Vaasan Sport vs Assat Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Handicap Won

Assat +1.5 1.30

Confidence73%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%

Full game

1X2WonAssatodds down 2.66Confidence 51%
Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.31Confidence 77%
Best tip of the game: HandicapWonAssat +1.5odds down 1.30Confidence 73%
Winner (incl. OT)WonAssatodds down 2.02Confidence 57%
Double chanceWonAssat or drawodds down 1.55Confidence 65%
Draw no betWonAssatodds down 1.98Confidence 54%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.13Confidence 83%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostDrawodds up 2.45Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.72Confidence 58%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 35% since they opened; the odds drifted 15% since they opened; the odds drifted 27% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Vaasan Sport 14

Assat

Final 1–2

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 3

Draw after 60 minDraw 24% Decided in regulation

ASS to winTo win 56% ASS won

Score details

Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min1–24%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period0–124%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 2 goals30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 1-4
By period 0-0, 0-2, 1-2
Likeliest 1-4 (4%), 1-2 (4%), 1-3 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record6-9-210-7-2

Home / road split4-4-25-4-1

StreakL4W1

Rest3 daysBack-to-back

Goals for1.92.3

Goals against3.02.5

In the standings15th5th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game−1.0−0.2

Goals for1.72.2

Goals against2.72.4

Shots on goal22.121.8

Shots against29.624.2

Shooting %7.7%10.1%

Save %91.6%91.3%

Power-play %15.6%27.3%

Penalty kill %85.7%78.6%

Faceoff %50.5%50.0%

Penalty minutes7.75.6

Blocked shots9.68.5

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Vaasan Sport 14

Assat

Assat won four of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 4.6 VAA 1.4 · ASS 3.2

Over 5.0 goalsOver 5.0 2 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 0 of 5 All decided in regulation

Sep 15, 2026: Assat 5, Vaasan Sport 1.
Feb 21, 2026: Assat 4, Vaasan Sport 1.
Dec 30, 2025: Vaasan Sport 2, Assat 1.
Oct 17, 2025: Vaasan Sport 1, Assat 2.
Oct 8, 2025: Assat 4, Vaasan Sport 2.

Last five games

Vaasan Sport 1-4-0

Loss, 2–5 at KalPa, Oct 27. Odds: KalPa 1.91, Vaasan Sport 3.20.
Loss, 1–3 against SaiPa, Oct 24. Odds: Vaasan Sport 2.85, SaiPa 2.01.
Loss, 3–5 against SaiPa, Oct 23. Odds: Vaasan Sport 3.30, SaiPa 1.86.
Loss, 0–3 against Jukurit, Oct 20. Odds: Vaasan Sport 2.18, Jukurit 2.55.
Win, 2–1 at Pelicans, Oct 16. Odds: Pelicans 1.64, Vaasan Sport 4.80.

Assat 1-4-0

Win, 3–2 against IFK Helsinki, Oct 30. Odds: Assat 2.20, HIFK 2.65.
Loss, 3–5 at KooKoo, Oct 28. Odds: KooKoo 3.20, Assat 1.86.
Loss, 1–4 at JYP, Oct 24. Odds: JYP 2.01, Assat 2.85.
Loss, 0–3 at Tappara, Oct 21. Odds: Tappara 2.15, Assat 2.75.
Loss, 2–4 against TPS Turku, Oct 17. Odds: Assat 2.40, TPS 2.61.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-1

12:35 2 min Assat: Hillis C. Slashing
16:35 2 min Vaasan Sport: Bertrand C. Tripping
17:11 Goal PPG Assat: Kostilainen S. assists: Hillis C., Pinard S. 0-1
18:34 2 min Assat: Tiivola P. Slashing

2nd period1-1

15:22 Goal Vaasan Sport: Akerstrom S. assists: Granath P., Nieminen V. 1-1
19:50 Goal Assat: Riihinen P. assists: Kostilainen S., Anttalainen A. 1-2

3rd period0-0

02:19 2 min Vaasan Sport: Levanen E. Slashing
18:38 2 min Vaasan Sport: Ervasti K. Tripping
19:13 2 min Assat: Hillis C. Tripping

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

Second game in two days for Assat, who played yesterday.
4-game losing streak for Vaasan Sport coming into this game.
Odds moved: the odds on Vaasan Sport dropped from 2.31 to 1.94 since they were first published.
In goal: Harkonen M. for Vaasan Sport (4-5-1 in the last 10 starts), Taponen R. for Assat (7-2-1 in the last 10 starts).
4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Assat.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (VAA)	2.45	2.45	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.00	4.00	No change
1X2: 2 (ASS)	2.35	2.35	No change
Over/Under line	5.5	5	Line lowered
Handicap VAA	−0.5	+0.5	Line moved

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Liiga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Lukko	19	14	4	1	40	1.053	53	36	+17
2	Ilves	20	13	6	1	37	.925	52	39	+13
3	Jukurit	20	13	6	1	36	.900	49	40	+9
4	JYP	17	12	4	1	35	1.029	59	48	+11
5	Assat	20	11	7	2	34	.850	46	48	−2
6	SaiPa	18	12	5	1	34	.944	52	38	+14
7	Karpat	20	11	5	4	33	.825	53	52	+1
8	TPS Turku	19	10	7	2	31	.816	53	48	+5
9	Kiekko-Espoo	20	10	7	3	31	.775	61	49	+12
10	Tappara	19	9	7	3	28	.737	51	46	+5
11	IFK Helsinki	19	8	7	4	27	.711	53	56	−3
12	KalPa	18	8	9	1	25	.694	46	41	+5
13	Pelicans	17	8	8	1	24	.706	40	38	+2
14	Hameenlinna	20	9	11	0	24	.600	42	55	−13
15	Vaasan Sport	18	6	10	2	19	.528	33	53	−20
16	Jokerit	18	4	10	4	15	.417	41	62	−21
17	KooKoo	20	3	15	2	10	.250	46	81	−35

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Vaasan Sport vs Assat prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details