TPS U20 vs IFK Helsinki U20 prediction
Chance to win · 30% and 48% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2LostHIFK U20odds down 2.08Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.51.43Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonTPS U20 +1.5odds up 1.35Confidence 65%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostHIFK U201.67Confidence 62%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceLostHIFK U20 or draw1.35Confidence 71%
- Draw no betLostHIFK U20Confidence 63%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostHIFK U202.55Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.84Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min5–34%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period2–18%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 3rd28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 3-4 (2%), 4-5 (1%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Feb 14, 2026: TPS U20 3, IFK Helsinki U20 1.
- Dec 4, 2025: TPS U20 3, IFK Helsinki U20 1.
- Dec 3, 2025: IFK Helsinki U20 2, TPS U20 1.
- Nov 1, 2025: IFK Helsinki U20 3, TPS U20 2.
- Jan 17, 2025: IFK Helsinki U20 2, TPS U20 1, after overtime.
Last five games
- Win, 7–2 against KooKoo U20, Oct 17. Odds: TPS U20 1.55, KooKoo U20 4.40.
- Win, 7–3 against RoKi U20, Oct 10.
- Win, 4–1 against Tappara U20, Oct 7.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Jokerit U20, after a shootout, Oct 3.
- Win, 4–1 against Jyvaskyla U20, Oct 2.
- Win, 4–3 at Jokerit U20, after overtime, Oct 21. Odds: Jokerit U20 2.45, HIFK U20 2.20.
- Win, 6–1 against Assat U20, Oct 16. Odds: HIFK U20 1.70, Assat U20 3.30.
- Win, 4–2 against Kiekko-Espoo U20, Oct 11.
- Loss, 3–6 against Jokerit U20, Oct 10.
- Win, 5–0 against SaiPa U20, Oct 9. Odds: HIFK U20 1.51, SaiPa U20 4.60.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-1
- 04:49 Goal PPG IFK Helsinki U20: Kauria W. assists: Rantaniitty O., Karjalainen A. 0-1
- 07:00 Goal TPS U20: Vuohijoki A. assists: Vilhunen P. 1-1
- 13:15 Goal TPS U20: Schmidt A. assists: Keinanen K., Huzevka S. 2-1
2nd period1-1
- 00:36 Goal PPG TPS U20: Parssinen J. assists: Fugleberg P., Uusikartano A. 3-1
- 17:51 Goal IFK Helsinki U20: Tiainen H. assists: Puolanne A., Rantaniitty O. 3-2
3rd period2-1
- 07:17 Goal TPS U20: Keinanen K. assists: Surlak O., Fugleberg P. 4-2
- 18:02 Goal IFK Helsinki U20: Tiainen H. assists: Puolanne A., Tainio R. 4-3
- 19:58 Goal ENG TPS U20: Rantala O. assists: Vahalahti E. 5-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for TPS U20 coming into this game.
- 3-game winning streak for IFK Helsinki U20 coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for TPS U20, 1 for IFK Helsinki U20.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for IFK Helsinki U20.
- +1.6 goals at home — TPS U20 averaged 3.6 at home and 2.0 away this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (U20) | 2.60 | 2.60 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.10 | 4.10 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (IHU) | 2.12 | 2.12 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap U20 | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
SM-sarja U20 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 1.083 | 64 | 39 | +25 | |
| 2 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 58 | 40 | +18 | |
| 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 36 | .947 | 69 | 55 | +14 | |
| 4 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | .917 | 54 | 52 | +2 | |
| 5 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 31 | .861 | 72 | 52 | +20 | |
| 6 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 29 | .853 | 52 | 56 | −4 | |
| 7 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 28 | .875 | 47 | 37 | +10 | |
| 8 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | .964 | 56 | 36 | +20 | |
| 9 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 27 | .844 | 48 | 49 | −1 | |
| 10 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 26 | .722 | 58 | 49 | +9 | |
| 11 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 24 | .750 | 58 | 63 | −5 | |
| 12 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 22 | .688 | 51 | 55 | −4 | |
| 13 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .656 | 62 | 59 | +3 | |
| 14 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | .656 | 54 | 59 | −5 | |
| 15 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .656 | 51 | 58 | −7 | |
| 16 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 15 | .469 | 41 | 55 | −14 | |
| 17 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 11 | .324 | 35 | 63 | −28 | |
| 18 | 18 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 6 | .167 | 41 | 94 | −53 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
TPS U20 host IFK Helsinki U20 in the SM-sarja U20 on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.