Vaasan Sport U20 vs Karpat U20 Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Won

O4.5 1.28

Confidence73%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%

Full game

1X2LostKarpat U201.97Confidence 51%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO4.51.28Confidence 73%
HandicapWonSport U20 +1.51.39Confidence 66%
Winner (incl. OT)LostKarpat U201.61Confidence 57%
Double chanceLostKarpat U20 or draw1.32Confidence 68%
Draw no betLostKarpat U20Confidence 59%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 89%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostKarpat U20odds down 2.41Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.68Confidence 57%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Sport U20 23

Karpat U20

Final 5–3

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 8

Draw after 60 minDraw 21% Decided in regulation

KAR to winTo win 56% VSU won

Score details

Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min5–33%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period2–28%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 4 goals28%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 2-3
By period 0-2, 0-0, 2-1
Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 3-4 (3%), 4-5 (1%)

Season so far

This season

Season

Season record4-8-111-5-0

Home / road split0-4-05-2-0

StreakW1L1

RestBack-to-backBack-to-back

Goals for3.33.6

Goals against3.82.8

In the standings13th3rd

Head-to-head

Sport U20 23

Karpat U20

Karpat U20 won three of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 5.8 VSU 2.4 · KAR 3.4

Over 6.0 goalsOver 6.0 1 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 2 of 5 1 in overtime · 1 in a shootout

Oct 16, 2026: Karpat U20 7, Vaasan Sport U20 2.
Oct 3, 2026: Karpat U20 3, Vaasan Sport U20 2, after overtime.
Feb 13, 2026: Vaasan Sport U20 3, Karpat U20 2, after a shootout.
Dec 7, 2025: Vaasan Sport U20 4, Karpat U20 2.
Oct 25, 2025: Karpat U20 3, Vaasan Sport U20 1.

Last five games

Sport U20 2-3-0

Win, 5–2 at Jyvaskyla U20, Oct 24. Odds: JYP U20 1.62, Sport U20 3.85.
Loss, 2–3 at Jukurit U20, Oct 23. Odds: Jukurit U20 1.85, Sport U20 3.00.
Win, 5–1 at RoKi U20, Oct 17. Odds: RoKi U20 5.00, Sport U20 1.38.
Loss, 2–7 at Karpat U20, Oct 16. Odds: Karpat U20 1.74, Sport U20 3.25.
Loss, 3–5 against Assat U20, Oct 9. Odds: Sport U20 2.40, Assat U20 2.25.

Karpat U20 4-1-0

Loss, 0–4 against Jukurit U20, Oct 24. Odds: Karpat U20 1.80, Jukurit U20 3.25.
Win, 5–1 at KalPa U20, Oct 23. Odds: KalPa U20 1.95, Karpat U20 2.80.
Win, 7–2 against Vaasan Sport U20, Oct 16. Odds: Karpat U20 1.74, Sport U20 3.25.
Win, 5–3 against RoKi U20, Oct 14. Odds: Karpat U20 1.24, RoKi U20 6.50.
Win, 3–1 at Hameenlinna U20, Oct 10.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period2-2

04:52 Goal Vaasan Sport U20: Koivunen W. assists: Sjoman J. 1-0
05:49 Goal Karpat U20: Erholtz A. assists: Kylmala O., Kokkonen L. 1-1
09:21 Goal Karpat U20: Jurvelin L. assists: Erholtz A., Kylmala O. 1-2
12:33 Goal PPG Vaasan Sport U20: Andrey T. assists: Laatikainen M., Harju A. 2-2

2nd period1-1

12:48 Goal Vaasan Sport U20: Flugins K. assists: Kohvakka O., Andrey T. 3-2
19:03 Goal Karpat U20: Jurvelin L. assists: Erholtz A., Kylmala O. 3-3

3rd period2-0

17:20 Goal PPG Vaasan Sport U20: Laatikainen M. assists: Andrey T., Harju A. 4-3
19:41 Goal Vaasan Sport U20: Sjoman J. assists: Mourujarvi E., Matikainen J. 5-3

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

Second game in two days for both teams — Vaasan Sport U20 and Karpat U20 played yesterday.
3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Karpat U20.
4-1-0 in the last five for Karpat U20.
5.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
13th vs 3rd in the SM-sarja U20 standings.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (VSU)	2.70	2.70	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.25	4.25	No change
1X2: 2 (KAR)	2.00	1.98	Shortened
Over/Under line	5.5	6	Line raised
Handicap VSU	+1.5	+1.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

SM-sarja U20 standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	IFK Helsinki U20	18	13	3	2	39	1.083	64	39	+25
2	Pelicans Lahti U20	17	12	4	1	36	1.059	58	40	+18
3	Karpat U20	19	13	6	0	36	.947	69	55	+14
4	Jukurit U20	18	11	5	2	33	.917	54	52	+2
5	Kiekko-Espoo U20	18	10	7	1	31	.861	72	52	+20
6	Tappara U20	17	9	6	2	29	.853	52	56	−4
7	Lukko U20	16	10	6	0	28	.875	47	37	+10
8	Hameenlinna U20	14	8	3	3	27	.964	56	36	+20
9	TPS U20	16	8	4	4	27	.844	48	49	−1
10	Jokerit U20	18	8	7	3	26	.722	58	49	+9
11	Ilves U20	16	8	7	1	24	.750	58	63	−5
12	KalPa U20	16	9	7	0	22	.688	51	55	−4
13	Vaasan Sport U20	16	7	8	1	21	.656	62	59	+3
14	SaiPa U20	16	7	7	2	21	.656	54	59	−5
15	Jyvaskyla U20	16	7	8	1	21	.656	51	58	−7
16	Assat U20	16	6	9	1	15	.469	41	55	−14
17	KooKoo U20	17	3	12	2	11	.324	35	63	−28
18	RoKi U20	18	2	15	1	6	.167	41	94	−53

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Vaasan Sport U20 vs Karpat U20 prediction