Toronto Marlies vs Rockford IceHogs prediction
Chance to win · 53% and 26% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2LostTorontoodds down 2.12Confidence 54%
- Over/UnderLostO4.51.42Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonRockford +1.5odds up 1.34Confidence 59%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostTorontoodds down 1.70Confidence 66%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonToronto or drawodds down 1.40Confidence 75%
- Draw no betPushTorontoodds down 1.70Confidence 69%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.09Confidence 87%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostTorontoodds down 2.65Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.87Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; the odds drifted 11% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Toronto 3–2
Rockford Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min2–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–28%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 3 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formToronto Marlies
Rockford IceHogs
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Toronto 0–1
Rockford - Oct 25, 2026: Toronto Marlies 0, Rockford IceHogs 3.
Last five games
Toronto
4-1-0 - Win, 4–1 against Hamilton Hammers, Oct 21. Odds: Toronto 2.20, Hamilton 2.50.
- Loss, 2–4 against Belleville Senators, Oct 18. Odds: Toronto 2.00, Belleville 2.62.
- Win, 5–4 at Belleville Senators, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: Belleville 2.62, Toronto 2.14.
- Win, 5–2 at Hamilton Hammers, Oct 11. Odds: Hamilton 2.47, Toronto 2.27.
- Win, 5–4 at Hamilton Hammers, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: Hamilton 2.55, Toronto 2.25.
Rockford
1-4-0 - Loss, 1–5 at Grand Rapids Griffins, Oct 18. Odds: Grand Rapids 2.15, Rockford 2.45.
- Loss, 2–4 against Grand Rapids Griffins, Oct 17. Odds: Rockford 2.45, Grand Rapids 2.15.
- Loss, 0–2 against Iowa Wild, Oct 16. Odds: Rockford 2.42, Iowa 2.10.
- Loss, 3–4 at Iowa Wild, Oct 10. Odds: Iowa 2.62, Rockford 2.15.
- Win, 2–1 at Iowa Wild, Oct 9. Odds: Iowa 2.65, Rockford 2.15.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-2
- 04:56 Goal PPG Rockford IceHogs: Hayes G. assists: Lardis N., Toninato D. 0-1
- 10:35 Goal Rockford IceHogs: Pouliot D. assists: Lardis N., Felcman J. 0-2
- 18:48 Goal PPG Toronto Marlies: Shaw L. assists: Brisson B., Borgesi V. 1-2
2nd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
3rd period1-0
- 19:31 Goal PPG Toronto Marlies: Haymes L. assists: Brisson B., Shaw L. 2-2
Overtime0-1
- 00:52 Goal Rockford IceHogs: Slaggert L. assists: Hayes G., Mackey C. 2-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Rockford IceHogs coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Rockford IceHogs, 2 for Toronto Marlies.
- Goal differential gap of 2.2 per game — Toronto Marlies +0.4, Rockford IceHogs −1.8 over their recent games.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Toronto Marlies.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (TOR) | 2.10 | 2.10 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.30 | 4.30 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (ROC) | 2.71 | 2.71 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap TOR | +0.5 | −0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · North Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Laval Rocket |
14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 21 | .750 | 53 | 30 | +23 |
| 2 |  Utica Comets |
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 18 | .818 | 35 | 24 | +11 |
| 3 | Toronto Marlies |
14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17 | .607 | 44 | 41 | +3 |
| 4 |  Belleville Senators |
14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 16 | .571 | 44 | 43 | +1 |
| 5 |  Rochester Americans |
13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 15 | .577 | 42 | 32 | +10 |
| 6 |  Syracuse Crunch |
12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 12 | .500 | 35 | 39 | −4 |
| 7 |  Cleveland Monsters |
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 12 | .462 | 40 | 50 | −10 |
| 8 | Hamilton Hammers | 15 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 10 | .333 | 41 | 61 | −20 |
Regular Season · Central Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Grand Rapids Griffins |
14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 22 | .786 | 56 | 35 | +21 |
| 2 |  Manitoba Moose |
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 22 | .733 | 56 | 38 | +18 |
| 3 |  Milwaukee Admirals |
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 16 | .615 | 33 | 28 | +5 |
| 4 |  Iowa Wild |
16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 15 | .469 | 42 | 47 | −5 |
| 5 |  Chicago Wolves |
13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 13 | .500 | 36 | 46 | −10 |
| 6 | Rockford IceHogs |
13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 11 | .423 | 33 | 43 | −10 |
| 7 |  Texas Stars |
14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 9 | .321 | 40 | 60 | −20 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Toronto Marlies host Rockford IceHogs in the AHL on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.