TPS Turku vs KalPa Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Won

U6.5 1.28

Confidence73%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%

Full game

1X2LostTPSodds down 1.97Confidence 51%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU6.5odds up 1.28Confidence 73%
HandicapWonKalPa +1.5odds up 1.42Confidence 70%
Winner (incl. OT)WonTPSodds up 1.58Confidence 51%
Double chanceWonTPS or draw1.32Confidence 66%
Draw no betPushTPSodds down 1.54Confidence 51%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.13Confidence 84%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostDraw2.55Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds up 1.18Confidence 79%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

TPS 21

KalPa

Final 3–2

Total goalsTotal 3 Actual 5

Draw after 60 minDraw 23% Went to overtime

TUR to winTo win 51% TUR won

Score details

Correct scoreLost2–1After 60 min2–24%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period0–122%chance
Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 2-1
By period 0-0, 1-0, 1-1
Likeliest 2-1 (4%), 3-2 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record10-7-28-9-1

Home / road split7-2-02-5-1

StreakW1L1

Rest9 days8 days

Goals for2.82.6

Goals against2.52.3

In the standings8th12th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+0.30.0

Goals for3.02.3

Goals against2.72.3

Shots on goal24.222.9

Shots against19.122.0

Shooting %12.4%10.0%

Save %85.9%90.5%

Power-play %18.8%20.7%

Penalty kill %81.5%84.8%

Faceoff %49.0%49.5%

Penalty minutes7.56.6

Blocked shots12.28.5

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

TPS 23

KalPa

KalPa won three of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 5.2 TUR 2.0 · KAL 3.2

Over 5.0 goalsOver 5.0 2 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 2 of 5 1 in overtime · 1 in a shootout

Feb 3, 2026: KalPa 7, TPS Turku 3.
Jan 27, 2026: TPS Turku 3, KalPa 2, after overtime.
Oct 10, 2025: KalPa 3, TPS Turku 4, after a shootout.
Sep 20, 2025: TPS Turku 0, KalPa 3.
Mar 12, 2025: KalPa 1, TPS Turku 0.

Last five games

TPS 2-2-1

Win, 2–1 against Pelicans, Oct 30. Odds: TPS 2.01, Pelicans 3.10.
Overtime loss, 4–5 at Kiekko-Espoo, after overtime, Oct 28. Odds: Kiekko-Espoo 2.20, TPS 2.65.
Loss, 1–3 against Lukko, Oct 24. Odds: TPS 1.91, Lukko 3.20.
Loss, 1–4 at Lukko, Oct 23. Odds: Lukko 2.20, TPS 2.65.
Win, 4–3 against Ilves, Oct 20. Odds: TPS 1.98, Ilves 2.77.

KalPa 3-2-0

Loss, 0–1 at Ilves, Oct 31. Odds: Ilves 1.81, KalPa 3.50.
Win, 4–1 against Jokerit, Oct 30. Odds: KalPa 2.25, Jokerit 2.50.
Win, 5–2 against Vaasan Sport, Oct 27. Odds: KalPa 1.91, Vaasan Sport 3.20.
Win, 5–1 at Karpat, Oct 24. Odds: Karpat 1.86, KalPa 3.30.
Loss, 2–5 at Karpat, Oct 23. Odds: Karpat 1.86, KalPa 3.50.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-1

01:10 Goal KalPa: Kapanen K. assists: Ruotsalainen V., Vilen E. 0-1
19:05 2 min TPS Turku: Maatta J. Tripping

2nd period0-0

05:06 2 min TPS Turku: Friman N. Slashing
12:56 2 min KalPa: Mononen V. Hooking
19:14 2 min KalPa: Rissanen J. Hooking

3rd period2-1

02:15 Goal TPS Turku: Koivu A. assists: Friman N., Rafkin R. 1-1
13:53 Goal KalPa: Saarelainen J. assists: Tammela J. 1-2
14:36 Goal TPS Turku: Munkki V. assists: Landen A., Pikkarainen K. 2-2

Overtime1-0

01:28 Goal TPS Turku: Maatta J. assists: Virtanen J. 3-2

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

Odds moved: the odds on TPS Turku dropped from 1.78 to 1.60 since they were first published.
2-5-1 away for KalPa this season.
7-2-0 at home for TPS Turku this season.
3-2 in the last 5 meetings for KalPa.
Save % gap: TPS Turku 85.9%, KalPa 90.5% over their recent games.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (TUR)	2.00	2.00	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.15	4.15	No change
1X2: 2 (KAL)	3.12	3.12	No change
Over/Under line	5.5	5	Line lowered
Handicap TUR	−1.5	−0.5	Line moved

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Liiga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Lukko	19	14	4	1	40	1.053	53	36	+17
2	Ilves	20	13	6	1	37	.925	52	39	+13
3	Jukurit	20	13	6	1	36	.900	49	40	+9
4	JYP	17	12	4	1	35	1.029	59	48	+11
5	Assat	20	11	7	2	34	.850	46	48	−2
6	SaiPa	18	12	5	1	34	.944	52	38	+14
7	Karpat	20	11	5	4	33	.825	53	52	+1
8	TPS Turku	19	10	7	2	31	.816	53	48	+5
9	Kiekko-Espoo	20	10	7	3	31	.775	61	49	+12
10	Tappara	19	9	7	3	28	.737	51	46	+5
11	IFK Helsinki	19	8	7	4	27	.711	53	56	−3
12	KalPa	18	8	9	1	25	.694	46	41	+5
13	Pelicans	17	8	8	1	24	.706	40	38	+2
14	Hameenlinna	20	9	11	0	24	.600	42	55	−13
15	Vaasan Sport	18	6	10	2	19	.528	33	53	−20
16	Jokerit	18	4	10	4	15	.417	41	62	−21
17	KooKoo	20	3	15	2	10	.250	46	81	−35

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

TPS Turku vs KalPa prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details