Unterland vs Kitzbuhel prediction
Chance to win · 31% and 49% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2LostKitzbuhelodds up 1.78Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.37Confidence 72%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonUnterland +2.5odds down 1.29Confidence 70%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonKitzbuhelodds down 1.60Confidence 62%
- Double chanceWonKitzbuhel or drawodds up 1.30Confidence 71%
- Draw no betPushKitzbuhelodds up 1.43Confidence 63%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.09Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonKitzbuhel2.36Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.83Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay; the odds drifted 11% since they opened.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min4–44%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period1–28%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 2nd29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 2-4 (4%), 3-4 (3%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Sep 24, 2026: Kitzbuhel 7, Unterland 2.
- Feb 14, 2026: Kitzbuhel 2, Unterland 1, after overtime.
- Feb 7, 2026: Unterland 2, Kitzbuhel 0.
- Dec 22, 2025: Unterland 3, Kitzbuhel 4, after overtime.
- Nov 22, 2025: Unterland 1, Kitzbuhel 4.
Last five games
- Win, 5–3 at Salzburg 2, Oct 24. Odds: Salzburg II 1.98, Unterland 2.80.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 against Asiago, after a shootout, Oct 20. Odds: Unterland 3.75, Asiago 1.50.
- Loss, 1–4 against Acroni Jesenice, Oct 17. Odds: Unterland 3.90, Jesenice 1.45.
- Win, 4–3 at Klagenfurt II, after a shootout, Oct 15. Odds: Klagenfurt II 3.37, Unterland 1.73.
- Loss, 1–3 against Eisbaren, Oct 10. Odds: Unterland 5.10, Zeller Eisbaren 1.44.
- Loss, 2–4 at Asiago, Oct 25. Odds: Asiago 1.70, Kitzbuhel 3.40.
- Loss, 3–4 at Asiago, Oct 24. Odds: Asiago 2.09, Kitzbuhel 2.50.
- Win, 6–3 against Merano, Oct 17. Odds: Kitzbuhel 1.75, Merano 2.95.
- Loss, 1–3 at Acroni Jesenice, Oct 15. Odds: Jesenice 1.71, Kitzbuhel 3.31.
- Win, 8–2 at Salzburg 2, Oct 10. Odds: Salzburg II 1.80, Kitzbuhel 3.20.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-2
- 04:11 Goal Kitzbuhel: Holler A. assists: Posch B., Bruckner P. 0-1
- 19:02 Goal Kitzbuhel: Wittwer E. assists: Aigner R. 0-2
- 19:24 Goal Unterland: Inama C. assists: Vaccarino A., Ardanaz N. 1-2
2nd period2-1
- 00:49 Goal Unterland: Engelaar H. assists: Pisetta V., Nissila N. 2-2
- 07:41 Goal PPG Kitzbuhel: Krainz C. assists: Wittwer E., Holler A. 2-3
- 12:10 Goal PPG Unterland: Nissila N. assists: Engelaar H., Linjala M. 3-3
3rd period1-1
- 08:39 Goal Kitzbuhel: Gronhagen J. assists: Podlipnik M. 3-4
- 14:11 Goal Unterland: Pisetta V. assists: Engelaar H. 4-4
Overtime0-1
- 01:01 Goal Kitzbuhel: Stahlberg E. assists: Posch B., Gronhagen J. 4-5
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 1-4-2 at home for Unterland this season.
- 1-4-1 away for Kitzbuhel this season.
- In goal: Reinalter M. for Unterland, Gratzer M. for Kitzbuhel (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts).
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Kitzbuhel.
- 5.2 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (UNT) | 2.90 | 2.85 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.25 | 4.25 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (KIT) | 1.91 | 1.93 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6 | Line lowered |
| Handicap UNT | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Alps Hockey League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 36 | 1.125 | 59 | 30 | +29 | |
| 2 | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 34 | 1.063 | 72 | 55 | +17 | |
| 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 30 | 1.154 | 48 | 32 | +16 | |
| 4 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 1.036 | 51 | 34 | +17 | |
| 5 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 24 | .800 | 60 | 50 | +10 | |
| 6 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 19 | .731 | 30 | 37 | −7 | |
| 7 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 18 | .600 | 34 | 54 | −20 | |
| 8 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 17 | .654 | 44 | 36 | +8 | |
| 9 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16 | .615 | 40 | 50 | −10 | |
| 10 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 15 | .536 | 42 | 51 | −9 | |
| 11 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 14 | .583 | 42 | 47 | −5 | |
| 12 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 10 | .385 | 34 | 57 | −23 | |
| 13 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .308 | 24 | 47 | −23 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Unterland host Kitzbuhel in the Alps Hockey League on Thursday, October 29, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.