United HK vs UK Prague prediction
Chance to win · 22% and 59% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2WonUK Pragueodds down 1.26Confidence 60%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostU6.5odds down 1.95Confidence 69%
- HandicapLostUnited HK +2.5odds down 1.95Confidence 63%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonUK Pragueodds down 1.14Confidence 69%
- Double chanceWonUK Prague or drawConfidence 73%
- Draw no betWonUK PragueConfidence 72%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonUK PragueConfidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.56Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 4 games; an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–4After 60 min2–54%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period0–311%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 3rd30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-4
- By period 0-2, 2-1, 0-1
- Likeliest 2-4 (4%), 1-3 (4%), 2-3 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Dec 11, 2025: United HK 3, UK Prague 4, after a shootout.
- Oct 7, 2025: UK Prague 4, United HK 1.
- Mar 21, 2025: United HK 2, UK Prague 3.
- Mar 20, 2025: UK Prague 6, United HK 3.
- Dec 16, 2024: United HK 1, UK Prague 0.
Last five games
- Loss, 1–3 at Cavaliers Brno, Oct 7.
- Loss, 0–9 against Engineers Prague, Oct 5.
- Win, 4–3 against BO Ostrava, after a shootout, Sep 28.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at VSE Falcons Prague, after overtime, Sep 22.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at VSE Falcons Prague, after overtime, Mar 31.
- Win, 2–0 at ZCU Academy Pilsen, Oct 7.
- Win, 2–0 against North Wings Usti nad Labem, Oct 5.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 against VSE Falcons Prague, after a shootout, Sep 30.
- Loss, 3–4 at Engineers Prague, Sep 22.
- Win, 4–1 against Engineers Prague, Apr 17.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-3
- 11:47 Goal UK Prague: Cizek A. assists: Kucharcik S. N. 0-1
- 18:32 Goal UK Prague: Piskac D. assists: Napravnik O., Fiala M. 0-2
- 19:50 Goal UK Prague: Kristan P. assists: Bill G. 0-3
2nd period1-0
- 12:04 Goal United HK: Zalis V. assists: Dunda D. 1-3
3rd period1-2
- 00:47 Goal PPG UK Prague: Klatt A. assists: Kucharcik S. N., Jindra D. 1-4
- 11:19 Goal PPG United HK: Dunda D. assists: Fiala P., Kopecky J. 2-4
- 18:44 Goal UK Prague: Jindra D. assists: Fiala M., Napravnik O. 2-5
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for UK Prague.
- 1-2-2 in the last five for United HK.
- 5.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
- 8th vs 4th in the ULLH standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (UNI) | 5.50 | 3.91 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 6.50 | 6.50 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (PRA) | 1.25 | 1.40 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap UNI | +2.5 | +2.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
ULLH standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 1.313 | 39 | 15 | +24 | |
| 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 1.125 | 34 | 19 | +15 | |
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 1.000 | 32 | 26 | +6 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 1.071 | 25 | 14 | +11 | |
| 5 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 15 | .938 | 30 | 29 | +1 | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | .929 | 29 | 24 | +5 | |
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12 | .750 | 23 | 30 | −7 | |
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12 | .667 | 23 | 35 | −12 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9 | .563 | 23 | 32 | −9 | |
| 10 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 7 | .389 | 24 | 33 | −9 | |
| 11 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 3 | .188 | 24 | 36 | −12 | |
| 12 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 3 | .188 | 21 | 34 | −13 |
- Play-in: Final
- Play-in: Semi-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
United HK host UK Prague in the ULLH on Monday, October 12, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.