Torun vs Krakow prediction
Chance to win · 65% and 19% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 74%Full game
- 1X2WonTorun1.43Confidence 68%
- Over/UnderLostU7.5odds down 1.39Confidence 72%
- HandicapWonTorun -0.5odds down 1.43Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonTorunodds up 1.24Confidence 77%
- Double chanceWonTorun or drawodds up 1.14Confidence 82%
- Banker of the day: Draw no betWonTorun1.19Confidence 93%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.08Confidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonTorun1.91Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5Confidence 76%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The banker is the day’s best bet at short odds, not its surest result. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min7–16%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period2–020%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 5 goals31%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 1-0, 2-1, 1-0
- Likeliest 4-1 (6%), 4-2 (5%), 5-2 (5%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 19+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Sep 25, 2026: Krakow 3, Torun 5.
- Jan 30, 2026: Krakow 2, Torun 1.
- Dec 17, 2025: Krakow 5, Torun 4.
- Nov 14, 2025: Torun 4, Krakow 0.
- Oct 10, 2025: Krakow 2, Torun 5.
Last five games
- Win, 4–3 at Bytom, Oct 20. Odds: Bytom 1.70, Torun 2.92.
- Win, 11–0 against MMKS Podhale, Oct 18. Odds: Torun 1.01, Podhale 17.00.
- Loss, 0–1 at Jastrzebie, Oct 16. Odds: Jastrzebie 2.18, Torun 2.15.
- Win, 3–2 against Unia Oswiecim, after overtime, Oct 11.
- Loss, 2–6 at Zaglebie Sosnowiec, Oct 9. Odds: Zaglebie 1.65, Torun 3.55.
- Win, 5–2 against Jastrzebie, Oct 20. Odds: Krakow 2.92, Jastrzebie 1.70.
- Loss, 2–3 at Unia Oswiecim, Oct 18. Odds: Unia Oswiecim 1.47, Krakow 4.70.
- Win, 3–2 against Zaglebie Sosnowiec, after a shootout, Oct 16. Odds: Krakow 5.31, Zaglebie 1.44.
- Win, 4–2 against Katowice, Oct 11.
- Win, 2–1 at Tychy, Oct 9. Odds: Tychy 1.26, Krakow 7.00.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-0
- 10:59 Goal PPG Torun: Kolesnikov V. assists: Deniskin A., Syty N. 1-0
- 16:16 Goal Torun: Niemi E. assists: Arrak R., Peltola S. 2-0
2nd period0-1
- 12' Goal Krakow: Airo J. assists: Berzins D. 2-1
3rd period5-0
- 00:55 Goal Torun: Schafer E. assists: Syty N., Deniskin A. 3-1
- 04:24 Goal Torun: Niemi E. assists: Peltola S. 4-1
- 07:28 Goal SHG Torun: Smal I. assists: Larionovs D. 5-1
- 09:24 Goal Torun: Arrak R. assists: Niemi E. 6-1
- 10:20 Goal Torun: Larionovs D. assists: Wilczok W., Jaworski A. 7-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- In goal: Kalmykov R. for Torun (8-2-0 in the last 10 starts), Lipiainen S. for Krakow (5-5-0 in the last 10 starts).
- 5-1-0 at home for Torun this season.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Torun.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Krakow.
- 6.2 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (TOR) | 1.40 | 1.40 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.90 | 4.90 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (KRA) | 5.30 | 5.30 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6 | Line lowered |
| Handicap TOR | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Polish Hockey League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 39 | 1.219 | 75 | 29 | +46 | |
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 34 | .895 | 81 | 46 | +35 | |
| 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 33 | .971 | 73 | 38 | +35 | |
| 4 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 32 | 1.000 | 68 | 40 | +28 | |
| 5 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 31 | .969 | 73 | 40 | +33 | |
| 6 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | .933 | 63 | 49 | +14 | |
| 7 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 23 | .676 | 47 | 61 | −14 | |
| 8 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 20 | .625 | 30 | 44 | −14 | |
| 9 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 6 | .188 | 23 | 70 | −47 | |
| 10 | 16 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 20 | 136 | −116 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Torun host Krakow in the Polish Hockey League on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.