USA vs Germany prediction
Chance to win · 72% and 12% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2WonUSA1.01Confidence 59%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU7.51.38Confidence 69%
- HandicapWonGermany +6.51.43Confidence 59%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonUSA1.01Confidence 61%
- Double chanceWonUSA or drawConfidence 66%
- Draw no betWonUSAConfidence 62%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYes2.43Confidence 81%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonUSA1.15Confidence 52%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.51.31Confidence 70%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 1 games; an edge above the model’s usual ceiling.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
USA 4–1
Germany Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min5–09%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period2–026%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 3rd27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 1-0, 2-1, 1-0
- Likeliest 4-1 (9%), 5-1 (5%), 3-1 (5%)
Season so far
This seasonUSA
Germany
Head-to-head
USA 1–0
Germany - Apr 17, 2025: USA 3, Germany 0.
Last five games
USA
4-1-0 - Win, 7–0 at Switzerland, Nov 6. Odds: Switzerland 35.00, USA 1.01.
- Win, 4–0 against Canada, Oct 30. Odds: USA 1.75, Canada 3.20.
- Loss, 3–5 at Canada, Oct 28. Odds: Canada 3.50, USA 1.65.
- Win, 4–1 at Canada, Dec 13, 2025.
- Win, 10–4 at Canada, Dec 10, 2025.
Germany
5-0-0 - Win, 2–0 against Austria, Nov 7. Odds: Germany 1.35, Austria 7.00.
- Win, 5–0 at Denmark, Nov 3.
- Win, 1–0 against Hungary, Aug 22.
- Win, 4–2 against Norway, Aug 21.
- Win, 3–2 against France, Aug 20.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-0
- 01:47 2 min Germany: Welcke Li. Delay of game
- 13:58 Goal USA: O'Brien C. assists: Harvey C., Eden L. 1-0
- 19:39 Goal USA: Peschel E. assists: Simms K., O'Brien C. 2-0
2nd period1-0
- 05:45 Goal USA: Carpenter A. assists: Knight H., Pannek K. 3-0
- 06:03 2 min Germany: Nix E. Boarding
- 09:11 2 min Germany: Boico A. Late hit
- 09:11 2 min USA: Dunne J. Interference
- 15:41 2 min Germany: Haider C. Tripping
- 19:13 2 min USA: Zumwinkle G. Cross checking
3rd period2-0
- 01:34 2 min USA: Murphy A. Late hit
- 01:48 2 min Germany: Voigt S. Holding the stick
- 09:28 Goal USA: Murphy A. assists: Bilka H., Fox T. 4-0
- 14:24 Goal USA: Dunne J. assists: Harvey C., Janecke T. 5-0
- 14:44 2 min USA: Simms K. Hooking
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Germany, who played yesterday.
- 10+ straight wins for Germany coming into this game.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for USA.
- 1st vs 3rd in the WCH Women standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: X (draw) | 19.00 | 19.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (GER) | 55.00 | 55.00 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6 | 6 | No change |
| Handicap USA | −5.5 | −5.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
WCH Women standings
Regular Season · Group A
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USA |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1.500 | 23 | 1 | +22 |
| 2 |  Czech Republic |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | .833 | 6 | 5 | +1 |
| 3 | Germany |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | .833 | 4 | 6 | −2 |
| 4 |  Switzerland |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | .833 | 6 | 10 | −4 |
| 5 |  Austria |
4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 4 | 21 | −17 |
- Playoffs
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
USA host Germany in the WCH Women on Sunday, November 8, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.