Torun vs MMKS Podhale prediction
Chance to win · 97% and 1% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 77%Full game
- 1X2WonTorun1.01Confidence 86%
- Over/UnderWonU11.51.26Confidence 77%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostPodhale +6.51.87Confidence 62%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonTorun1.01Confidence 87%
- Double chanceWonTorun or drawConfidence 89%
- Draw no betWonTorunConfidence 89%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesConfidence 81%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonTorunodds up 1.21Confidence 65%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.51.70Confidence 57%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost7–1After 60 min11–05%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–019%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 6 goals34%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 7-1
- By period 2-0, 3-1, 2-0
- Likeliest 7-1 (5%), 6-1 (5%), 5-1 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 10+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Sep 18, 2026: MMKS Podhale 2, Torun 7.
- Jan 31, 2025: MMKS Podhale 2, Torun 7.
- Dec 5, 2024: Torun 7, MMKS Podhale 0.
- Oct 11, 2024: MMKS Podhale 2, Torun 9.
- Sep 15, 2024: Torun 5, MMKS Podhale 3.
Last five games
- Loss, 0–1 at Jastrzebie, Oct 16. Odds: Jastrzebie 2.18, Torun 2.15.
- Win, 3–2 against Unia Oswiecim, after overtime, Oct 11.
- Loss, 2–6 at Zaglebie Sosnowiec, Oct 9. Odds: Zaglebie 1.65, Torun 3.55.
- Loss, 0–7 against Katowice, Oct 4.
- Win, 4–1 at Tychy, Oct 2.
- Loss, 2–12 against Tychy, Oct 16. Odds: Podhale 30.00, Tychy –.
- Loss, 0–5 at Jastrzebie, Oct 11.
- Loss, 0–3 against Sanok, Oct 9. Odds: Podhale 32.00, Sanok 1.02.
- Loss, 0–8 at Unia Oswiecim, Oct 4.
- Loss, 3–4 against Krakow, Oct 2.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 01:01 Goal Torun: Kolesnikov V. assists: Arrak R., Deniskin A. 1-0
2nd period6-0
- 01:35 Goal Torun: Arrak R. assists: Peltola S., Niemi E. 2-0
- 02:18 Goal Torun: Hanzawa C. assists: Napiorkowski P., Jaworski A. 3-0
- 03:55 Goal Torun: Syty N. assists: Deniskin A., Kolesnikov V. 4-0
- 05:21 Goal Torun: Larionovs D. assists: Zielinski M. 5-0
- 09:59 Goal Torun: Tapio M. assists: Schafer E., Smal I. 6-0
- 16:13 Goal PPG Torun: Syty N. assists: Tapio M., Kolesnikov V. 7-0
3rd period4-0
- 02:43 Goal Torun: Napiorkowski P. assists: Hanzawa C., Wilczok W. 8-0
- 10:52 Goal PPG Torun: Smal I. assists: Deniskin A., Syty N. 9-0
- 16:31 Goal PPG Torun: Deniskin A. assists: Kolesnikov V., Tapio M. 10-0
- 18:31 Goal PPG Torun: Deniskin A. assists: Syty N., Smal I. 11-0
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 10+ straight losses for MMKS Podhale coming into this game.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Torun.
- In goal: Studzinski M. for Torun (7-1-2 in the last 10 starts), Zajac K. for MMKS Podhale (0-4-0 in the last 4 starts).
- 4-1-0 at home for Torun this season.
- Goal differential gap of 7.8 per game — Torun +1.1, MMKS Podhale −6.7 over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (TOR) | 1.01 | 1.01 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 14.00 | 14.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (MMK) | 17.00 | 17.00 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 9.5 | 9.5 | No change |
| Handicap TOR | −6.5 | −6.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Polish Hockey League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 39 | 1.219 | 75 | 29 | +46 | |
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 34 | .895 | 81 | 46 | +35 | |
| 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 33 | .971 | 73 | 38 | +35 | |
| 4 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 32 | 1.000 | 68 | 40 | +28 | |
| 5 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 31 | .969 | 73 | 40 | +33 | |
| 6 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | .933 | 63 | 49 | +14 | |
| 7 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 23 | .676 | 47 | 61 | −14 | |
| 8 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 20 | .625 | 30 | 44 | −14 | |
| 9 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 6 | .188 | 23 | 70 | −47 | |
| 10 | 16 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 20 | 136 | −116 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Torun host MMKS Podhale in the Polish Hockey League on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.