Tucson Roadrunners vs Coachella Valley Firebirds prediction
Chance to win · 47% and 31% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2LostTucsonodds down 2.45Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostO4.5odds down 1.40Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonTucson +1.5odds down 1.35Confidence 72%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonTucsonodds down 1.60Confidence 60%
- Double chanceWonTucson or drawodds down 1.52Confidence 70%
- Draw no betPushTucsonodds down 1.91Confidence 62%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.09Confidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostTucsonodds down 2.70Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.74Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Tucson 4–1
Coachella Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min2–25%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–07%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (5%), 5-2 (4%), 3-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formTucson Roadrunners
Coachella Valley Firebirds
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Tucson 4–1
Coachella - Nov 6, 2026: Tucson Roadrunners 3, Coachella Valley Firebirds 1.
- Oct 28, 2026: Coachella Valley Firebirds 1, Tucson Roadrunners 5.
- Feb 15, 2026: Coachella Valley Firebirds 2, Tucson Roadrunners 3.
- Feb 13, 2026: Coachella Valley Firebirds 6, Tucson Roadrunners 1.
- Nov 8, 2025: Tucson Roadrunners 4, Coachella Valley Firebirds 3, after overtime.
Last five games
Tucson
5-0-0 - Win, 3–1 against Coachella Valley Firebirds, Nov 6. Odds: Tucson 2.20, Coachella 2.50.
- Win, 3–2 at Ontario Reign, Oct 31. Odds: Ontario 2.12, Tucson 2.67.
- Win, 5–4 at Ontario Reign, Oct 30. Odds: Ontario 2.35, Tucson 2.35.
- Win, 5–1 at Coachella Valley Firebirds, Oct 28. Odds: Coachella 2.15, Tucson 2.55.
- Win, 4–1 at Henderson Silver Knights, Oct 24. Odds: Henderson 2.25, Tucson 2.45.
Coachella
2-3-0 - Loss, 1–3 at Tucson Roadrunners, Nov 6. Odds: Tucson 2.20, Coachella 2.50.
- Win, 2–1 against Colorado Eagles, Nov 4. Odds: Coachella 1.91, Colorado 3.00.
- Win, 5–1 against Henderson Silver Knights, Oct 30. Odds: Coachella 2.30, Henderson 2.35.
- Loss, 1–5 against Tucson Roadrunners, Oct 28. Odds: Coachella 2.15, Tucson 2.55.
- Loss, 2–5 against San Jose Barracuda, Oct 23. Odds: Coachella 2.15, San Jose 2.50.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period2-1
- 13:10 Goal PPG Tucson Roadrunners: Hebig C. assists: Poganski A., Jones Z. 1-0
- 14:19 Goal Coachella Valley Firebirds: Nelson T. assists: Villeneuve N. 1-1
- 19:21 Goal Tucson Roadrunners: Borikov Y. assists: Moroz V., Rooney K. 2-1
3rd period0-1
- 11:16 Goal Coachella Valley Firebirds: Stephens M. assists: Avon J., Evers R. 2-2
Overtime1-0
- 00:23 Goal Tucson Roadrunners: Jones Z. assists: Poganski A., But D. 3-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Tucson Roadrunners and Coachella Valley Firebirds played yesterday.
- 5-game winning streak for Tucson Roadrunners coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Tucson Roadrunners dropped from 1.75 to 1.60 since they were first published.
- Goal differential gap of 2.7 per game — Tucson Roadrunners +1.8, Coachella Valley Firebirds −0.9 over their recent games.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Tucson Roadrunners.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (TUC) | 2.10 | 2.10 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.40 | 4.40 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (CVF) | 2.60 | 2.60 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 6 | Line raised |
| Handicap TUC | +1.5 | −0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · Pacific Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tucson Roadrunners |
13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 20 | .769 | 43 | 28 | +15 |
| 2 |  Abbotsford Canucks |
13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 18 | .692 | 45 | 36 | +9 |
| 3 |  Colorado Eagles |
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 18 | .600 | 44 | 38 | +6 |
| 4 |  Calgary Wranglers |
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 16 | .533 | 48 | 45 | +3 |
| 5 |  Henderson Silver Knights |
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 16 | .667 | 28 | 24 | +4 |
| 6 | Coachella Valley Firebirds |
14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | .500 | 42 | 50 | −8 |
| 7 |  Ontario Reign |
14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 13 | .464 | 39 | 47 | −8 |
| 8 |  San Diego Gulls |
13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 13 | .500 | 31 | 32 | −1 |
| 9 |  San Jose Barracuda |
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 12 | .462 | 37 | 48 | −11 |
| 10 |  Bakersfield Condors |
12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 9 | .375 | 28 | 35 | −7 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Tucson Roadrunners host Coachella Valley Firebirds in the AHL on Saturday, November 7, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.