Tychy vs Jastrzebie prediction
Chance to win · 81% and 8% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 79%Full game
- 1X2WonTychyodds down 1.37Confidence 80%
- Over/UnderWonO4.51.39Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonTychy -0.5odds down 1.37Confidence 74%
- Banker of the day: Winner (incl. OT)WonTychyodds up 1.19Confidence 95%
- Double chanceWonTychy or draw1.12Confidence 89%
- Draw no betWonTychyodds down 1.16Confidence 89%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.14Confidence 81%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostTychyodds down 1.89Confidence 56%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5Confidence 76%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The banker is the day’s best bet at short odds, not its surest result. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreWon4–1After 60 min4–17%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period0–023%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 1-0, 2-1, 1-0
- Likeliest 4-1 (8%), 5-1 (5%), 5-2 (5%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 18+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Sep 27, 2026: Jastrzebie 1, Tychy 4.
- Mar 8, 2026: Tychy 5, Jastrzebie 2.
- Mar 5, 2026: Jastrzebie 0, Tychy 4.
- Mar 4, 2026: Jastrzebie 1, Tychy 3.
- Mar 1, 2026: Tychy 2, Jastrzebie 4.
Last five games
- Win, 2–1 at Unia Oswiecim, Oct 23. Odds: Unia Oswiecim 2.90, Tychy 1.93.
- Win, 3–1 against Zaglebie Sosnowiec, Oct 20. Odds: Tychy 1.72, Zaglebie 2.90.
- Win, 5–3 at Katowice, Oct 18. Odds: Katowice 2.94, Tychy 1.90.
- Win, 12–2 at MMKS Podhale, Oct 16. Odds: Podhale 30.00, Tychy –.
- Loss, 3–6 against Tappara, Oct 13. Odds: Tychy 8.90, Tappara 1.23.
- Win, 2–0 against Sanok, Oct 23. Odds: Jastrzebie 1.20, Sanok 9.00.
- Loss, 2–5 at Krakow, Oct 20. Odds: Krakow 2.92, Jastrzebie 1.70.
- Win, 1–0 at Bytom, Oct 18. Odds: Bytom 1.57, Jastrzebie 4.10.
- Win, 1–0 against Torun, Oct 16. Odds: Jastrzebie 2.18, Torun 2.15.
- Win, 5–0 against MMKS Podhale, Oct 11.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period3-0
- 03:22 Goal SHG Tychy: Pas D. assists: Goscinski M., Pociecha B. 1-0
- 15:30 Goal Tychy: Viitala L. assists: Pas D., Lyszczarczyk A. 2-0
- 18:14 Goal PPG Tychy: Kovar L. assists: Viitala L., Jeziorski B. 3-0
3rd period1-1
- 14:04 Goal Tychy: Kakkonen V. assists: Kaskinen O., Pas D. 4-0
- 19:57 Goal Jastrzebie: Kasperlik M. assists: Bagin E., Bezuska P. 4-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Tychy coming into this game.
- In goal: Fucik T. for Tychy (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts), Holsa P. for Jastrzebie (3-5-0 in the last 8 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 1.9 per game — Tychy +2.0, Jastrzebie +0.1 over their recent games.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Tychy.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Jastrzebie.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (TYC) | 1.36 | 1.33 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.00 | 5.20 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (JAS) | 6.00 | 6.60 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap TYC | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Polish Hockey League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 39 | 1.219 | 75 | 29 | +46 | |
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 34 | .895 | 81 | 46 | +35 | |
| 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 33 | .971 | 73 | 38 | +35 | |
| 4 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 32 | 1.000 | 68 | 40 | +28 | |
| 5 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 31 | .969 | 73 | 40 | +33 | |
| 6 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | .933 | 63 | 49 | +14 | |
| 7 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 23 | .676 | 47 | 61 | −14 | |
| 8 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 20 | .625 | 30 | 44 | −14 | |
| 9 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 6 | .188 | 23 | 70 | −47 | |
| 10 | 16 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 20 | 136 | −116 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Tychy host Jastrzebie in the Polish Hockey League on Sunday, October 25, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.