Ujpest vs Fenestela prediction
Chance to win · 80% and 9% in regulation
Rajna M.Started3-6-1
Arany G.StartedSV 95.8% · GAA 1.50 · 4-6-0All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 76%Full game
- 1X2WonUjpestodds down 1.19Confidence 78%
- Over/UnderLostO5.5odds up 1.34Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonUjpest -2.5odds down 1.62Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonUjpest1.09Confidence 84%
- Double chanceWonUjpest or draw1.05Confidence 89%
- Draw no betWonUjpestodds down 1.06Confidence 88%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYes1.11Confidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostUjpestodds down 1.60Confidence 59%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.56Confidence 62%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Ujpest 5–2
Fenestela Score details
- Correct scoreLost5–2After 60 min4–05%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–014%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 5-2
- By period 2-0, 2-1, 1-1
- Likeliest 5-2 (5%), 5-1 (5%), 6-1 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonUjpest
Fenestela
Head-to-head
Ujpest 1–0
Fenestela - Sep 25, 2026: Fenestela 2, Ujpest 7.
Last five games
Ujpest
4-1-0 - Win, 4–2 at DAB, Oct 25. Odds: DAB 10.50, Ujpest 1.14.
- Win, 8–1 at Lehel, Oct 20.
- Loss, 1–5 at DEAC, Oct 16. Odds: DEAC 2.35, Ujpest 2.42.
- Win, 8–0 against DAB, Oct 11.
- Win, 5–2 at DVTK, Oct 9. Odds: DVTK 2.27, Ujpest 2.42.
Fenestela
1-4-0 - Win, 8–1 against CSM Galati, Oct 27.
- Loss, 1–6 against Csikszereda, Oct 25. Odds: Fenestela 5.00, Miercurea Ciuc 1.47.
- Loss, 2–5 at Gyergyoi, Oct 23. Odds: Gheorgheni 1.06, Fenestela 20.00.
- Loss, 4–6 against Gyergyoi, Oct 18.
- Loss, 1–7 at Csikszereda, Oct 16. Odds: Miercurea Ciuc 1.65, Fenestela 3.67.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period3-0
- 01:20 Goal Ujpest: Szathmary S. assists: Vasko F., Sokay B. 1-0
- 07:06 Goal Ujpest: Franyo K. assists: Lehtonen M., Bogesic V. 2-0
- 11:46 Goal Ujpest: Lehtonen M. assists: Szalma Z., Franyo K. 3-0
3rd period1-0
- 13:43 Goal Ujpest: Zitny R. assists: Szathmary S. 4-0
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 4 days off for Ujpest, 2 for Fenestela.
- In goal: Rajna M. for Ujpest (3-6-1 in the last 10 starts), Arany G. for Fenestela (4-6-0 in the last 10 starts).
- +1.8 goals at home — Ujpest averaged 5.8 at home and 4.0 away this season.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Ujpest.
- 1-4-0 in the last five for Fenestela.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (UJP) | 1.25 | 1.25 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 7.00 | 7.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (FEN) | 6.00 | 6.00 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap UJP | −2.5 | −2.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Erste Liga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  DEAC |
14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 1.107 | 50 | 33 | +17 |
| 2 |  Brasov |
13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 1.154 | 53 | 34 | +19 |
| 3 |  DVTK |
14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 1.071 | 41 | 34 | +7 |
| 4 |  Budapest Akademia |
14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 29 | 1.036 | 56 | 37 | +19 |
| 5 |  Gyergyoi |
16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 27 | .844 | 49 | 35 | +14 |
| 6 | Ujpest |
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 26 | 1.000 | 57 | 29 | +28 |
| 7 |  Csikszereda |
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 23 | .767 | 48 | 44 | +4 |
| 8 | Fenestela |
13 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 8 | .308 | 29 | 54 | −25 |
| 9 |  Feha19 |
14 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 4 | .143 | 27 | 61 | −34 |
| 10 |  DAB |
14 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 2 | .071 | 18 | 67 | −49 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Ujpest host Fenestela in the Erste Liga on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.