Tractor Chelyabinsk vs Novosibirsk prediction
Chance to win · 48% and 29% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2WonTractor1.84Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostO4.5odds up 1.67Confidence 52%
- HandicapWonNovosibirsk +1.5odds down 1.45Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonTractor1.49Confidence 62%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonTractor or draw1.28Confidence 71%
- Draw no betWonTractor1.44Confidence 64%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.14Confidence 82%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds down 2.48Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.61Confidence 59%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min2–14%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period0–124%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · all three27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Oct 10, 2026: Tractor Chelyabinsk 1, Novosibirsk 2.
- Jan 31, 2026: Novosibirsk 1, Tractor Chelyabinsk 3.
- Jan 11, 2026: Tractor Chelyabinsk 4, Novosibirsk 1.
- Nov 2, 2025: Tractor Chelyabinsk 4, Novosibirsk 3.
- Oct 25, 2025: Novosibirsk 3, Tractor Chelyabinsk 4, after a shootout.
Last five games
- Win, 3–1 against Bars Kazan, Oct 23. Odds: Tractor 2.44, Ak Bars Kazan 2.55.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Avangard Omsk, after a shootout, Oct 18. Odds: Avangard Omsk 1.91, Tractor 3.40.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Niznekamsk, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Niznekamsk 2.14, Tractor 2.75.
- Win, 6–2 at Shanghai, Oct 14. Odds: Shanghai 2.02, Tractor 2.95.
- Loss, 1–2 against Novosibirsk, Oct 10. Odds: Tractor 1.92, Novosibirsk 3.30.
- Loss, 1–5 at Magnitogorsk, Oct 24. Odds: Magnitogorsk 1.53, Novosibirsk 5.48.
- Loss, 3–6 at SKA St. Petersburg, Oct 22. Odds: SKA 1.82, Novosibirsk 3.65.
- Win, 3–2 at Dynamo Moscow, after a shootout, Oct 20. Odds: Dynamo Moscow 1.83, Novosibirsk 3.65.
- Loss, 0–1 against Barys Astana, Oct 17. Odds: Novosibirsk 2.64, Barys Astana 2.30.
- Win, 4–2 at Salavat Ufa, Oct 14. Odds: Salavat Ufa 1.74, Novosibirsk 3.75.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 07:39 Goal Novosibirsk: Lyuzenkov I. assists: Pershakov A., Tyutnev P. 0-1
2nd period1-0
- 02:22 2 min Tractor Chelyabinsk: Chivilyov A. Tripping
- 02:31 Goal SHG Tractor Chelyabinsk: Goryunov-Rolgizer M. assists: Svetlakov A. 1-1
- 12:28 2 min Novosibirsk: — Delay of game
3rd period1-0
- 06:17 2 min Novosibirsk: Korshkov Y. Boarding
- 13:42 Goal Tractor Chelyabinsk: Grigorenko M. 2-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 2-6-0 at home for Tractor Chelyabinsk this season.
- In goal: Nikolayev D. for Tractor Chelyabinsk (4-3-3 in the last 10 starts), Krasotkin A. for Novosibirsk (3-6-1 in the last 10 starts).
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Tractor Chelyabinsk.
- Save % gap: Tractor Chelyabinsk 94.3%, Novosibirsk 91.7% over their recent games.
- 5.2 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 4.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (TRA) | 1.91 | 1.91 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.90 | 3.90 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (NOV) | 3.45 | 3.45 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 4.5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap TRA | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
KHL standings
Regular Season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 38 | .760 | 87 | 57 | +30 | |
| 2 | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 31 | .596 | 71 | 71 | 0 | |
| 3 | 25 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 26 | .520 | 72 | 73 | −1 | |
| 4 | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 26 | .520 | 57 | 62 | −5 | |
| 5 | 26 | 12 | 12 | 2 | 26 | .500 | 60 | 63 | −3 | |
| 6 | 23 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 26 | .565 | 46 | 55 | −9 | |
| 7 | 23 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 25 | .543 | 46 | 38 | +8 | |
| 8 | 24 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 25 | .521 | 76 | 66 | +10 | |
| 9 | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 25 | .543 | 62 | 58 | +4 | |
| 10 | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 25 | .543 | 61 | 64 | −3 | |
| 11 | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 22 | .423 | 58 | 77 | −19 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Tractor Chelyabinsk host Novosibirsk in the KHL on Monday, October 26, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.