Tychy vs Tappara prediction
Chance to win · 37% and 42% in regulation
Fucik T.StartedSV 91.4% · GAA 2.40 · 4-5-1
Heljanko C.StartedSV 93.3% · GAA 1.60 · 7-2-1All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2WonTappara1.26Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostU7.5odds down 1.27Confidence 69%
- HandicapWonTychy +3.5odds up 1.31Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonTapparaodds up 1.11Confidence 51%
- Double chanceWonTappara or drawodds down 1.12Confidence 65%
- Draw no betWonTapparaodds down 1.16Confidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.15Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds down 2.87Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU2.5odds down 1.26Confidence 77%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the teams play in different competitions; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; an edge above the model’s usual ceiling.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Tychy 1–4
Tappara Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min3–65%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period2–120%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 4 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-0, 0-2, 1-2
- Likeliest 1-4 (5%), 2-3 (5%), 1-3 (5%)
The two teams play in different competitions, so this projection leans on less.
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formTychy
Tappara
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Last five games
Tychy
2-2-1 - Win, 11–0 against Sanok, Oct 11.
- Loss, 1–2 against Krakow, Oct 9. Odds: Tychy 1.26, Krakow 7.00.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 at Adler Mannheim, after a shootout, Oct 7.
- Win, 2–1 at Bytom, Oct 4.
- Loss, 1–4 against Torun, Oct 2.
Tappara
4-0-1 - Win, 4–3 against TPS Turku, after a shootout, Oct 10.
- Win, 3–2 at KalPa, Oct 9. Odds: KalPa 3.10, Tappara 2.08.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 against Storhamar, after overtime, Oct 7.
- Win, 3–2 against Jokerit, after overtime, Oct 2.
- Win, 3–0 against KooKoo, Sep 30.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-1
- 02:03 Goal Tychy: Kucharski S. assists: Kovar L., Goscinski M. 1-0
- 13:59 Goal Tappara: Almari N. assists: Rautiainen B., Rasanen A. 1-1
- 19:25 Goal Tychy: Knuutinen H. assists: Lyszczarczyk A., Bryk M. 2-1
2nd period0-4
- 03:02 Goal Tappara: Rautiainen B. assists: Lindqvist M., Rasanen A. 2-2
- 09:52 2 min Tychy: Kovar L. Interference
- 11:28 Goal PPG Tappara: Vanhatalo V. assists: Kulonummi K. 2-3
- 12:16 2 min Tychy: Jamsen J. Hooking
- 12:32 Goal PPG Tappara: Rasanen A. assists: Lindqvist M. 2-4
- 17:26 Goal Tappara: Fabre D. assists: Mattila Ju., Tammela J. 2-5
3rd period1-1
- 04:19 Goal Tappara: Rasanen A. assists: Lindqvist M., Rautiainen B. 2-6
- 08:25 Goal Tychy: Sertti L. assists: Jeziorski B. 3-6
- 08:25 2 min Tappara: Rasanen I. Slashing
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Tappara dropped from 1.21 to 1.13 since they were first published.
- In goal: Fucik T. for Tychy (4-5-1 in the last 10 starts), Heljanko C. for Tappara (7-2-1 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 1.8 per game — Tychy +2.5, Tappara +0.7 over their recent games.
- 4-0-1 in the last five for Tappara.
- Save % gap: Tychy 89.2%, Tappara 91.8% over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (TYC) | 8.90 | 8.90 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 6.48 | 6.48 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (TAP) | 1.23 | 1.23 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6 | 5.5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap TYC | +2.5 | +2.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Champions Hockey League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Plzen |
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 1.500 | 24 | 9 | +15 |
| 2 |  Skelleftea |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 1.250 | 24 | 12 | +12 |
| 3 |  Pardubice |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 1.167 | 22 | 9 | +13 |
| 4 |  Kolner |
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1.400 | 21 | 9 | +12 |
| 5 |  Frolunda |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 1.000 | 28 | 14 | +14 |
| 6 |  Adler Mannheim |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | .917 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 7 | Tappara |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | .917 | 19 | 18 | +1 |
| 8 |  Vaxjo |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | .833 | 16 | 11 | +5 |
| 9 |  SaiPa |
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 1.000 | 16 | 14 | +2 |
| 10 |  KooKoo |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | .833 | 20 | 19 | +1 |
| 11 |  Fribourg |
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | .900 | 18 | 12 | +6 |
| 12 |  Rogle |
6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | .750 | 13 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 |  Servette |
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | .900 | 12 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 |  Eisbaren Berlin |
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | .900 | 14 | 19 | −5 |
| 15 |  Davos |
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | .800 | 19 | 15 | +4 |
| 16 |  Nitra |
6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | .667 | 15 | 19 | −4 |
| 17 |  Liberec |
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | .700 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 |  Storhamar |
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | .600 | 11 | 13 | −2 |
| 19 |  Bordeaux |
6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | .333 | 16 | 35 | −19 |
| 20 |  Salzburg |
6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | .250 | 13 | 24 | −11 |
| 21 |  Klagenfurt |
5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | .200 | 8 | 14 | −6 |
| 22 |  Herning Blue Fox |
5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | .100 | 6 | 19 | −13 |
| 23 | Tychy |
6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | .083 | 10 | 24 | −14 |
| 24 |  Graz99ers |
5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 8 | 21 | −13 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Tychy host Tappara in the Champions Hockey League on Tuesday, October 13, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.