TWK Innsbruck vs Salzburg Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Handicap Won

Innsbruck +2.5 1.48

Confidence72%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 67%

Full game

1X2WonSalzburgodds up 1.47Confidence 51%
Over/UnderWonU7.5odds down 1.45Confidence 71%
Best tip of the game: HandicapWonInnsbruck +2.5odds down 1.48Confidence 72%
Winner (incl. OT)WonSalzburgodds up 1.26Confidence 61%
Double chanceWonSalzburg or drawodds up 1.15Confidence 70%
Draw no betWonSalzburgodds up 1.21Confidence 62%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.06Confidence 87%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostSalzburgodds up 1.93Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderLostU2.5odds down 1.28Confidence 76%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Innsbruck 24

Salzburg

Final 2–4

Total goalsTotal 6 Actual 6

Draw after 60 minDraw 22% Decided in regulation

SAL to winTo win 59% SAL won

Score details

Correct scoreWon2–4After 60 min2–44%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–11st period2–218%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 4 goals29%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 2-4
By period 0-1, 1-1, 1-2
Likeliest 2-4 (4%), 1-3 (4%), 2-3 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record6-7-05-6-1

Home / road split3-4-03-2-0

StreakL2W1

Rest1 day1 day

Goals for2.32.8

Goals against3.23.5

In the standings13th7th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game−0.9+0.1

Goals for2.23.1

Goals against3.13.0

Shots on goal30.730.8

Shots against34.926.1

Shooting %7.2%10.1%

Save %91.7%88.5%

Power-play %6.7%20.5%

Penalty kill %87.9%83.3%

Faceoff %49.5%48.9%

Penalty minutes6.610.8

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Innsbruck 14

Salzburg

Salzburg won four of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 4.8 INN 1.2 · SAL 3.6

Over 6.0 goalsOver 6.0 0 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in a shootout

Sep 23, 2026: Salzburg 2, TWK Innsbruck 3, after a shootout.
Mar 1, 2026: Salzburg 4, TWK Innsbruck 1.
Dec 30, 2025: TWK Innsbruck 0, Salzburg 4.
Nov 30, 2025: TWK Innsbruck 0, Salzburg 4.
Oct 19, 2025: Salzburg 4, TWK Innsbruck 2.

Last five games

Innsbruck 3-2-0

Loss, 0–6 at Bolzano, Oct 21. Odds: Bolzano 1.30, Innsbruck 6.00.
Loss, 2–5 against HK Olimpija, Oct 18. Odds: Innsbruck 4.20, Olimpija 1.45.
Win, 3–2 at Val Pusteria, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Val Pusteria 1.55, Innsbruck 4.30.
Win, 3–2 against Villach, after overtime, Oct 11.
Win, 4–1 at Milano, Oct 9. Odds: Milano 1.43, Innsbruck 4.90.

Salzburg 2-3-0

Win, 1–0 against HK Olimpija, Oct 21. Odds: Salzburg 1.85, Olimpija 2.75.
Loss, 0–6 against Black Wings Linz, Oct 16. Odds: Salzburg 1.80, Linz 3.35.
Loss, 2–4 at Skellefteå, Oct 13. Odds: Skelleftea 1.29, Salzburg 7.43.
Loss, 3–5 at Klagenfurt, Oct 11.
Win, 6–1 at Fehervar AV19, Oct 9. Odds: Fehervar 2.90, Salzburg 1.95.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period2-2

07:42 Goal PPG Salzburg: Nissner B. assists: Raffl M., Rattie T. 0-1
11:53 Goal TWK Innsbruck: Mayer C. assists: Benker S. 1-1
14:27 Goal Salzburg: Bohm M. assists: Gesson A. 1-2
19:26 Goal TWK Innsbruck: Owre S. assists: Messner J., Benker S. 2-2

2nd period0-1

01:10 Goal Salzburg: Poisson N. assists: Nienhuis N., Huber M. 2-3

3rd period0-1

19:40 Goal ENG Salzburg: Raffl M. assists: Huber M. 2-4

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

In goal: Harvey S. for TWK Innsbruck (4-6-0 in the last 10 starts), Tolvanen A. for Salzburg (4-5-1 in the last 10 starts).
Goal differential gap of 1.0 per game — TWK Innsbruck −0.9, Salzburg +0.1 over their recent games.
4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Salzburg.
+1.2 goals at home — TWK Innsbruck averaged 2.9 at home and 1.7 away this season.
Save % gap: TWK Innsbruck 91.7%, Salzburg 88.5% over their recent games.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (INN)	4.50	4.50	No change
1X2: X (draw)	5.50	5.50	No change
1X2: 2 (SAL)	1.44	1.44	No change
Over/Under line	6.5	6	Line lowered
Handicap INN	+1.5	+1.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

ICE Hockey League standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Bolzano	17	13	1	3	39	1.147	70	41	+29
2	Black Wings Linz	17	12	4	1	36	1.059	66	47	+19
3	HK Olimpija	17	12	5	0	35	1.029	73	43	+30
4	Val Pusteria	15	11	3	1	32	1.067	45	33	+12
5	Klagenfurt	17	10	6	1	30	.882	65	51	+14
6	Graz99ers	17	10	4	3	30	.882	50	47	+3
7	Salzburg	17	9	7	1	28	.824	55	52	+3
8	Milano	18	7	9	2	23	.639	55	61	−6
9	Ferencvaros	16	8	7	1	22	.688	49	55	−6
10	Vienna Capitals	16	7	7	2	21	.656	42	46	−4
11	Fehervar AV19	18	7	8	3	21	.583	38	61	−23
12	Villach	15	6	6	3	20	.667	40	43	−3
13	TWK Innsbruck	18	6	12	0	15	.417	36	59	−23
14	Vorarlberg	18	0	16	2	2	.056	40	85	−45

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

TWK Innsbruck vs Salzburg prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details