Tucson Roadrunners vs San Diego Gulls prediction
Chance to win · 41% and 37% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Full game
- 1X2WonTucson2.35Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostO4.51.32Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonTucson +1.5odds up 1.29Confidence 67%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonTucsonodds up 1.87Confidence 52%
- Double chanceWonTucson or drawodds up 1.47Confidence 65%
- Draw no betWonTucsonodds up 1.87Confidence 52%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYes1.07Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonTucsonodds up 2.72Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.76Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 4 games; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Tucson 4–1
San Diego Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min3–04%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–07%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · all three30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (4%), 5-2 (4%), 3-2 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formTucson Roadrunners
San Diego Gulls
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Tucson 3–2
San Diego - Oct 17, 2026: Tucson Roadrunners 2, San Diego Gulls 3, after overtime.
- Apr 15, 2026: San Diego Gulls 1, Tucson Roadrunners 5.
- Apr 1, 2026: San Diego Gulls 3, Tucson Roadrunners 0.
- Feb 25, 2026: San Diego Gulls 1, Tucson Roadrunners 2, after overtime.
- Jan 28, 2026: San Diego Gulls 3, Tucson Roadrunners 4, after a shootout.
Last five games
Tucson
3-2-0 - Win, 4–1 at San Jose Barracuda, Oct 10.
- Win, 7–4 at San Jose Barracuda, Oct 9. Odds: San Jose 2.00, Tucson 2.95.
- Loss, 3–5 against Colorado Eagles, Oct 4.
- Loss, 0–2 against Colorado Eagles, Oct 3.
- Win, 5–4 against Henderson Silver Knights, Apr 18.
San Diego
2-2-1 - Loss, 2–3 against Ontario Reign, Oct 14. Odds: San Diego 2.25, Ontario 2.45.
- Win, 2–0 against Henderson Silver Knights, Oct 10.
- Loss, 3–6 at Coachella Valley Firebirds, Oct 9. Odds: Coachella 2.55, San Diego 2.28.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 at San Jose Barracuda, after overtime, Oct 4.
- Win, 5–1 at San Jose Barracuda, Oct 3.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 08:43 Goal Tucson Roadrunners: McCartney B. assists: Duda A., Smith G. 1-0
2nd period1-0
- 13:07 Goal Tucson Roadrunners: Hebig C. 2-0
3rd period1-0
- 17:02 Goal ENG Tucson Roadrunners: Tanev B. 3-0
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Tucson Roadrunners, 1 for San Diego Gulls.
- Goal differential gap of 2.2 per game — Tucson Roadrunners +0.6, San Diego Gulls −1.6 over their recent games.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Tucson Roadrunners.
- Save % gap: Tucson Roadrunners 91.9%, San Diego Gulls 87.5% over their recent games.
- 4.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (TUC) | 2.38 | 2.38 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.33 | 4.33 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (SDG) | 2.32 | 2.32 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 6 | Line raised |
| Handicap TUC | +0.5 | +0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · Pacific Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tucson Roadrunners |
13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 20 | .769 | 43 | 28 | +15 |
| 2 |  Abbotsford Canucks |
13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 18 | .692 | 45 | 36 | +9 |
| 3 |  Colorado Eagles |
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 18 | .600 | 44 | 38 | +6 |
| 4 |  Calgary Wranglers |
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 16 | .533 | 48 | 45 | +3 |
| 5 |  Henderson Silver Knights |
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 16 | .667 | 28 | 24 | +4 |
| 6 |  Coachella Valley Firebirds |
14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | .500 | 42 | 50 | −8 |
| 7 |  Ontario Reign |
14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 13 | .464 | 39 | 47 | −8 |
| 8 | San Diego Gulls |
13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 13 | .500 | 31 | 32 | −1 |
| 9 |  San Jose Barracuda |
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 12 | .462 | 37 | 48 | −11 |
| 10 |  Bakersfield Condors |
12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 9 | .375 | 28 | 35 | −7 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Tucson Roadrunners host San Diego Gulls in the AHL on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.