Troja/Ljungby vs Karlskrona Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Handicap Lost

Troja/Ljungby +2.5 1.27

Confidence74%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%

Full game

1X2WonKarlskronaodds down 1.90Confidence 51%
Over/UnderWonO5.51.66Confidence 54%
Best tip of the game: HandicapLostTroja/Ljungby +2.5odds up 1.27Confidence 74%
Winner (incl. OT)WonKarlskronaodds down 1.46Confidence 52%
Double chanceWonKarlskrona or drawodds down 1.40Confidence 66%
Draw no betWonKarlskronaodds down 1.55Confidence 52%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.07Confidence 87%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonDrawodds down 2.75Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds down 1.26Confidence 77%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Troja/Ljungby 24

Karlskrona

Final 2–8

Total goalsTotal 6 Actual 10

Draw after 60 minDraw 23% Decided in regulation

KAR to winTo win 52% KAR won

Score details

Correct scoreLost2–4After 60 min2–84%chance
1st period correct scoreWon1–11st period1–113%chance
Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 5 goals29%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 2-4
By period 1-1, 1-2, 0-1
Likeliest 2-4 (4%), 3-4 (2%), 3-5 (2%)

Season so far

This season

Season

Season record2-2-27-1-0

Home / road split2-0-13-1-0

StreakL3W4

Rest6 days1 day

Goals for3.53.0

Goals against4.01.6

In the standings16th4th

Head-to-head

Troja/Ljungby 21

Karlskrona

Troja/Ljungby won two of the last three meetings

Goals a gameGoals 8.3 TRO 5.0 · KAR 3.3

Over 5.5 goalsOver 5.5 3 of 3 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 0 of 3 All decided in regulation

Dec 4, 2024: Karlskrona 5, Troja/Ljungby 1.
Nov 22, 2024: Troja/Ljungby 9, Karlskrona 3.
Oct 23, 2024: Troja/Ljungby 5, Karlskrona 2.

Last five games

Troja/Ljungby 1-2-2

Loss, 2–5 at Mjolby, Oct 16. Odds: Mjolby 2.03, Troja/Ljungby 2.84.
Overtime loss, 3–4 against Boro Vetlanda HC, after overtime, Oct 9. Odds: Troja/Ljungby 1.67, Boro/Vetlanda 3.75.
Overtime loss, 4–5 at Vastervik, after a shootout, Oct 7.
Win, 5–4 against Morrums GoIS, Sep 30.
Loss, 2–4 at Tranas, Sep 27.

Karlskrona 4-1-0

Win, 3–2 against Dalen, Oct 21. Odds: Karlskrona 1.70, Dalen 3.60.
Win, 4–3 at Tranas, after overtime, Oct 18. Odds: Tranas 2.40, Karlskrona 2.30.
Win, 5–1 against Halmstad, Oct 16. Odds: Karlskrona 2.05, Halmstad 2.84.
Win, 2–1 at Nykoping, after overtime, Oct 10.
Loss, 1–2 at Vita Hasten, Oct 9. Odds: Vita Hasten 2.00, Karlskrona 2.70.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period1-1

10:09 Goal Karlskrona: Abrahamsson J. assists: Olofsson R., Wendt H. 0-1
10:52 Goal Troja/Ljungby: Rupi N. assists: Kakela L., Ek Koskela H. 1-1

2nd period1-4

04:19 Goal Karlskrona: Varmhed D. assists: Olofsson V., Hassel O. 1-2
05:37 Goal PPG Troja/Ljungby: Lindberg G. assists: Fransson M., Rupi N. 2-2
08:25 Goal Karlskrona: Abrahamsson J. assists: Tornkvist C., Hassel O. 2-3
10:07 Goal Karlskrona: Ratkovic Berndtsson J. 2-4
14:33 Goal Karlskrona: Olofsson R. assists: Ekefjard E., Sjogren M. 2-5

3rd period0-3

01:27 Goal Karlskrona: Tornkvist C. assists: Crus-Rydberg V., Sjogren M. 2-6
05:44 Goal Karlskrona: von Dahn M. assists: Tornkvist C. 2-7
09:47 Goal Karlskrona: Abrahamsson J. assists: Fredin L. 2-8

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

4-game winning streak for Karlskrona coming into this game.
3-game losing streak for Troja/Ljungby coming into this game.
Rest advantage: 6 days off for Troja/Ljungby, 1 for Karlskrona.
2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Troja/Ljungby.
−1.0 goals away — Karlskrona averaged 3.5 at home and 2.5 away this season.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (TRO)	3.25	3.25	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.35	4.30	Shortened
1X2: 2 (KAR)	1.75	1.75	No change
Over/Under line	5.5	5.5	No change
Handicap TRO	+1.5	+1.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

HockeyEttan Sodra standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Boras	12	8	3	1	25	1.042	53	25	+28
2	Tingsryd	11	8	1	2	25	1.136	49	27	+22
3	Mariestad	10	8	2	0	23	1.150	51	28	+23
4	Karlskrona	10	9	1	0	23	1.150	34	16	+18
5	Vita Hasten	10	8	1	1	22	1.100	34	20	+14
6	Dalen	10	7	3	0	20	1.000	34	23	+11
7	Boro Vetlanda HC	11	7	3	1	19	.864	34	33	+1
8	Halmstad	10	6	3	1	18	.900	33	27	+6
9	Tranas	11	6	4	1	17	.773	34	36	−2
10	Vastervik	11	5	4	2	16	.727	41	43	−2
11	Huddinge	11	4	4	3	15	.682	27	33	−6
12	Tyringe	11	5	5	1	14	.636	36	34	+2
13	Hanvikens	11	4	5	2	14	.636	31	36	−5
14	Kungalvs	11	5	5	1	14	.636	33	42	−9
15	Mjolby	10	4	5	1	13	.650	33	32	+1
16	Troja/Ljungby	11	3	6	2	10	.455	30	47	−17
17	Morrums GoIS	11	3	8	0	9	.409	23	41	−18
18	Grastorps	11	3	8	0	9	.409	25	47	−22
19	Nykoping	11	2	6	3	9	.409	15	43	−28
20	Grums	10	2	8	0	6	.300	24	41	−17

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Play Out

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Troja/Ljungby vs Karlskrona prediction