Tucson Roadrunners vs San Diego Gulls prediction
Chance to win · 44% and 34% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2LostTucsonodds up 2.42Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostO4.5odds down 1.36Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonTucson +1.5odds up 1.36Confidence 71%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostTucsonodds up 1.88Confidence 57%
- Double chanceWonTucson or drawodds up 1.52Confidence 68%
- Draw no betPushTucsonodds up 1.89Confidence 58%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.08Confidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostTucson2.80Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.78Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min2–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–17%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 2 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (4%), 5-2 (4%), 3-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Oct 16, 2026: Tucson Roadrunners 3, San Diego Gulls 0.
- Apr 15, 2026: San Diego Gulls 1, Tucson Roadrunners 5.
- Apr 1, 2026: San Diego Gulls 3, Tucson Roadrunners 0.
- Feb 25, 2026: San Diego Gulls 1, Tucson Roadrunners 2, after overtime.
- Jan 28, 2026: San Diego Gulls 3, Tucson Roadrunners 4, after a shootout.
Last five games
- Win, 3–0 against San Diego Gulls, Oct 16. Odds: Tucson 2.38, San Diego 2.32.
- Win, 4–1 at San Jose Barracuda, Oct 10.
- Win, 7–4 at San Jose Barracuda, Oct 9. Odds: San Jose 2.00, Tucson 2.95.
- Loss, 3–5 against Colorado Eagles, Oct 4.
- Loss, 0–2 against Colorado Eagles, Oct 3.
- Loss, 0–3 at Tucson Roadrunners, Oct 16. Odds: Tucson 2.38, San Diego 2.32.
- Loss, 2–3 against Ontario Reign, Oct 14. Odds: San Diego 2.25, Ontario 2.45.
- Win, 2–0 against Henderson Silver Knights, Oct 10.
- Loss, 3–6 at Coachella Valley Firebirds, Oct 9. Odds: Coachella 2.55, San Diego 2.28.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 at San Jose Barracuda, after overtime, Oct 4.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 01:13 Goal San Diego Gulls: Myatovic N. assists: Gaucher N. 0-1
- 18:43 Goal Tucson Roadrunners: Lavoie T. assists: Biber G., Poganski A. 1-1
2nd period0-1
- 06:34 Goal PPG San Diego Gulls: Phillips M. assists: Wahlberg A., Solberg S. 1-2
3rd period1-0
- 08:32 Goal PPG Tucson Roadrunners: Borikov Y. assists: McCartney B., Iginla T. 2-2
Overtime0-1
- 00:52 Goal San Diego Gulls: Myatovic N. assists: Solberg S. 2-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Tucson Roadrunners and San Diego Gulls played yesterday.
- 3-game winning streak for Tucson Roadrunners coming into this game.
- Goal differential gap of 2.7 per game — Tucson Roadrunners +1.2, San Diego Gulls −1.5 over their recent games.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Tucson Roadrunners.
- 1-3-1 in the last five for San Diego Gulls.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (TUC) | 2.37 | 2.37 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.80 | 3.80 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (SDG) | 2.15 | 2.15 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap TUC | +1.5 | +0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · Pacific Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 20 | .769 | 43 | 28 | +15 | |
| 2 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 18 | .692 | 45 | 36 | +9 | |
| 3 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 18 | .600 | 44 | 38 | +6 | |
| 4 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 16 | .533 | 48 | 45 | +3 | |
| 5 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 16 | .667 | 28 | 24 | +4 | |
| 6 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | .500 | 42 | 50 | −8 | |
| 7 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 13 | .464 | 39 | 47 | −8 | |
| 8 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 13 | .500 | 31 | 32 | −1 | |
| 9 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 12 | .462 | 37 | 48 | −11 | |
| 10 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 9 | .375 | 28 | 35 | −7 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Tucson Roadrunners host San Diego Gulls in the AHL on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.