Trinec vs Karlovy Vary prediction
Chance to win · 54% and 25% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 69%Full game
- 1X2WonTrinecodds up 1.63Confidence 55%
- Over/UnderLostO3.5odds down 1.30Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonKarlovy Vary +2.5odds up 1.30Confidence 70%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonTrinecodds up 1.38Confidence 67%
- Double chanceWonTrinec or drawodds up 1.20Confidence 75%
- Draw no betWonTrinecodds up 1.30Confidence 70%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.17Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostTrinecodds up 2.21Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds down 1.17Confidence 79%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–1After 60 min2–15%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period1–120%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals1st · 2 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-1
- By period 1-0, 1-1, 1-0
- Likeliest 3-1 (5%), 3-2 (4%), 4-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Sep 15, 2026: Karlovy Vary 0, Trinec 2.
- Apr 11, 2026: Trinec 3, Karlovy Vary 2, after overtime.
- Apr 8, 2026: Karlovy Vary 3, Trinec 0.
- Apr 7, 2026: Karlovy Vary 2, Trinec 3.
- Apr 4, 2026: Trinec 5, Karlovy Vary 4.
Last five games
- Loss, 2–6 against Ceske Budejovice, Oct 23. Odds: Trinec 1.46, C. Budejovice 5.00.
- Win, 2–1 at Sparta Prague, Oct 18. Odds: Sparta Prague 2.20, Trinec 2.35.
- Win, 3–0 against Mlada Boleslav, Oct 16. Odds: Trinec 1.40, Mlada Boleslav 5.00.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 at Pardubice, after overtime, Oct 11. Odds: Pardubice 2.11, Trinec 2.82.
- Win, 5–2 against Mountfield HK, Oct 9. Odds: Trinec 1.63, Hradec Kralove 4.10.
- Win, 4–3 at Mountfield HK, after overtime, Oct 23. Odds: Hradec Kralove 2.18, Karlovy Vary 2.80.
- Win, 2–1 against Kometa Brno, after overtime, Oct 20. Odds: Karlovy Vary 1.98, Kometa Brno 2.70.
- Loss, 1–3 at Litvinov, Oct 18. Odds: Litvinov 2.65, Karlovy Vary 2.00.
- Win, 5–0 at Olomouc, Oct 16. Odds: Olomouc 3.13, Karlovy Vary 2.00.
- Win, 3–1 against Kladno, Oct 11. Odds: Karlovy Vary 1.76, Kladno 3.65.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 00:36 2 min Karlovy Vary: Minarik J. Tripping
- 09:58 Goal Trinec: Kubiesa M. 1-0
- 10:14 Goal Karlovy Vary: Stastny D. assists: Jones N., Bambula J. 1-1
- 11:51 2 min Trinec: Roman M. Roughing
- 11:51 2 min Karlovy Vary: Redlich T. Roughing
- 18:48 2 min Trinec: Galvas J. Roughing
2nd period0-0
- 09:58 2 min Karlovy Vary: Bambula J. Tripping
- 17:25 2 min Karlovy Vary: Beranek O. Tripping
- 17:31 2 min Trinec: Nestrasil A. Holding the stick
3rd period1-0
- 04:09 5 min Trinec: Koch P. Illegal check to the head
- 05:34 2 min Karlovy Vary: Sapousek R. Slashing
- 07:05 2 min Karlovy Vary: Mamcics R. Roughing
- 10:59 Goal Trinec: Kurovsky D. assists: Petrovicky R. 2-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 7-1-0 at home for Trinec this season.
- In goal: Kacetl O. for Trinec (6-2-2 in the last 10 starts), Kral D. for Karlovy Vary (5-3-2 in the last 10 starts).
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Trinec.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Karlovy Vary.
- Save % gap: Trinec 91.5%, Karlovy Vary 94.8% over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (TRI) | 1.70 | 1.70 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.50 | 4.50 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (KAR) | 4.00 | 4.00 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 5 | Line raised |
| Handicap TRI | −1.5 | −0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Extraliga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 1.219 | 64 | 38 | +26 | |
| 2 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 64 | 43 | +21 | |
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 30 | .882 | 53 | 49 | +4 | |
| 4 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 28 | .824 | 41 | 33 | +8 | |
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 26 | .765 | 45 | 47 | −2 | |
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 25 | .735 | 45 | 40 | +5 | |
| 7 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 25 | .735 | 44 | 42 | +2 | |
| 8 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | .750 | 44 | 43 | +1 | |
| 9 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .750 | 43 | 42 | +1 | |
| 10 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24 | .750 | 43 | 43 | 0 | |
| 11 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 21 | .618 | 36 | 45 | −9 | |
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 17 | .500 | 35 | 57 | −22 | |
| 13 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 16 | .533 | 37 | 49 | −12 | |
| 14 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 13 | .382 | 32 | 55 | −23 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Trinec host Karlovy Vary in the Extraliga on Sunday, October 25, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.