Val Pusteria vs TWK Innsbruck prediction
Chance to win · 67% and 16% in regulation
Furlong C.StartedSV 93.4% · GAA 1.67 · 6-3-1
Harvey S.StartedSV 90.9% · GAA 2.90 · 3-7-0All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 72%Full game
- 1X2LostVal Pusteria1.47Confidence 69%
- Over/UnderLostO4.5odds down 1.37Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostVal Pusteria -1.5odds up 1.75Confidence 63%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostVal Pusteria1.28Confidence 79%
- Banker of the day: Double chanceWonVal Pusteria or draw1.16Confidence 95%
- Draw no betPushVal Pusteria1.23Confidence 81%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.11Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostVal Pusteriaodds up 1.98Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.93Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The banker is the day’s best bet at short odds, not its surest result. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Val Pusteria 4–1
Innsbruck Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min2–26%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–111%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 2nd29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (6%), 5-2 (6%), 4-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formVal Pusteria
TWK Innsbruck
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Val Pusteria 5–0
Innsbruck - Nov 1, 2026: TWK Innsbruck 1, Val Pusteria 2.
- Dec 26, 2025: TWK Innsbruck 1, Val Pusteria 7.
- Dec 17, 2025: Val Pusteria 7, TWK Innsbruck 2.
- Nov 23, 2025: Val Pusteria 6, TWK Innsbruck 2.
- Sep 12, 2025: TWK Innsbruck 1, Val Pusteria 8.
Last five games
Val Pusteria
3-2-0 - Loss, 2–3 at Vienna Capitals, Oct 11.
- Loss, 2–5 at Black Wings Linz, Oct 9. Odds: Linz 2.18, Val Pusteria 2.55.
- Win, 3–2 against Fehervar AV19, after overtime, Oct 4.
- Win, 4–2 against HK Olimpija, Oct 2.
- Win, 4–1 at Graz99ers, Sep 30.
Innsbruck
3-2-0 - Win, 3–2 against Villach, after overtime, Oct 11.
- Win, 4–1 at Milano, Oct 9. Odds: Milano 1.43, Innsbruck 4.90.
- Loss, 0–3 at Graz99ers, Oct 3.
- Loss, 0–4 at Vienna Capitals, Oct 2.
- Win, 5–4 against Vorarlberg, Sep 30.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 01:27 Goal Val Pusteria: Lobis A. assists: Ierullo A., Di Tomaso G. 1-0
- 02:12 Goal TWK Innsbruck: Witting M. assists: Scherbak N., Mayer C. 1-1
2nd period1-1
- 12:19 Goal Val Pusteria: Osmanski A. assists: Ierullo A., Fontaine G. 2-1
- 19:48 Goal TWK Innsbruck: Owre S. assists: Richards J., Mayer C. 2-2
3rd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
Overtime0-1
- 00:56 Goal TWK Innsbruck: Benker S. 2-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Val Pusteria.
- In goal: Furlong C. for Val Pusteria (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts), Harvey S. for TWK Innsbruck (3-7-0 in the last 10 starts).
- +1.5 goals at home — Val Pusteria averaged 4.0 at home and 2.5 away this season.
- −1.3 goals away — TWK Innsbruck averaged 3.0 at home and 1.8 away this season.
- Save % gap: Val Pusteria 88.3%, TWK Innsbruck 92.0% over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (VAL) | 1.55 | 1.55 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.00 | 5.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (INN) | 4.30 | 4.30 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap VAL | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
ICE Hockey League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bolzano |
17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 1.147 | 70 | 41 | +29 |
| 2 |  Black Wings Linz |
17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 66 | 47 | +19 |
| 3 |  HK Olimpija |
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 35 | 1.029 | 73 | 43 | +30 |
| 4 | Val Pusteria |
15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 32 | 1.067 | 45 | 33 | +12 |
| 5 |  Klagenfurt |
17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 30 | .882 | 65 | 51 | +14 |
| 6 |  Graz99ers |
17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 30 | .882 | 50 | 47 | +3 |
| 7 |  Salzburg |
17 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 28 | .824 | 55 | 52 | +3 |
| 8 |  Milano |
18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 23 | .639 | 55 | 61 | −6 |
| 9 |  Ferencvaros |
16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 22 | .688 | 49 | 55 | −6 |
| 10 |  Vienna Capitals |
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | .656 | 42 | 46 | −4 |
| 11 |  Fehervar AV19 |
18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 21 | .583 | 38 | 61 | −23 |
| 12 |  Villach |
15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 20 | .667 | 40 | 43 | −3 |
| 13 | TWK Innsbruck |
18 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 15 | .417 | 36 | 59 | −23 |
| 14 |  Vorarlberg |
18 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 2 | .056 | 40 | 85 | −45 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Val Pusteria host TWK Innsbruck in the ICE Hockey League on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.