Valence vs Meudon Prediction & Picks

D1 Saturday, October 17, 2026Sat · Oct 17 Round 3

HomeValence5-1-15th in the standingsWLLLL

32 FT Puck drop 14:30 ET 2.462.11

1st 2nd 3rd

VAL 1 0 2

MEU 0 2 0

FranceFrance

AwayMeudon3-3-29th in the standingsWWWWW

28%Valence win · 21% in regulationVAL Overtime or shootout · 17%OT / SO 17% 72%Meudon win · 62% in regulationMEU

Chance to win · 21% and 62% in regulation

Best tip of the gameBest tip Winner (incl. OT) Lost

Meudon 1.70

Confidence54%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%

Full game

1X2LostMeudonodds up 2.05Confidence 55%
Over/UnderWonU7.5Confidence 67%
HandicapWonValence +2.5Confidence 61%
Best tip of the game: Winner (incl. OT)LostMeudon1.70Confidence 54%
Double chanceLostMeudon or draw1.45Confidence 66%
Draw no betLostMeudonConfidence 62%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 83%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostMeudonConfidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5Confidence 57%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 2 games; an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; a fallback pick in an evenly matched game.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Valence 23

Meudon

Final 3–2

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 5

Draw after 60 minDraw 17% Decided in regulation

MEU to winTo win 72% VAL won

Score details

Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min3–24%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period1–09%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd29%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 2-3
By period 0-2, 0-0, 2-1
Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 2-4 (4%), 3-4 (3%)

Last five games

Valence 1-4-0

Win, 6–5 at Neuilly Sur Marne, after a shootout, Oct 10.
Loss, 3–5 against Morzine-Avoriaz, Oct 3.
Loss, 1–7 at Mont Blanc, Sep 26.
Loss, 3–9 against Villard, Sep 27, 2025.
Loss, 2–6 against Chambery, Oct 23, 2024.

Meudon 5-0-0

Win, 4–2 against Morzine-Avoriaz, Oct 10.
Win, 3–2 at Cholet, after a shootout, Oct 3.
Win, 11–1 at Orleans, Sep 26.
Win, 4–1 against Villard, Mar 18.
Win, 1–0 at Villard, Mar 15.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (VAL)	2.46	2.46	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.60	4.60	No change
1X2: 2 (MEU)	2.11	2.11	No change
Over/Under line	6.5	6.5	No change
Handicap VAL	+1.5	+1.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

D1 standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Nantes	8	6	1	1	19	1.188	28	14	+14
2	Lyon	8	6	2	0	17	1.063	33	23	+10
3	Dunkerque Corsaires	8	5	0	3	16	1.000	35	20	+15
4	Neuilly Sur Marne	7	5	1	1	15	1.071	29	24	+5
5	Valence	7	5	1	1	15	1.071	26	18	+8
6	Epinal	8	5	2	1	15	.938	23	15	+8
7	Caen	7	4	1	2	13	.929	24	16	+8
8	Chambery	6	4	2	0	10	.833	21	16	+5
9	Meudon	8	3	3	2	10	.625	21	25	−4
10	Tours	7	3	3	1	10	.714	18	30	−12
11	Mont Blanc	7	3	2	2	9	.643	23	24	−1
12	Villard	8	3	5	0	9	.563	18	27	−9
13	Morzine-Avoriaz	8	3	5	0	7	.438	22	32	−10
14	Strasbourg	8	3	5	0	7	.438	15	26	−11
15	Cholet	6	1	2	3	5	.417	14	19	−5
16	Valenciennes	7	0	7	0	0	.000	11	32	−21

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Play Out

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Valence host Meudon in the D1 on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.