TPS Turku vs Pelicans Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Lost

O3.5 1.30

Confidence72%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%

Full game

1X2WonTPSodds up 2.08Confidence 51%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostO3.5odds up 1.30Confidence 72%
HandicapWonPelicans +1.5odds down 1.40Confidence 63%
Winner (incl. OT)WonTPSodds up 1.65Confidence 56%
Double chanceWonTPS or drawodds up 1.36Confidence 68%
Draw no betWonTPSodds up 1.57Confidence 58%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.14Confidence 83%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostDrawodds down 2.50Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.68Confidence 58%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 4% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

TPS 32

Pelicans

Final 2–1

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 3

Draw after 60 minDraw 24% Decided in regulation

TUR to winTo win 55% TUR won

Score details

Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min2–14%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period0–124%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · all three30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 3-2
By period 0-0, 1-1, 2-1
Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record9-7-28-6-1

Home / road split6-2-03-3-0

StreakL3W3

Rest1 day1 day

Goals for2.82.6

Goals against2.62.2

In the standings8th13th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game0.0+0.2

Goals for3.02.5

Goals against3.02.3

Shots on goal26.523.8

Shots against21.518.7

Shooting %11.3%10.5%

Save %86.0%88.2%

Power-play %18.2%14.3%

Penalty kill %78.6%85.0%

Faceoff %49.5%46.5%

Penalty minutes7.712.2

Blocked shots12.17.3

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

TPS 32

Pelicans

TPS Turku won three of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 4.6 TUR 2.4 · PEL 2.2

Over 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 2 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 3 of 5 3 in overtime

Feb 7, 2026: Pelicans 2, TPS Turku 0.
Jan 23, 2026: TPS Turku 3, Pelicans 4, after overtime.
Oct 25, 2025: Pelicans 1, TPS Turku 2, after overtime.
Sep 17, 2025: TPS Turku 3, Pelicans 1.
Mar 15, 2025: Pelicans 3, TPS Turku 4, after overtime.

Last five games

TPS 2-2-1

Overtime loss, 4–5 at Kiekko-Espoo, after overtime, Oct 28. Odds: Kiekko-Espoo 2.20, TPS 2.65.
Loss, 1–3 against Lukko, Oct 24. Odds: TPS 1.91, Lukko 3.20.
Loss, 1–4 at Lukko, Oct 23. Odds: Lukko 2.20, TPS 2.65.
Win, 4–3 against Ilves, Oct 20. Odds: TPS 1.98, Ilves 2.77.
Win, 4–2 at Assat, Oct 17. Odds: Assat 2.40, TPS 2.61.

Pelicans 3-2-0

Win, 5–0 against SaiPa, Oct 28. Odds: Pelicans 2.05, SaiPa 2.85.
Win, 5–4 against Tappara, after a shootout, Oct 24. Odds: Pelicans 3.00, Tappara 2.05.
Win, 3–1 at Hameenlinna, Oct 20. Odds: HPK 2.52, Pelicans 2.22.
Loss, 1–3 at KalPa, Oct 17. Odds: KalPa 2.48, Pelicans 2.54.
Loss, 1–2 against Vaasan Sport, Oct 16. Odds: Pelicans 1.64, Vaasan Sport 4.80.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-1

02:15 2 min TPS Turku: Ylitalo N. Holding
09:59 2 min Pelicans: Jordan M. Holding
16:04 Goal Pelicans: Kettunen A. assists: Lind O. 0-1

2nd period1-0

00:37 2 min TPS Turku: Landen A. Cross checking
08:43 Goal TPS Turku: Yliniemi S. assists: Landen A., Lindbohm P. 1-1

3rd period1-0

10:39 2 min Pelicans: Pohjalainen A. Hooking
15:41 2 min TPS Turku: Pikkarainen K. Roughing
15:41 2 min Pelicans: Lind O. Interference
17:03 Goal TPS Turku: Haudum L. assists: Bryggman L., Maatta J. 2-1

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

3-game losing streak for TPS Turku coming into this game.
3-game winning streak for Pelicans coming into this game.
In goal: Vali N. for TPS Turku (2-6-2 in the last 10 starts), Bartosak P. for Pelicans (4-5-1 in the last 10 starts).
6-2-0 at home for TPS Turku this season.
3-2 in the last 5 meetings for TPS Turku.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (TUR)	2.01	2.01	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.00	4.00	No change
1X2: 2 (PEL)	3.10	3.10	No change
Over/Under line	4.5	4.5	No change
Handicap TUR	−0.5	−0.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Liiga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Lukko	19	14	4	1	40	1.053	53	36	+17
2	Ilves	20	13	6	1	37	.925	52	39	+13
3	Jukurit	20	13	6	1	36	.900	49	40	+9
4	JYP	17	12	4	1	35	1.029	59	48	+11
5	Assat	20	11	7	2	34	.850	46	48	−2
6	SaiPa	18	12	5	1	34	.944	52	38	+14
7	Karpat	20	11	5	4	33	.825	53	52	+1
8	TPS Turku	19	10	7	2	31	.816	53	48	+5
9	Kiekko-Espoo	20	10	7	3	31	.775	61	49	+12
10	Tappara	19	9	7	3	28	.737	51	46	+5
11	IFK Helsinki	19	8	7	4	27	.711	53	56	−3
12	KalPa	18	8	9	1	25	.694	46	41	+5
13	Pelicans	17	8	8	1	24	.706	40	38	+2
14	Hameenlinna	20	9	11	0	24	.600	42	55	−13
15	Vaasan Sport	18	6	10	2	19	.528	33	53	−20
16	Jokerit	18	4	10	4	15	.417	41	62	−21
17	KooKoo	20	3	15	2	10	.250	46	81	−35

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

TPS Turku vs Pelicans prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details