TPS U20 vs Hameenlinna U20 prediction
Chance to win · 29% and 50% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2LostHPK U20odds up 2.05Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostO4.51.42Confidence 72%
- HandicapWonTPS U20 +1.51.37Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostHPK U20odds up 1.65Confidence 63%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceLostHPK U20 or drawodds up 1.38Confidence 71%
- Draw no betLostHPK U20Confidence 65%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesConfidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostHPK U20Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.88Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min1–04%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period0–08%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 1 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 3-4 (3%), 4-5 (1%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Sep 5, 2026: Hameenlinna U20 6, TPS U20 1.
- Mar 12, 2026: TPS U20 3, Hameenlinna U20 4.
- Mar 11, 2026: Hameenlinna U20 4, TPS U20 2.
- Nov 21, 2025: Hameenlinna U20 6, TPS U20 2.
- Sep 4, 2025: TPS U20 4, Hameenlinna U20 1.
Last five games
- Win, 2–1 at Assat U20, Oct 24. Odds: Assat U20 2.65, TPS U20 2.12.
- Win, 5–3 against IFK Helsinki U20, Oct 23. Odds: TPS U20 2.60, HIFK U20 2.12.
- Win, 7–2 against KooKoo U20, Oct 17. Odds: TPS U20 1.55, KooKoo U20 4.40.
- Win, 7–3 against RoKi U20, Oct 10.
- Win, 4–1 against Tappara U20, Oct 7.
- Win, 4–2 at Ilves U20, Oct 23. Odds: Ilves U20 2.55, HPK U20 2.08.
- Loss, 4–8 against Kiekko-Espoo U20, Oct 21. Odds: HPK U20 1.83, K-Espoo U20 3.15.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Lukko U20, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: HPK U20 1.62, Lukko U20 3.60.
- Loss, 1–3 against Karpat U20, Oct 10.
- Win, 7–4 against Jukurit U20, Oct 7.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 5-game winning streak for TPS U20 coming into this game.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Hameenlinna U20.
- +1.8 goals at home — TPS U20 averaged 3.8 at home and 2.0 away this season.
- 6.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
- 9th vs 8th in the SM-sarja U20 standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (U20) | 2.60 | 2.60 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.10 | 4.10 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (HAM) | 2.12 | 2.12 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap U20 | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
SM-sarja U20 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 1.083 | 64 | 39 | +25 | |
| 2 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 58 | 40 | +18 | |
| 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 36 | .947 | 69 | 55 | +14 | |
| 4 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | .917 | 54 | 52 | +2 | |
| 5 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 31 | .861 | 72 | 52 | +20 | |
| 6 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 29 | .853 | 52 | 56 | −4 | |
| 7 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 28 | .875 | 47 | 37 | +10 | |
| 8 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | .964 | 56 | 36 | +20 | |
| 9 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 27 | .844 | 48 | 49 | −1 | |
| 10 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 26 | .722 | 58 | 49 | +9 | |
| 11 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 24 | .750 | 58 | 63 | −5 | |
| 12 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 22 | .688 | 51 | 55 | −4 | |
| 13 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .656 | 62 | 59 | +3 | |
| 14 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | .656 | 54 | 59 | −5 | |
| 15 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .656 | 51 | 58 | −7 | |
| 16 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 15 | .469 | 41 | 55 | −14 | |
| 17 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 11 | .324 | 35 | 63 | −28 | |
| 18 | 18 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 6 | .167 | 41 | 94 | −53 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
TPS U20 host Hameenlinna U20 in the SM-sarja U20 on Wednesday, October 28, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.