TWK Innsbruck vs HK Olimpija Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Draw no bet Won

Olimpija 1.33

Confidence76%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 70%

Full game

1X2WonOlimpijaodds down 1.65Confidence 63%
Over/UnderWonU7.5odds down 1.33Confidence 70%
HandicapWonOlimpija +1.5odds down 1.13Confidence 78%
Winner (incl. OT)WonOlimpijaodds down 1.33Confidence 73%
Double chanceWonOlimpija or drawodds down 1.21Confidence 80%
Best tip of the game: Draw no betWonOlimpijaodds down 1.33Confidence 76%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.07Confidence 87%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostOlimpijaodds down 2.20Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.70Confidence 56%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Innsbruck 14

Olimpija

Final 2–5

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 7

Draw after 60 minDraw 18% Decided in regulation

OLI to winTo win 72% OLI won

Score details

Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min2–55%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period1–110%chance
Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals29%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 1-4
By period 0-2, 0-0, 1-2
Likeliest 1-4 (5%), 2-5 (5%), 2-4 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record6-5-07-3-0

Home / road split3-3-03-2-0

StreakW3W4

Rest1 day1 day

Goals for2.54.7

Goals against2.73.0

In the standings13th3rd

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game−0.1+1.7

Goals for2.64.7

Goals against2.73.0

Shots on goal31.133.0

Shots against33.828.1

Shooting %8.4%14.2%

Save %92.3%89.3%

Power-play %11.4%15.8%

Penalty kill %82.9%81.4%

Faceoff %49.4%55.5%

Penalty minutes8.28.6

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Innsbruck 23

Olimpija

HK Olimpija won three of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 8.8 INN 3.4 · OLI 5.4

Over 6.0 goalsOver 6.0 3 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 2 of 5 2 in overtime

Dec 7, 2025: TWK Innsbruck 1, HK Olimpija 3.
Nov 1, 2025: HK Olimpija 5, TWK Innsbruck 6, after overtime.
Oct 12, 2025: HK Olimpija 6, TWK Innsbruck 7, after overtime.
Sep 26, 2025: TWK Innsbruck 3, HK Olimpija 9.
Jan 31, 2025: TWK Innsbruck 0, HK Olimpija 4.

Last five games

Innsbruck 3-2-0

Win, 3–2 at Val Pusteria, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Val Pusteria 1.55, Innsbruck 4.30.
Win, 3–2 against Villach, after overtime, Oct 11.
Win, 4–1 at Milano, Oct 9. Odds: Milano 1.43, Innsbruck 4.90.
Loss, 0–3 at Graz99ers, Oct 3.
Loss, 0–4 at Vienna Capitals, Oct 2.

Olimpija 4-1-0

Win, 5–4 against Bolzano, Oct 16. Odds: Olimpija 2.30, Bolzano 2.44.
Win, 5–1 against Ferencvaros, Oct 11.
Win, 4–3 at Graz99ers, after overtime, Oct 9. Odds: Graz 1.98, Olimpija 2.80.
Win, 8–0 against Vorarlberg, Oct 4.
Loss, 2–4 at Val Pusteria, Oct 2.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period1-1

00:18 Goal TWK Innsbruck: Benker S. assists: Macierzynski K., Lindner P. 1-0
09:50 Goal HK Olimpija: Lawrence J. assists: Quince M. 1-1

2nd period0-2

15:22 Goal HK Olimpija: Douglas C. assists: Boychuk Z. 1-2
19:12 Goal HK Olimpija: Pance Z. assists: Boychuk Z., Douglas C. 1-3

3rd period1-2

11:27 Goal TWK Innsbruck: Kernberger M. assists: Owre S., Benker S. 2-3
17:02 Goal HK Olimpija: Lawrence J. assists: Brennan T., Quince M. 2-4
19:02 Goal ENG HK Olimpija: Halbert N. assists: Quince M., Meyer N. 2-5

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

4-game winning streak for HK Olimpija coming into this game.
3-game winning streak for TWK Innsbruck coming into this game.
Odds moved: the odds on HK Olimpija dropped from 1.42 to 1.30 since they were first published.
In goal: Harvey S. for TWK Innsbruck (4-6-0 in the last 10 starts), Us Z. for HK Olimpija (3-6-1 in the last 10 starts).
Goal differential gap of 1.8 per game — TWK Innsbruck −0.1, HK Olimpija +1.7 over their recent games.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (INN)	4.20	4.20	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.45	4.45	No change
1X2: 2 (OLI)	1.45	1.45	No change
Over/Under line	6	6	No change
Handicap INN	+1.5	+1.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

ICE Hockey League standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Bolzano	17	13	1	3	39	1.147	70	41	+29
2	Black Wings Linz	17	12	4	1	36	1.059	66	47	+19
3	HK Olimpija	17	12	5	0	35	1.029	73	43	+30
4	Val Pusteria	15	11	3	1	32	1.067	45	33	+12
5	Klagenfurt	17	10	6	1	30	.882	65	51	+14
6	Graz99ers	17	10	4	3	30	.882	50	47	+3
7	Salzburg	17	9	7	1	28	.824	55	52	+3
8	Milano	18	7	9	2	23	.639	55	61	−6
9	Ferencvaros	16	8	7	1	22	.688	49	55	−6
10	Vienna Capitals	16	7	7	2	21	.656	42	46	−4
11	Fehervar AV19	18	7	8	3	21	.583	38	61	−23
12	Villach	15	6	6	3	20	.667	40	43	−3
13	TWK Innsbruck	18	6	12	0	15	.417	36	59	−23
14	Vorarlberg	18	0	16	2	2	.056	40	85	−45

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

TWK Innsbruck vs HK Olimpija prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details