Utica Comets vs Rochester Americans prediction
Chance to win · 40% and 37% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Full game
- 1X2WonUticaodds down 2.55Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.51.44Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonUtica +1.5odds down 1.31Confidence 69%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonUticaodds down 1.97Confidence 51%
- Double chanceWonUtica or drawodds down 1.55Confidence 66%
- Draw no betWonUticaodds down 1.96Confidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.09Confidence 87%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonDrawodds up 2.55Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.88Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Utica 4–1
Rochester Score details
- Correct scoreWon4–1After 60 min4–14%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–11st period0–013%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 1-1, 0-0, 3-0
- Likeliest 4-1 (4%), 3-2 (3%), 5-2 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formUtica Comets
Rochester Americans
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Utica 4–1
Rochester - Oct 21, 2026: Rochester Americans 3, Utica Comets 5.
- Oct 10, 2026: Utica Comets 2, Rochester Americans 1.
- Mar 11, 2026: Rochester Americans 1, Utica Comets 4.
- Feb 15, 2026: Rochester Americans 4, Utica Comets 7.
- Feb 14, 2026: Utica Comets 1, Rochester Americans 4.
Last five games
Utica
4-1-0 - Win, 5–2 against Syracuse Crunch, Nov 6. Odds: Utica 2.50, Syracuse 2.15.
- Win, 3–2 against Hamilton Hammers, after a shootout, Nov 1. Odds: Utica 2.05, Hamilton 2.75.
- Win, 4–3 against Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, Oct 30. Odds: Utica 2.55, W-B/Scranton 2.20.
- Loss, 2–5 at Providence Bruins, Oct 24. Odds: Providence 2.01, Utica 2.90.
- Win, 5–3 at Rochester Americans, Oct 21. Odds: Rochester 2.65, Utica 2.15.
Rochester
4-1-0 - Win, 4–2 against Hartford Wolf Pack, Nov 6. Odds: Rochester 2.01, Hartford 2.85.
- Win, 4–1 against Cleveland Monsters, Nov 4. Odds: Rochester 2.50, Cleveland 2.20.
- Win, 6–3 against Lehigh Valley Phantoms, Oct 30. Odds: Rochester 2.20, Lehigh Valley 2.50.
- Loss, 2–3 against Hershey Bears, Oct 28. Odds: Rochester 2.15, Hershey 2.50.
- Win, 3–2 at Syracuse Crunch, after overtime, Oct 23. Odds: Syracuse 2.05, Rochester 2.70.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period2-1
- 02:30 Goal Utica Comets: Malone J. assists: Lachance S., White C. 1-0
- 04:22 Goal Rochester Americans: McDonough A. assists: Sheary C., Peca M. 1-1
- 14:14 Goal PPG Utica Comets: Parent X. assists: Hameenaho L., White C. 2-1
3rd period2-0
- 08:01 Goal PPG Utica Comets: Melovsky M. assists: Powell E., Noesen S. 3-1
- 17:43 Goal ENG Utica Comets: Noesen S. assists: Parent X. 4-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Utica Comets and Rochester Americans played yesterday.
- 3-game winning streak for Utica Comets coming into this game.
- 3-game winning streak for Rochester Americans coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Utica Comets dropped from 1.98 to 1.78 since they were first published.
- 4-1-0 at home for Utica Comets this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (UTI) | 2.20 | 2.20 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.20 | 4.20 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (ROC) | 2.55 | 2.55 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap UTI | +0.5 | −0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · North Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Laval Rocket |
14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 21 | .750 | 53 | 30 | +23 |
| 2 | Utica Comets |
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 18 | .818 | 35 | 24 | +11 |
| 3 |  Toronto Marlies |
14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17 | .607 | 44 | 41 | +3 |
| 4 |  Belleville Senators |
14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 16 | .571 | 44 | 43 | +1 |
| 5 | Rochester Americans |
13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 15 | .577 | 42 | 32 | +10 |
| 6 |  Syracuse Crunch |
12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 12 | .500 | 35 | 39 | −4 |
| 7 |  Cleveland Monsters |
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 12 | .462 | 40 | 50 | −10 |
| 8 | Hamilton Hammers | 15 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 10 | .333 | 41 | 61 | −20 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Utica Comets host Rochester Americans in the AHL on Saturday, November 7, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.