Unterland vs Acroni Jesenice prediction
Chance to win · 28% and 52% in regulation
Bampi M.Started2-4-1
Ulcar M.Surprise start6-4-0All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Full game
- 1X2WonJeseniceodds up 1.42Confidence 53%
- Over/UnderWonO4.51.30Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostUnterland +2.5odds down 1.57Confidence 68%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonJeseniceodds up 1.24Confidence 64%
- Banker of the day: Double chanceWonJesenice or drawodds up 1.16Confidence 91%
- Draw no betWonJeseniceodds up 1.20Confidence 67%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.11Confidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonJeseniceodds up 2.02Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.73Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The banker is the day’s best bet at short odds, not its surest result. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Unterland 2–3
Jesenice Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min1–44%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon0–21st period0–29%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 3rd29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 2-4 (4%), 3-4 (3%)
Season so far
This seasonUnterland
Acroni Jesenice
Head-to-head
Unterland 1–4
Jesenice - Sep 26, 2026: Unterland 2, Acroni Jesenice 3.
- Jan 8, 2026: Acroni Jesenice 3, Unterland 2.
- Dec 18, 2025: Unterland 5, Acroni Jesenice 2.
- Oct 14, 2025: Acroni Jesenice 7, Unterland 4.
- Jan 11, 2025: Unterland 2, Acroni Jesenice 3, after overtime.
Last five games
Unterland
1-2-2 - Win, 4–3 at Klagenfurt II, after a shootout, Oct 15. Odds: Klagenfurt II 3.37, Unterland 1.73.
- Loss, 1–3 against Eisbaren, Oct 10. Odds: Unterland 5.10, Zeller Eisbaren 1.44.
- Loss, 1–2 against Merano, Oct 8.
- Overtime loss, 5–6 at Asiago, after a shootout, Oct 3.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against Cortina, after overtime, Oct 1.
Jesenice
4-1-0 - Win, 3–1 against Kitzbuhel, Oct 15. Odds: Jesenice 1.71, Kitzbuhel 3.31.
- Loss, 3–4 at Eisbaren, Oct 13. Odds: Zeller Eisbaren 2.07, Jesenice 2.40.
- Win, 3–0 against Cortina, Oct 10. Odds: Jesenice 1.80, Cortina 3.25.
- Win, 5–3 at Vipiteno, Oct 8.
- Win, 5–2 against Klagenfurt II, Oct 3.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-2
- 10:06 Goal Acroni Jesenice: Sturm J. assists: Zupancic A., Urukalo Z. 0-1
- 12:38 Goal Acroni Jesenice: Sturm J. assists: Jakupovic A., Urukalo Z. 0-2
2nd period0-1
- 13:08 Goal PPG Acroni Jesenice: Magovac A. assists: Sabolic R., Svetina E. 0-3
3rd period1-1
- 11:27 Goal PPG Unterland: Linjala M. assists: Inama C., Engelaar H. 1-3
- 18:26 Goal Acroni Jesenice: Sturm J. assists: Sabolic R., Kapel R. 1-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Surprise in goal: Ulcar M. started for Acroni Jesenice, not Dukaric J..
- Odds moved: the odds on Unterland dropped from 3.15 to 2.70 since they were first published.
- 1-3-1 at home for Unterland this season.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Acroni Jesenice.
- −1.4 goals away — Acroni Jesenice averaged 4.6 at home and 3.3 away this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (UNT) | 3.90 | 3.90 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.50 | 4.50 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (ACR) | 1.45 | 1.45 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6 | Line lowered |
| Handicap UNT | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Alps Hockey League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Acroni Jesenice |
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 36 | 1.125 | 59 | 30 | +29 |
| 2 |  Asiago |
16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 34 | 1.063 | 72 | 55 | +17 |
| 3 |  Eisbaren |
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 30 | 1.154 | 48 | 32 | +16 |
| 4 |  Ritten |
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 1.036 | 51 | 34 | +17 |
| 5 |  Kitzbuhel |
15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 24 | .800 | 60 | 50 | +10 |
| 6 |  Merano |
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 19 | .731 | 30 | 37 | −7 |
| 7 |  Salzburg 2 |
15 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 18 | .600 | 34 | 54 | −20 |
| 8 |  KHL Sisak |
13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 17 | .654 | 44 | 36 | +8 |
| 9 |  Gherdeina |
13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16 | .615 | 40 | 50 | −10 |
| 10 | Unterland |
14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 15 | .536 | 42 | 51 | −9 |
| 11 |  Vipiteno |
12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 14 | .583 | 42 | 47 | −5 |
| 12 |  Klagenfurt II |
13 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 10 | .385 | 34 | 57 | −23 |
| 13 |  Cortina |
13 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .308 | 24 | 47 | −23 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Unterland host Acroni Jesenice in the Alps Hockey League on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.