Trnava vs Skalica prediction
Chance to win · 30% and 51% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2WonSkalicaodds up 1.66Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU7.5odds down 1.38Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonTrnava +1.51.62Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonSkalicaodds up 1.41Confidence 63%
- Double chanceWonSkalica or drawodds down 1.23Confidence 71%
- Draw no betWonSkalica1.35Confidence 65%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.05Confidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonSkalica2.12Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds up 1.63Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreWon2–3After 60 min2–33%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period0–19%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-2, 2-1, 0-0
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 3-4 (3%), 1-2 (2%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Sep 16, 2026: Skalica 5, Trnava 2.
- Jan 16, 2026: Skalica 4, Trnava 2.
- Dec 5, 2025: Trnava 0, Skalica 5.
- Oct 24, 2025: Skalica 6, Trnava 4.
- Sep 17, 2025: Trnava 1, Skalica 3.
Last five games
- Win, 2–0 against Topolcany, Oct 21. Odds: Trnava 2.08, Topolcany 2.65.
- Loss, 1–3 against Nove Zamky, Oct 16. Odds: Trnava 1.76, Nove Zamky 3.26.
- Loss, 4–5 at TEBS Bratislava, Oct 14. Odds: TEBS Bratislava 2.00, Trnava 2.61.
- Win, 2–1 at Povazska Bystrica, Oct 9. Odds: Pov. Bystrica 2.62, Trnava 2.12.
- Win, 4–3 against Dubnica, after a shootout, Oct 7.
- Win, 6–1 at TEBS Bratislava, Oct 21. Odds: TEBS Bratislava 3.50, Skalica 1.70.
- Win, 2–1 at Nove Zamky, Oct 18. Odds: Nove Zamky 3.45, Skalica 1.67.
- Win, 4–3 against HK Levice, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Skalica 1.40, Levice 5.34.
- Loss, 1–2 at HK Detva, Oct 9. Odds: Detva 4.55, Skalica 1.51.
- Win, 4–1 against Povazska Bystrica, Oct 7.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 05:49 Goal PPG Skalica: Berisha A. assists: Jurik J., Jakubik I. 0-1
2nd period2-1
- 05:29 Goal PPG Trnava: Holovic M. assists: Kupka A., Stupka V. 1-1
- 06:07 Goal Skalica: Berisha A. assists: Jakubik I., Obdrzalek P. 1-2
- 07:44 Goal Trnava: Holovic M. assists: Stupka V., Dosek S. 2-2
3rd period0-1
- 02:45 Goal Skalica: Berisha A. 2-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Skalica coming into this game.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Skalica.
- In goal: Holly J. for Trnava (5-5-0 in the last 10 starts), Vallus S. for Skalica (8-1-1 in the last 10 starts).
- −1.2 goals away — Skalica averaged 5.0 at home and 3.8 away this season.
- 6.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (TRN) | 3.55 | 3.55 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.45 | 4.45 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (SKA) | 1.70 | 1.70 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap TRN | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
1. Liga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 1.100 | 50 | 34 | +16 | |
| 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 1.036 | 58 | 42 | +16 | |
| 3 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 27 | .900 | 61 | 45 | +16 | |
| 4 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 27 | .900 | 49 | 39 | +10 | |
| 5 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 26 | .867 | 61 | 57 | +4 | |
| 6 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 24 | .800 | 47 | 48 | −1 | |
| 7 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 22 | .733 | 47 | 42 | +5 | |
| 8 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | .786 | 53 | 52 | +1 | |
| 9 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 21 | .700 | 51 | 48 | +3 | |
| 10 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 19 | .679 | 37 | 40 | −3 | |
| 11 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 18 | .563 | 47 | 58 | −11 | |
| 12 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 8 | .267 | 31 | 54 | −23 | |
| 13 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 3 | .188 | 8 | 41 | −33 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Trnava host Skalica in the 1. Liga on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.