Tucson Roadrunners vs Coachella Valley Firebirds prediction
Chance to win · 45% and 33% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2WonTucsonodds down 2.22Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostO4.5odds up 1.39Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostCoachella +1.5odds up 1.31Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonTucsonodds down 1.77Confidence 57%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonTucson or drawodds down 1.44Confidence 69%
- Draw no betWonTucson1.78Confidence 59%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.08Confidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonTucsonodds down 2.75Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.83Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min3–14%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–07%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 2 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Nov 7, 2026: Tucson Roadrunners 3, Coachella Valley Firebirds 2, after overtime.
- Oct 28, 2026: Coachella Valley Firebirds 1, Tucson Roadrunners 5.
- Feb 15, 2026: Coachella Valley Firebirds 2, Tucson Roadrunners 3.
- Feb 13, 2026: Coachella Valley Firebirds 6, Tucson Roadrunners 1.
- Nov 8, 2025: Tucson Roadrunners 4, Coachella Valley Firebirds 3, after overtime.
Last five games
- Win, 3–2 at Ontario Reign, Oct 31. Odds: Ontario 2.12, Tucson 2.67.
- Win, 5–4 at Ontario Reign, Oct 30. Odds: Ontario 2.35, Tucson 2.35.
- Win, 5–1 at Coachella Valley Firebirds, Oct 28. Odds: Coachella 2.15, Tucson 2.55.
- Win, 4–1 at Henderson Silver Knights, Oct 24. Odds: Henderson 2.25, Tucson 2.45.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Henderson Silver Knights, after overtime, Oct 23. Odds: Henderson 2.50, Tucson 2.20.
- Win, 2–1 against Colorado Eagles, Nov 4. Odds: Coachella 1.91, Colorado 3.00.
- Win, 5–1 against Henderson Silver Knights, Oct 30. Odds: Coachella 2.30, Henderson 2.35.
- Loss, 1–5 against Tucson Roadrunners, Oct 28. Odds: Coachella 2.15, Tucson 2.55.
- Loss, 2–5 against San Jose Barracuda, Oct 23. Odds: Coachella 2.15, San Jose 2.50.
- Win, 3–2 at San Diego Gulls, Oct 21. Odds: San Diego 2.55, Coachella 2.15.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 01:17 Goal Tucson Roadrunners: Iginla T. assists: Onyebuchi M. 1-0
2nd period1-0
- 18:01 Goal Tucson Roadrunners: Roy J. assists: Desnoyers C., Iginla T. 2-0
3rd period1-1
- 17:25 Goal ENG Tucson Roadrunners: Tanev B. assists: Borikov Y., Lavoie T. 3-0
- 19:54 Goal PPG Coachella Valley Firebirds: Sale E. assists: Rehkopf C., Olofsson G. 3-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Tucson Roadrunners coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Tucson Roadrunners, 1 for Coachella Valley Firebirds.
- Goal differential gap of 1.7 per game — Tucson Roadrunners +1.4, Coachella Valley Firebirds −0.3 over their recent games.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Tucson Roadrunners.
- Save % gap: Tucson Roadrunners 91.2%, Coachella Valley Firebirds 89.0% over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (TUC) | 2.20 | 2.20 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.30 | 4.30 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (CVF) | 2.50 | 2.50 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap TUC | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · Pacific Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 20 | .769 | 43 | 28 | +15 | |
| 2 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 18 | .692 | 45 | 36 | +9 | |
| 3 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 18 | .600 | 44 | 38 | +6 | |
| 4 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 16 | .533 | 48 | 45 | +3 | |
| 5 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 16 | .667 | 28 | 24 | +4 | |
| 6 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | .500 | 42 | 50 | −8 | |
| 7 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 13 | .464 | 39 | 47 | −8 | |
| 8 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 13 | .500 | 31 | 32 | −1 | |
| 9 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 12 | .462 | 37 | 48 | −11 | |
| 10 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 9 | .375 | 28 | 35 | −7 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Tucson Roadrunners host Coachella Valley Firebirds in the AHL on Friday, November 6, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.