TPS Turku vs Kiekko-Espoo prediction
Chance to win · 36% and 40% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2LostKiekko-Espooodds down 3.10Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU6.5odds up 1.28Confidence 75%
- HandicapLostKiekko-Espoo +1.5odds down 1.44Confidence 72%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostKiekko-Espooodds down 2.30Confidence 54%
- Double chanceLostKiekko-Espoo or drawodds down 1.70Confidence 67%
- Draw no betLostKiekko-Espooodds down 2.35Confidence 55%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.12Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonDrawodds up 2.55Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU1.5odds up 1.73Confidence 57%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–2After 60 min4–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period1–123%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-2
- By period 0-0, 0-1, 1-1
- Likeliest 1-2 (4%), 1-4 (4%), 2-3 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Oct 28, 2026: Kiekko-Espoo 5, TPS Turku 4, after overtime.
- Sep 30, 2026: Kiekko-Espoo 4, TPS Turku 2.
- Dec 27, 2025: Kiekko-Espoo 8, TPS Turku 1.
- Dec 26, 2025: TPS Turku 0, Kiekko-Espoo 1.
- Dec 3, 2025: TPS Turku 5, Kiekko-Espoo 0.
Last five games
- Win, 4–3 at IFK Helsinki, after a shootout, Oct 14. Odds: HIFK 2.95, TPS 2.13.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Tappara, after a shootout, Oct 10.
- Win, 4–1 against JYP, Oct 3.
- Loss, 2–4 at Kiekko-Espoo, Sep 30.
- Loss, 2–3 at Ilves, Sep 27.
- Win, 6–1 against JYP, Oct 9. Odds: Kiekko-Espoo 2.02, JYP 3.05.
- Overtime loss, 7–8 at Karpat, after overtime, Oct 7.
- Loss, 4–6 at Ilves, Oct 3.
- Loss, 1–3 against Karpat, Oct 2.
- Win, 4–2 against TPS Turku, Sep 30.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 09:45 2 min TPS Turku: Lauridsen O. High sticking
- 15:04 Goal Kiekko-Espoo: Salovaara E. assists: Puolanne E. 0-1
- 16:01 2 min Kiekko-Espoo: Nakyva K. Slashing
- 16:55 Goal PPG TPS Turku: Yliniemi S. assists: Tuhkala A., Savinainen V. 1-1
2nd period2-1
- 05:35 Goal TPS Turku: Landen A. assists: Bryggman L., Haudum L. 2-1
- 08:18 Goal Kiekko-Espoo: Kangasniemi I. assists: Lajunen J., Corcoran C. 2-2
- 13:37 Goal TPS Turku: Virtanen J. assists: Ikonen Jo. 3-2
3rd period1-0
- 04:45 2 min Kiekko-Espoo: — Too many men on the ice
- 05:57 2 min TPS Turku: Ikonen Jo. Tripping
- 15:50 2 min Kiekko-Espoo: Corcoran C. Holding
- 19:22 Goal ENG TPS Turku: Maatta J. assists: Munkki V. 4-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Kiekko-Espoo, 1 for TPS Turku.
- 1-2-3 away for Kiekko-Espoo this season.
- In goal: Ruusu M. for TPS Turku (3-4-0 in the last 7 starts), Rimpinen P. for Kiekko-Espoo (6-2-2 in the last 10 starts).
- 4-1-0 at home for TPS Turku this season.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Kiekko-Espoo.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (TUR) | 2.18 | 2.19 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.83 | 3.82 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (KIE) | 2.93 | 2.91 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 5 | No change |
| Handicap TUR | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Liiga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 1.053 | 53 | 36 | +17 | |
| 2 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 37 | .925 | 52 | 39 | +13 | |
| 3 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 36 | .900 | 49 | 40 | +9 | |
| 4 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 35 | 1.029 | 59 | 48 | +11 | |
| 5 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 34 | .850 | 46 | 48 | −2 | |
| 6 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 34 | .944 | 52 | 38 | +14 | |
| 7 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 33 | .825 | 53 | 52 | +1 | |
| 8 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 31 | .816 | 53 | 48 | +5 | |
| 9 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 31 | .775 | 61 | 49 | +12 | |
| 10 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 28 | .737 | 51 | 46 | +5 | |
| 11 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | .711 | 53 | 56 | −3 | |
| 12 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 25 | .694 | 46 | 41 | +5 | |
| 13 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 24 | .706 | 40 | 38 | +2 | |
| 14 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 24 | .600 | 42 | 55 | −13 | |
| 15 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | .528 | 33 | 53 | −20 | |
| 16 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 15 | .417 | 41 | 62 | −21 | |
| 17 | 20 | 3 | 15 | 2 | 10 | .250 | 46 | 81 | −35 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
TPS Turku host Kiekko-Espoo in the Liiga on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.