Trnava vs Nove Zamky prediction
Chance to win · 53% and 30% in regulation
Holly J.Started4-6-0
Dubek M.Started4-4-2All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2LostTrnavaodds up 1.72Confidence 54%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU8.5odds up 1.28Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonNove Zamky +1.51.62Confidence 63%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostTrnavaodds up 1.46Confidence 64%
- Double chanceLostTrnava or draw1.26Confidence 71%
- Draw no betLostTrnava1.40Confidence 66%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.03Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostTrnava2.15Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.53Confidence 60%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Trnava 3–2
Nove Zamky Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min1–33%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–29%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals1st · 3 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 1-2, 0-0
- Likeliest 3-2 (3%), 4-3 (3%), 2-1 (2%)
Season so far
This seasonTrnava
Nove Zamky
Head-to-head
Trnava 1–3
Nove Zamky - Feb 13, 2026: Nove Zamky 8, Trnava 5.
- Jan 5, 2026: Trnava 1, Nove Zamky 3.
- Nov 21, 2025: Nove Zamky 6, Trnava 3.
- Oct 10, 2025: Trnava 7, Nove Zamky 4.
Last five games
Trnava
3-2-0 - Loss, 4–5 at TEBS Bratislava, Oct 14. Odds: TEBS Bratislava 2.00, Trnava 2.61.
- Win, 2–1 at Povazska Bystrica, Oct 9. Odds: Pov. Bystrica 2.62, Trnava 2.12.
- Win, 4–3 against Dubnica, after a shootout, Oct 7.
- Loss, 1–2 against Ziar nad Hronom, Oct 2.
- Win, 7–3 at Martin, Sep 30.
Nove Zamky
1-3-1 - Loss, 4–5 at Ziar nad Hronom, Oct 9. Odds: Ziar nad Hronom 1.52, Nove Zamky 4.45.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against HC 19 Humenne, after a shootout, Oct 7.
- Win, 5–3 against Povazska Bystrica, Oct 2.
- Loss, 3–4 at HK Detva, Sep 30.
- Loss, 3–7 at Dubnica, Sep 25.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-2
- 07:38 Goal Trnava: Surovy M. assists: Sulovsky M. 1-0
- 08:36 Goal Nove Zamky: Czuczor F. assists: Melicher B. 1-1
- 18:23 Goal Nove Zamky: Belchamber A. assists: Tinling D., Knizka M. 1-2
2nd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
3rd period0-1
- 19:32 Goal ENG Nove Zamky: Belchamber A. assists: Poncak S. 1-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Nove Zamky, 1 for Trnava.
- In goal: Holly J. for Trnava (4-6-0 in the last 10 starts), Dubek M. for Nove Zamky (4-4-2 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Nove Zamky.
- 1-3-1 in the last five for Nove Zamky.
- 9.3 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 7.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (TRN) | 1.76 | 1.76 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.45 | 4.45 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (NOV) | 3.26 | 3.26 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 7 | 7 | No change |
| Handicap TRN | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
1. Liga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  HC 19 Humenne |
15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 1.100 | 50 | 34 | +16 |
| 2 |  Martin |
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 1.036 | 58 | 42 | +16 |
| 3 |  Skalica |
15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 27 | .900 | 61 | 45 | +16 |
| 4 |  Ziar nad Hronom |
15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 27 | .900 | 49 | 39 | +10 |
| 5 |  Dubnica |
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 26 | .867 | 61 | 57 | +4 |
| 6 |  TEBS Bratislava |
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 24 | .800 | 47 | 48 | −1 |
| 7 |  HK Detva |
15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 22 | .733 | 47 | 42 | +5 |
| 8 | Nove Zamky |
14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | .786 | 53 | 52 | +1 |
| 9 |  Topolcany |
15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 21 | .700 | 51 | 48 | +3 |
| 10 | Trnava |
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 19 | .679 | 37 | 40 | −3 |
| 11 |  HK Levice |
16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 18 | .563 | 47 | 58 | −11 |
| 12 |  Povazska Bystrica |
15 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 8 | .267 | 31 | 54 | −23 |
| 13 |  Slovakia U18 |
8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 3 | .188 | 8 | 41 | −33 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Trnava host Nove Zamky in the 1. Liga on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.