Utica Comets vs Hamilton Hammers prediction
Chance to win · 53% and 26% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2LostUticaodds up 1.95Confidence 54%
- Over/UnderLostO4.51.44Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonHamilton +1.51.43Confidence 63%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonUticaodds up 1.59Confidence 66%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonUtica or draw1.35Confidence 75%
- Draw no betPushUtica1.62Confidence 70%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.09Confidence 87%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostUtica2.48Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.87Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min2–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–18%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 2 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 10+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Last five games
- Win, 4–3 against Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, Oct 30. Odds: Utica 2.55, W-B/Scranton 2.20.
- Loss, 2–5 at Providence Bruins, Oct 24. Odds: Providence 2.01, Utica 2.90.
- Win, 5–3 at Rochester Americans, Oct 21. Odds: Rochester 2.65, Utica 2.15.
- Loss, 0–4 against Laval Rocket, Oct 17. Odds: Utica 2.15, Laval 2.45.
- Win, 4–2 at Belleville Senators, Oct 11. Odds: Belleville 2.03, Utica 2.94.
- Loss, 0–7 at Syracuse Crunch, Oct 30. Odds: Syracuse 2.20, Hamilton 2.55.
- Win, 5–4 against Hartford Wolf Pack, after overtime, Oct 29. Odds: Hamilton 2.30, Hartford 2.40.
- Win, 2–1 at Laval Rocket, Oct 24. Odds: Laval 2.10, Hamilton 2.65.
- Loss, 2–4 at Laval Rocket, Oct 23. Odds: Laval 2.10, Hamilton 2.65.
- Loss, 1–4 at Toronto Marlies, Oct 21. Odds: Toronto 2.20, Hamilton 2.50.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 02:43 Goal Hamilton Hammers: Luff M. assists: Healey R., Ellis M. 0-1
2nd period1-0
- 14:39 Goal Utica Comets: White C. assists: Noesen S., Parent X. 1-1
3rd period1-1
- 13:34 Goal PPG Utica Comets: Steeves B. assists: Parent X., White C. 2-1
- 16:56 Goal Hamilton Hammers: Larson J. assists: Bear E., Luff M. 2-2
Overtime0-0
No goals or penalties.
Shootout3-2
-
Round 1
Hameenaho L.
✓scored
Larson J.
✓scored
-
Round 2
Steeves B.
✓scored
Finley Q.
✓scored
-
Round 3
Klassen G.
✗missed
Foudy L.
✗missed
-
Round 4
McLaughlin M.
✗missed
Highmore M.
✗missed
-
Round 5
Vilen T.
✓scored
Healey R.
✗missed
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Goal differential gap of 1.5 per game — Utica Comets +0.2, Hamilton Hammers −1.3 over their recent games.
- −0.8 goals away — Hamilton Hammers averaged 3.0 at home and 2.2 away this season.
- Save % gap: Utica Comets 90.8%, Hamilton Hammers 86.6% over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (UTI) | 2.05 | 2.05 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.25 | 4.25 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (HAM) | 2.75 | 2.75 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap UTI | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · North Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 21 | .750 | 53 | 30 | +23 | |
| 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 18 | .818 | 35 | 24 | +11 | |
| 3 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17 | .607 | 44 | 41 | +3 | |
| 4 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 16 | .571 | 44 | 43 | +1 | |
| 5 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 15 | .577 | 42 | 32 | +10 | |
| 6 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 12 | .500 | 35 | 39 | −4 | |
| 7 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 12 | .462 | 40 | 50 | −10 | |
| 8 | Hamilton Hammers | 15 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 10 | .333 | 41 | 61 | −20 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Utica Comets host Hamilton Hammers in the AHL on Sunday, November 1, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.