Tractor Chelyabinsk vs Barys Astana prediction
Chance to win · 36% and 41% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Full game
- 1X2LostBarys Astanaodds down 2.97Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostO4.5odds up 1.60Confidence 64%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonBarys Astana +1.5odds down 1.39Confidence 71%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostBarys Astanaodds down 2.20Confidence 53%
- Double chanceLostBarys Astana or drawodds down 1.68Confidence 66%
- Draw no betLostBarys Astanaodds down 2.29Confidence 54%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.12Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonDrawodds down 2.55Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.51.66Confidence 57%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min2–14%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon0–01st period0–023%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-0, 1-2, 1-1
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 2-4 (3%), 1-4 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Dec 23, 2025: Barys Astana 0, Tractor Chelyabinsk 2.
- Oct 31, 2025: Tractor Chelyabinsk 6, Barys Astana 3.
- Oct 9, 2025: Tractor Chelyabinsk 3, Barys Astana 2, after overtime.
- Sep 7, 2025: Barys Astana 4, Tractor Chelyabinsk 3, after overtime.
- Mar 2, 2025: Tractor Chelyabinsk 8, Barys Astana 0.
Last five games
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against CSKA Moscow, after overtime, Nov 1. Odds: Tractor 3.20, CSKA Moscow 2.00.
- Loss, 2–3 at Dinamo Minsk, Oct 30. Odds: Dinamo Minsk 2.00, Tractor 3.18.
- Loss, 1–5 at CSKA Moscow, Oct 28. Odds: CSKA Moscow 1.73, Tractor 4.10.
- Win, 2–1 against Novosibirsk, Oct 26. Odds: Tractor 1.91, Novosibirsk 3.45.
- Win, 3–1 against Bars Kazan, Oct 23. Odds: Tractor 2.44, Ak Bars Kazan 2.55.
- Win, 4–2 at Shanghai, Oct 30. Odds: Shanghai 2.09, Barys Astana 2.93.
- Win, 1–0 at Dinamo Minsk, Oct 28. Odds: Dinamo Minsk 1.98, Barys Astana 3.18.
- Loss, 1–4 at Yekaterinburg, Oct 26. Odds: Yekaterinburg 1.91, Barys Astana 3.37.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 at Vladivostok, after overtime, Oct 21. Odds: Vladivostok 2.69, Barys Astana 2.27.
- Loss, 2–5 at Khabarovsk, Oct 19. Odds: Khabarovsk 2.24, Barys Astana 2.85.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period0-0
- 17:57 2 min Tractor Chelyabinsk: Legare N. Diving
3rd period2-1
- 05:11 Goal Tractor Chelyabinsk: Legare N. assists: Goryunov-Rolgizer M. 1-0
- 05:30 2 min Barys Astana: Shestakov A. Interference
- 06:03 Goal PPG Tractor Chelyabinsk: Svetlakov A. assists: Grigorenko M., Dronov G. 2-0
- 09:21 2 min Tractor Chelyabinsk: Dronov G. Tripping
- 14:04 2 min Tractor Chelyabinsk: Goryunov-Rolgizer M. Interference
- 15:26 2 min Tractor Chelyabinsk: Svetlakov A. Tripping
- 15:58 Goal PPG Barys Astana: Morelli M. assists: Priskie C., Bailey J. 2-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Tractor Chelyabinsk coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 4 days off for Barys Astana, 2 for Tractor Chelyabinsk.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Tractor Chelyabinsk.
- −1.2 goals away — Barys Astana averaged 4.1 at home and 2.9 away this season.
- 6.2 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (TRA) | 1.96 | 1.96 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.73 | 3.73 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (BAR) | 2.75 | 2.75 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 5 | No change |
| Handicap TRA | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
KHL standings
Regular Season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 38 | .760 | 87 | 57 | +30 | |
| 2 | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 31 | .596 | 71 | 71 | 0 | |
| 3 | 25 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 26 | .520 | 72 | 73 | −1 | |
| 4 | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 26 | .520 | 57 | 62 | −5 | |
| 5 | 26 | 12 | 12 | 2 | 26 | .500 | 60 | 63 | −3 | |
| 6 | 23 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 26 | .565 | 46 | 55 | −9 | |
| 7 | 23 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 25 | .543 | 46 | 38 | +8 | |
| 8 | 24 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 25 | .521 | 76 | 66 | +10 | |
| 9 | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 25 | .543 | 62 | 58 | +4 | |
| 10 | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 25 | .543 | 61 | 64 | −3 | |
| 11 | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 22 | .423 | 58 | 77 | −19 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Tractor Chelyabinsk host Barys Astana in the KHL on Wednesday, November 4, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.