olsen E., Bowers S. 1-3
- 19:12 Goal Toronto Marlies: Brisson B. assists: Borgesi V., Shaw L. 2-3
- 19:18 Goal Belleville Senators: Harrington S. assists: Toure D., Daoust P. 2-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Toronto Marlies and Belleville Senators played yesterday.
- 4-game winning streak for Toronto Marlies coming into this game.
- 3-game losing streak for Belleville Senators coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Toronto Marlies dropped from 1.85 to 1.66 since they were first published.
- Goal differential gap of 2.2 per game — Toronto Marlies +0.8, Belleville Senators −1.4 over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (TOR) | 2.00 | 2.00 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.70 | 3.70 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (BEL) | 2.62 | 2.62 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6 | 6 | No change |
| Handicap TOR | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · North Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Laval Rocket |
14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 21 | .750 | 53 | 30 | +23 |
| 2 |  Utica Comets |
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 18 | .818 | 35 | 24 | +11 |
| 3 | Toronto Marlies |
14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17 | .607 | 44 | 41 | +3 |
| 4 | Belleville Senators |
14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 16 | .571 | 44 | 43 | +1 |
| 5 |  Rochester Americans |
13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 15 | .577 | 42 | 32 | +10 |
| 6 |  Syracuse Crunch |
12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 12 | .500 | 35 | 39 | −4 |
| 7 |  Cleveland Monsters |
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 12 | .462 | 40 | 50 | −10 |
| 8 | Hamilton Hammers | 15 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 10 | .333 | 41 | 61 | −20 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Toronto Marlies host Belleville Senators in the AHL on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.