Utah Mammoth vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction
Utah Mammoth 5–, Pittsburgh Penguins 4
FT
Puck drop 21:00 ET
1X2 1.761X2 odds down 3.50
Delta Center (Salt Lake City, UT) · USADelta Center (Salt Lake City, UT)
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
UTA
2
2
1
PIT
1
1
2
58%Utah win · 47% in regulationUTA
Overtime or shootout · 22%OT / SO 22%
42%Pittsburgh win · 31% in regulationPIT
Chance to win · 47% and 31% in regulation
Cossa S.StartedSV 83.6% · GAA 3.60 · 2-2-1
Silovs A.StartedSV 88.7% · GAA 2.90 · 6-3-1
Best tip of the gameBest tip
Handicap
Won
Penguins +2.5
odds up 1.30
Confidence71%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2WonMammothodds down 1.87Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostU7.5odds up 1.40Confidence 69%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonPenguins +2.5odds up 1.30Confidence 71%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonMammothodds down 1.54Confidence 60%
- Double chanceWonMammoth or drawodds down 1.32Confidence 70%
- Draw no betWonMammothodds down 1.49Confidence 62%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.06Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonMammothodds down 2.33Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.65Confidence 57%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Mammoth 4–2
Penguins
Total goalsTotal
6
Actual 9
Draw after 60 minDraw
22%
Decided in regulation
Utah to winTo win
58%
UTA won
Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–2After 60 min5–44%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period2–18%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · all three31%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-2
- By period 2-0, 0-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-2 (4%), 3-2 (3%), 3-1 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
Utah Mammoth
Pittsburgh Penguins
Utah Mammoth
Pittsburgh Penguins
Season recordUtah Mammoth 6-3-0Pittsburgh Penguins 3-5-1
Home / road splitUtah Mammoth 2-1-0Pittsburgh Penguins 1-4-1
StreakUtah Mammoth L1Pittsburgh Penguins L3
RestUtah Mammoth 1 dayPittsburgh Penguins 1 day
Goals forUtah Mammoth 3.7Pittsburgh Penguins 3.2
Goals againstUtah Mammoth 3.0Pittsburgh Penguins 3.7
In the standingsUtah Mammoth 5thPittsburgh Penguins 8th
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gameUtah Mammoth +0.2Pittsburgh Penguins −0.5
Goals forUtah Mammoth 3.4Pittsburgh Penguins 2.8
Goals againstUtah Mammoth 3.2Pittsburgh Penguins 3.3
Shots on goalUtah Mammoth 29.4Pittsburgh Penguins 29.6
Shots againstUtah Mammoth 23.0Pittsburgh Penguins 27.8
Shooting %Utah Mammoth 11.6%Pittsburgh Penguins 9.5%
Save %Utah Mammoth 87.0%Pittsburgh Penguins 88.8%
Power-play %Utah Mammoth 26.7%Pittsburgh Penguins 13.9%
Penalty kill %Utah Mammoth 78.6%Pittsburgh Penguins 87.1%
Faceoff %Utah Mammoth 51.2%Pittsburgh Penguins 45.6%
Penalty minutesUtah Mammoth 10.7Pittsburgh Penguins 6.5
HitsUtah Mammoth 28.7Pittsburgh Penguins 13.3
Blocked shotsUtah Mammoth 18.1Pittsburgh Penguins 12.8
Per game · UTA at home, PIT away
Goal differential per gameUtah Mammoth 0.0Pittsburgh Penguins −0.8
Goals forUtah Mammoth 3.5Pittsburgh Penguins 3.0
Goals againstUtah Mammoth 3.5Pittsburgh Penguins 3.8
Shots on goalUtah Mammoth 26.7Pittsburgh Penguins 28.8
Shots againstUtah Mammoth 26.5Pittsburgh Penguins 28.1
Shooting %Utah Mammoth 13.1%Pittsburgh Penguins 10.4%
Save %Utah Mammoth 87.9%Pittsburgh Penguins 87.9%
Power-play %Utah Mammoth 19.4%Pittsburgh Penguins 14.0%
Penalty kill %Utah Mammoth 76.5%Pittsburgh Penguins 82.9%
Faceoff %Utah Mammoth 50.7%Pittsburgh Penguins 44.1%
Penalty minutesUtah Mammoth 7.7Pittsburgh Penguins 8.5
HitsUtah Mammoth 31.5Pittsburgh Penguins 18.1
Blocked shotsUtah Mammoth 15.3Pittsburgh Penguins 12.7
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Mammoth 3–2
Penguins
Goals a gameGoals
7.0
UTA 4.0 · PIT 3.0
Over 6.5 goalsOver 6.5
4 of 5
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
3 of 5
3 in overtime
- Oct 29, 2026: Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Utah Mammoth 4, after overtime.
- Mar 14, 2026: Utah Mammoth 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 4.
- Dec 14, 2025: Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Utah Mammoth 5, after overtime.
- Jan 29, 2025: Utah Mammoth 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 3, after overtime.
- Nov 23, 2024: Pittsburgh Penguins 1, Utah Mammoth 6.
Last five games
Mammoth
3-2-0 - Loss, 2–6 against Edmonton Oilers, Oct 17. Odds: Mammoth 2.05, Oilers 2.90.
- Win, 4–2 at Edmonton Oilers, Oct 15. Odds: Oilers 2.60, Mammoth 2.38.
- Win, 5–4 against Toronto Maple Leafs, Oct 13. Odds: Mammoth 2.01, Maple Leafs 3.12.
- Win, 4–1 at Buffalo Sabres, Oct 10. Odds: Sabres 2.25, Mammoth 2.65.
- Loss, 1–6 at Boston Bruins, Oct 8.
Penguins
1-3-1 - Loss, 2–6 at Vegas Golden Knights, Oct 17. Odds: Golden Knights 1.72, Penguins 3.55.
- Loss, 2–5 at Colorado Avalanche, Oct 16. Odds: Avalanche 1.75, Penguins 3.50.
- Loss, 3–5 at Chicago Blackhawks, Oct 13. Odds: Blackhawks 3.10, Penguins 1.95.
- Win, 2–1 against Dallas Stars, after a shootout, Oct 10. Odds: Penguins 2.60, Stars 2.30.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Columbus Blue Jackets, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: Blue Jackets 2.30, Penguins 2.60.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-1
- 00:19 2 min Utah Mammoth: Guenther D. Tripping
- 01:11 Goal PPG Pittsburgh Penguins: Karlsson E. assists: Rust B., Novak T. 0-1
- 06:00 Goal Utah Mammoth: Keller C. assists: Crouse L., Schmaltz N. 1-1
- 10:10 Goal Utah Mammoth: Stenlund K. assists: Sergachyov M., McBain J. 2-1
2nd period2-1
- 06:53 2 min Utah Mammoth: Keller C. High sticking
- 07:01 Goal PPG Pittsburgh Penguins: Rakell R. assists: Rust B., Karlsson E. 2-2
- 09:13 2 min Pittsburgh Penguins: Rust B. Hooking
- 11:44 Goal Utah Mammoth: Schmidt N. assists: Stenlund K., But D. 3-2
- 14:40 Goal Utah Mammoth: Yamamoto K. assists: Schmidt N., Hayton B. 4-2
- 16:57 2 min Pittsburgh Penguins: Crosby S. Elbowing
- 16:57 2 min Utah Mammoth: Peeke A. Cross checking
3rd period1-2
- 00:27 2 min Pittsburgh Penguins: Lizotte B. Tripping
- 01:36 Goal PPG Utah Mammoth: Schmaltz N. assists: Keller C., Cooley L. 5-2
- 02:55 Goal Pittsburgh Penguins: Chinakhov Y. assists: Kuzmenko A., Stastney S. 5-3
- 14:55 Goal Pittsburgh Penguins: Carlile D. assists: Rakell R., Korczak K. 5-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Pittsburgh Penguins coming into this game.
- 1-4-1 away for Pittsburgh Penguins this season.
- In goal: Cossa S. for Utah Mammoth (2-2-1 in the last 5 starts), Silovs A. for Pittsburgh Penguins (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Utah Mammoth.
- 7.0 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (UTA) | 1.76 | 1.76 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.50 | 4.50 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (PIT) | 3.55 | 3.50 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 6 | 6.5 | Line raised |
| Handicap UTA | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NHL standings
Regular Season · Central Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minnesota Wild |
20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 30 | .750 | 65 | 44 | +21 |
| 2 |  Colorado Avalanche |
19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 78 | 59 | +19 |
| 3 |  Nashville Predators |
18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 23 | .639 | 55 | 51 | +4 |
| 4 |  Dallas Stars |
17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 22 | .647 | 49 | 41 | +8 |
| 5 | Utah Mammoth |
18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 21 | .583 | 63 | 63 | 0 |
| 6 |  Winnipeg Jets |
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 19 | .500 | 53 | 65 | −12 |
| 7 |  St. Louis Blues |
18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 18 | .500 | 53 | 55 | −2 |
| 8 |  Chicago Blackhawks |
18 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 9 | .250 | 39 | 76 | −37 |
Regular Season · Metropolitan Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Carolina Hurricanes |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 30 | .789 | 78 | 45 | +33 |
| 2 |  New Jersey Devils |
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 26 | .684 | 68 | 55 | +13 |
| 3 |  New York Rangers |
19 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .553 | 56 | 55 | +1 |
| 4 |  Washington Capitals |
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 20 | .625 | 56 | 53 | +3 |
| 5 |  New York Islanders |
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 18 | .529 | 49 | 52 | −3 |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Flyers |
20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 15 | .375 | 45 | 66 | −21 |
| 7 |  Columbus Blue Jackets |
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 14 | .438 | 41 | 51 | −10 |
| 8 | Pittsburgh Penguins |
18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 14 | .389 | 58 | 65 | −7 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Utah Mammoth host Pittsburgh Penguins in the NHL on Monday, October 19, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.