Vaasan Sport vs SaiPa Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Lost

U6.5 1.29

Confidence75%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 69%

Full game

1X2WonSaiPaodds down 1.99Confidence 60%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostU6.5odds up 1.29Confidence 75%
HandicapWonSaiPa +0.5odds down 1.35Confidence 73%
Winner (incl. OT)WonSaiPaodds down 1.59Confidence 71%
Double chanceWonSaiPa or drawodds down 1.33Confidence 80%
Draw no betWonSaiPaodds down 1.54Confidence 75%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.13Confidence 82%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonSaiPaodds down 2.55Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderLostU1.5odds up 1.70Confidence 58%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Vaasan Sport 14

SaiPa

Final 3–5

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 8

Draw after 60 minDraw 21% Decided in regulation

SAI to winTo win 70% SAI won

Score details

Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min3–56%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–11st period0–220%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 4 goals30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 1-4
By period 0-1, 0-1, 1-2
Likeliest 1-4 (6%), 1-3 (5%), 1-2 (5%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record6-6-210-3-1

Home / road split4-2-23-2-0

StreakL1W3

Rest2 days2 days

Goals for1.92.9

Goals against2.71.6

In the standings15th6th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game−0.7+0.4

Goals for1.62.8

Goals against2.32.4

Shots on goal20.626.1

Shots against28.624.7

Shooting %7.8%10.7%

Save %92.0%90.7%

Power-play %22.2%20.0%

Penalty kill %89.3%86.8%

Faceoff %48.8%51.1%

Penalty minutes5.67.6

Blocked shots10.511.2

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Vaasan Sport 05

SaiPa

SaiPa won five of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 5.6 VAA 1.6 · SAI 4.0

Over 5.0 goalsOver 5.0 2 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 2 of 5 2 in overtime

Oct 24, 2026: Vaasan Sport 1, SaiPa 3.
Feb 8, 2026: Vaasan Sport 0, SaiPa 4.
Feb 7, 2026: Vaasan Sport 2, SaiPa 3, after overtime.
Oct 4, 2025: SaiPa 5, Vaasan Sport 1.
Oct 3, 2025: SaiPa 5, Vaasan Sport 4, after overtime.

Last five games

Vaasan Sport 3-1-1

Loss, 0–3 against Jukurit, Oct 20. Odds: Vaasan Sport 2.18, Jukurit 2.55.
Win, 2–1 at Pelicans, Oct 16. Odds: Pelicans 1.64, Vaasan Sport 4.80.
Win, 4–3 against KooKoo, Oct 15. Odds: Vaasan Sport 2.07, KooKoo 2.52.
Win, 2–1 against Ilves, Oct 7.
Overtime loss, 2–3 against IFK Helsinki, after overtime, Oct 3.

SaiPa 3-2-0

Win, 2–1 against Karpat, after a shootout, Oct 20. Odds: SaiPa 1.95, Karpat 2.82.
Win, 7–1 against IFK Helsinki, Oct 17. Odds: SaiPa 1.83, HIFK 3.68.
Win, 2–1 against Hameenlinna, Oct 15. Odds: SaiPa 1.75, HPK 3.30.
Loss, 3–6 against Plzen, Oct 14. Odds: SaiPa 1.57, Plzen 4.26.
Loss, 1–2 against JYP, Oct 8.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-2

06:30 2 min Vaasan Sport: Pietila B. Hooking
09:13 2 min SaiPa: Peski A. Delay of game
12:50 Goal PS SaiPa: Kramer B. 0-1
18:18 Goal SaiPa: Zabaneh N. assists: Tauslahti M., Svensk V. 0-2

2nd period2-2

00:37 2 min Vaasan Sport: Ervasti K. Hooking
04:07 Goal SaiPa: Fridrich P. assists: Trejbal O., Piiroinen K. 0-3
05:35 Goal SaiPa: Perttu M. assists: Naukkarinen J., Peski A. 0-4
05:35 Goalie change Vaasan Sport: Harkonen M. replaces Ortio J.
10:36 Goal Vaasan Sport: Palve O. assists: Harrison B., Levanen E. 1-4
18:53 Goal Vaasan Sport: Akerstrom S. assists: Palve O. 2-4

3rd period1-1

02:14 2 min Vaasan Sport: Kangas K. Unsportsmanlike conduct
02:14 2 min SaiPa: Tauslahti M. Unsportsmanlike conduct
04:15 2 min SaiPa: Svensk V. Holding
13:32 2 min Vaasan Sport: Granath P. Roughing
13:32 2 min SaiPa: Zezelj A. Roughing
17:40 Goal SaiPa: Intonen A. assists: Emanuelsson E., Trejbal O. 2-5
18:11 2 min SaiPa: Siikanen P. Tripping
19:28 2 min SaiPa: Peski A. Holding
19:43 Goal PPG Vaasan Sport: Harrison B. assists: Ervasti K., Palve O. 3-5

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

3-game winning streak for SaiPa coming into this game.
5-0 in the last 5 meetings for SaiPa.
In goal: Ortio J. for Vaasan Sport (4-4-2 in the last 10 starts), Piiroinen K. for SaiPa (7-3-0 in the last 10 starts).
Goal differential gap of 1.1 per game — Vaasan Sport −0.7, SaiPa +0.4 over their recent games.
5.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (VAA)	3.20	3.30	Drifted
1X2: X (draw)	4.25	4.25	No change
1X2: 2 (SAI)	1.91	1.86	Shortened
Over/Under line	5	5	No change
Handicap VAA	+0.5	+0.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Liiga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Lukko	19	14	4	1	40	1.053	53	36	+17
2	Ilves	20	13	6	1	37	.925	52	39	+13
3	Jukurit	20	13	6	1	36	.900	49	40	+9
4	JYP	17	12	4	1	35	1.029	59	48	+11
5	Assat	20	11	7	2	34	.850	46	48	−2
6	SaiPa	18	12	5	1	34	.944	52	38	+14
7	Karpat	20	11	5	4	33	.825	53	52	+1
8	TPS Turku	19	10	7	2	31	.816	53	48	+5
9	Kiekko-Espoo	20	10	7	3	31	.775	61	49	+12
10	Tappara	19	9	7	3	28	.737	51	46	+5
11	IFK Helsinki	19	8	7	4	27	.711	53	56	−3
12	KalPa	18	8	9	1	25	.694	46	41	+5
13	Pelicans	17	8	8	1	24	.706	40	38	+2
14	Hameenlinna	20	9	11	0	24	.600	42	55	−13
15	Vaasan Sport	18	6	10	2	19	.528	33	53	−20
16	Jokerit	18	4	10	4	15	.417	41	62	−21
17	KooKoo	20	3	15	2	10	.250	46	81	−35

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Vaasan Sport vs SaiPa prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details