TPS Turku vs Lukko Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Won

U6.5 1.31

Confidence75%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%

Full game

1X2WonLukkoodds up 2.80Confidence 51%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.31Confidence 75%
HandicapWonLukko +1.5odds up 1.34Confidence 71%
Winner (incl. OT)WonLukkoodds up 2.07Confidence 51%
Double chanceWonLukko or drawodds up 1.58Confidence 66%
Draw no betWonLukkoodds up 2.07Confidence 51%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.13Confidence 83%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostDrawodds up 2.42Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.72Confidence 57%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

TPS 12

Lukko

Final 1–3

Total goalsTotal 3 Actual 4

Draw after 60 minDraw 24% Decided in regulation

TUR to winTo win 50% LUK won

Score details

Correct scoreLost1–2After 60 min1–34%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period0–123%chance
Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 2 goals30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 1-2
By period 0-0, 0-1, 1-1
Likeliest 1-2 (4%), 2-3 (4%), 1-4 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record9-6-111-4-1

Home / road split6-1-06-0-1

StreakL1W4

RestBack-to-backBack-to-back

Goals for2.92.7

Goals against2.41.9

In the standings8th1st

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+0.3+1.2

Goals for2.92.8

Goals against2.61.6

Shots on goal25.223.0

Shots against21.224.0

Shooting %11.5%12.2%

Save %88.2%93.8%

Power-play %19.4%7.1%

Penalty kill %87.5%91.3%

Faceoff %47.3%48.7%

Penalty minutes6.46.7

Blocked shots13.410.0

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

TPS 14

Lukko

Lukko won four of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 5.2 TUR 2.2 · LUK 3.0

Over 5.0 goalsOver 5.0 2 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in a shootout

Oct 23, 2026: Lukko 4, TPS Turku 1.
Mar 4, 2026: TPS Turku 3, Lukko 4, after a shootout.
Feb 6, 2026: Lukko 3, TPS Turku 2.
Dec 5, 2025: Lukko 4, TPS Turku 2.
Sep 13, 2025: TPS Turku 3, Lukko 0.

Last five games

TPS 4-1-0

Loss, 1–4 at Lukko, Oct 23. Odds: Lukko 2.20, TPS 2.65.
Win, 4–3 against Ilves, Oct 20. Odds: TPS 1.98, Ilves 2.77.
Win, 4–2 at Assat, Oct 17. Odds: Assat 2.40, TPS 2.61.
Win, 4–2 against Kiekko-Espoo, Oct 16. Odds: TPS 2.19, Kiekko-Espoo 2.91.
Win, 4–3 at IFK Helsinki, after a shootout, Oct 14. Odds: HIFK 2.95, TPS 2.13.

Lukko 4-0-1

Win, 4–1 against TPS Turku, Oct 23. Odds: Lukko 2.20, TPS 2.65.
Win, 3–2 against IFK Helsinki, after a shootout, Oct 20. Odds: Lukko 1.62, HIFK 3.55.
Win, 3–1 against Kiekko-Espoo, Oct 17. Odds: Lukko 2.01, Kiekko-Espoo 3.21.
Win, 2–1 at Tappara, Oct 16. Odds: Tappara 1.88, Lukko 3.65.
Overtime loss, 2–3 at JYP, after a shootout, Oct 14. Odds: JYP 2.32, Lukko 2.75.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-1

05:25 Goal Lukko: Ikonen H. assists: Krannila J., Haapanen T. 0-1
07:58 5 min TPS Turku: Wernblom L. Unsportsmanlike conduct

2nd period0-1

09:35 Goal Lukko: Beaucage A. assists: Liedes H. 0-2
16:28 2 min Lukko: Stenqvist J. Holding

3rd period1-1

11:57 Goal Lukko: Ruohomaa M. assists: Harpur C., Beaucage A. 0-3
13:18 2 min Lukko: Viitasalo N. Holding
18:17 Goal TPS Turku: Maatta J. assists: Binner A., Paajanen O. 1-3
19:27 2 min TPS Turku: Ylitalo N. Interference
19:35 Penalty shot missed TPS Turku: Virtanen J.

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

Second game in two days for both teams — TPS Turku and Lukko played yesterday.
4-game winning streak for Lukko coming into this game.
6-1-0 at home for TPS Turku this season.
6-0-1 away for Lukko this season.
In goal: Makiniemi E. for TPS Turku (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts), Salonen D. for Lukko (7-2-1 in the last 10 starts).

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (TUR)	2.20	1.91	Shortened
1X2: X (draw)	4.00	4.25	Drifted
1X2: 2 (LUK)	2.65	3.20	Drifted
Over/Under line	5	5	No change
Handicap TUR	−1.5	−0.5	Line moved

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Liiga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Lukko	19	14	4	1	40	1.053	53	36	+17
2	Ilves	20	13	6	1	37	.925	52	39	+13
3	Jukurit	20	13	6	1	36	.900	49	40	+9
4	JYP	17	12	4	1	35	1.029	59	48	+11
5	Assat	20	11	7	2	34	.850	46	48	−2
6	SaiPa	18	12	5	1	34	.944	52	38	+14
7	Karpat	20	11	5	4	33	.825	53	52	+1
8	TPS Turku	19	10	7	2	31	.816	53	48	+5
9	Kiekko-Espoo	20	10	7	3	31	.775	61	49	+12
10	Tappara	19	9	7	3	28	.737	51	46	+5
11	IFK Helsinki	19	8	7	4	27	.711	53	56	−3
12	KalPa	18	8	9	1	25	.694	46	41	+5
13	Pelicans	17	8	8	1	24	.706	40	38	+2
14	Hameenlinna	20	9	11	0	24	.600	42	55	−13
15	Vaasan Sport	18	6	10	2	19	.528	33	53	−20
16	Jokerit	18	4	10	4	15	.417	41	62	−21
17	KooKoo	20	3	15	2	10	.250	46	81	−35

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

TPS Turku vs Lukko prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details