Trinec vs Mlada Boleslav prediction
Chance to win · 77% and 10% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 74%Full game
- 1X2WonTrinecodds up 1.39Confidence 75%
- Over/UnderLostO4.5odds up 1.43Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonTrinec -0.5odds up 1.36Confidence 72%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonTrinecodds up 1.22Confidence 83%
- Double chanceWonTrinec or drawodds up 1.11Confidence 88%
- Draw no betWonTrinecodds up 1.15Confidence 87%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYes1.15Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostTrinecodds up 1.92Confidence 55%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds up 1.90Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min3–07%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–013%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 2 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 2-1, 0-0
- Likeliest 4-1 (8%), 5-2 (6%), 5-1 (5%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Jan 18, 2026: Mlada Boleslav 4, Trinec 3, after a shootout.
- Dec 7, 2025: Trinec 5, Mlada Boleslav 2.
- Oct 24, 2025: Trinec 2, Mlada Boleslav 1.
- Sep 16, 2025: Mlada Boleslav 2, Trinec 1.
- Feb 12, 2025: Trinec 5, Mlada Boleslav 1.
Last five games
- Overtime loss, 4–5 at Pardubice, after overtime, Oct 11. Odds: Pardubice 2.11, Trinec 2.82.
- Win, 5–2 against Mountfield HK, Oct 9. Odds: Trinec 1.63, Hradec Kralove 4.10.
- Win, 9–0 at Olomouc, Oct 4.
- Win, 3–2 against Litvinov, Oct 2.
- Win, 6–4 against Kladno, Sep 29.
- Win, 2–1 against Litvinov, Oct 11. Odds: Mlada Boleslav 2.17, Litvinov 2.77.
- Loss, 3–4 at Kladno, Oct 9. Odds: Kladno 1.77, Mlada Boleslav 3.50.
- Loss, 3–5 against Liberec, Oct 4.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Kometa Brno, after a shootout, Oct 2.
- Loss, 1–4 against Plzen, Sep 29.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
- 10:35 2 min Mlada Boleslav: Vlasak A. Holding
- 14:22 2 min Trinec: Koch P. High sticking
2nd period1-0
- 07:12 2 min Mlada Boleslav: Martel J. High sticking
- 09:15 2 min Trinec: Dano M. Roughing
- 09:15 2 min Mlada Boleslav: Budik V. Roughing
- 13:35 Goal Trinec: Dano M. assists: Galvas J., Ruzicka Mart. 1-0
- 19:48 2 min Mlada Boleslav: Kubicek S. Slashing
3rd period2-0
- 13:23 Goal Trinec: Roman M. assists: Galvas J., Kubiesa M. 2-0
- 14:54 2 min Trinec: Marincin M. Holding the stick
- 15:20 Goal SHG Trinec: Hrehorcak P. 3-0
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Mlada Boleslav dropped from 4.30 to 3.50 since they were first published.
- 6-0-0 at home for Trinec this season.
- In goal: Mazanec M. for Trinec (9-1-0 in the last 10 starts), Mokry V. for Mlada Boleslav (5-3-2 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 3.8 per game — Trinec +2.6, Mlada Boleslav −1.2 over their recent games.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Trinec.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (TRI) | 1.40 | 1.40 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.45 | 4.45 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (MLA) | 5.00 | 5.00 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap TRI | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Extraliga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 1.219 | 64 | 38 | +26 | |
| 2 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 64 | 43 | +21 | |
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 30 | .882 | 53 | 49 | +4 | |
| 4 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 28 | .824 | 41 | 33 | +8 | |
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 26 | .765 | 45 | 47 | −2 | |
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 25 | .735 | 45 | 40 | +5 | |
| 7 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 25 | .735 | 44 | 42 | +2 | |
| 8 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | .750 | 44 | 43 | +1 | |
| 9 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .750 | 43 | 42 | +1 | |
| 10 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24 | .750 | 43 | 43 | 0 | |
| 11 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 21 | .618 | 36 | 45 | −9 | |
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 17 | .500 | 35 | 57 | −22 | |
| 13 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 16 | .533 | 37 | 49 | −12 | |
| 14 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 13 | .382 | 32 | 55 | −23 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Trinec host Mlada Boleslav in the Extraliga on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.