Trnava vs Topolcany prediction
Chance to win · 34% and 47% in regulation
Holly J.Started4-6-0
Irsak J.Surprise start1-2-0All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2LostTopolcanyodds up 2.62Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostO4.5odds up 1.26Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonTrnava +1.5Confidence 65%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostTopolcany2.02Confidence 58%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceLostTopolcany or drawodds down 1.58Confidence 68%
- Draw no betLostTopolcanyodds down 2.07Confidence 60%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYes1.05Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostTopolcanyodds down 2.85Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds up 1.67Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Trnava 2–3
Topolcany Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min2–03%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period0–07%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-2, 2-1, 0-0
- Likeliest 2-3 (3%), 3-4 (3%), 4-5 (1%)
Season so far
This seasonTrnava
Topolcany
Head-to-head
Trnava 0–5
Topolcany - Jan 23, 2026: Topolcany 5, Trnava 1.
- Dec 17, 2025: Trnava 1, Topolcany 5.
- Oct 31, 2025: Topolcany 5, Trnava 3.
- Sep 24, 2025: Trnava 1, Topolcany 6.
- Feb 9, 2025: Trnava 2, Topolcany 4.
Last five games
Trnava
2-3-0 - Loss, 1–3 against Nove Zamky, Oct 16. Odds: Trnava 1.76, Nove Zamky 3.26.
- Loss, 4–5 at TEBS Bratislava, Oct 14. Odds: TEBS Bratislava 2.00, Trnava 2.61.
- Win, 2–1 at Povazska Bystrica, Oct 9. Odds: Pov. Bystrica 2.62, Trnava 2.12.
- Win, 4–3 against Dubnica, after a shootout, Oct 7.
- Loss, 1–2 against Ziar nad Hronom, Oct 2.
Topolcany
3-1-1 - Win, 5–2 at HK Levice, Oct 18. Odds: Levice 2.23, Topolcany 2.37.
- Loss, 3–4 against TEBS Bratislava, Oct 16. Odds: Topolcany 1.79, TEBS Bratislava 3.28.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Martin, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: Martin 1.53, Topolcany 4.40.
- Win, 4–1 against Slovakia U18, Oct 8.
- Win, 3–0 against Ziar nad Hronom, Oct 6.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period1-0
- 09:45 Goal Trnava: Achberger R. assists: Scheuer M., Michajlov M. 1-0
3rd period1-0
- 19:39 Goal Trnava: Stupka V. assists: Kupka A., Scheuer M. 2-0
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Surprise in goal: Irsak J. started for Topolcany, not Mirt D..
- Rest advantage: 4 days off for Trnava, 2 for Topolcany.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Topolcany.
- 6.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
- 10th vs 9th in the 1. Liga standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (TRN) | 2.08 | 2.08 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.10 | 4.10 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (TOP) | 2.65 | 2.65 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6 | 6 | No change |
| Handicap TRN | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
1. Liga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  HC 19 Humenne |
15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 1.100 | 50 | 34 | +16 |
| 2 |  Martin |
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 1.036 | 58 | 42 | +16 |
| 3 |  Skalica |
15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 27 | .900 | 61 | 45 | +16 |
| 4 |  Ziar nad Hronom |
15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 27 | .900 | 49 | 39 | +10 |
| 5 |  Dubnica |
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 26 | .867 | 61 | 57 | +4 |
| 6 |  TEBS Bratislava |
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 24 | .800 | 47 | 48 | −1 |
| 7 |  HK Detva |
15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 22 | .733 | 47 | 42 | +5 |
| 8 |  Nove Zamky |
14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | .786 | 53 | 52 | +1 |
| 9 | Topolcany |
15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 21 | .700 | 51 | 48 | +3 |
| 10 | Trnava |
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 19 | .679 | 37 | 40 | −3 |
| 11 |  HK Levice |
16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 18 | .563 | 47 | 58 | −11 |
| 12 |  Povazska Bystrica |
15 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 8 | .267 | 31 | 54 | −23 |
| 13 |  Slovakia U18 |
8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 3 | .188 | 8 | 41 | −33 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Trnava host Topolcany in the 1. Liga on Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.