Valence vs Villard prediction
Chance to win · 26% and 54% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2LostVillard2.25Confidence 55%
- Over/UnderWonU6.5Confidence 70%
- HandicapWonValence +1.51.34Confidence 63%
- Best tip of the game: Winner (incl. OT)LostVillard1.80Confidence 57%
- Double chanceLostVillard or draw1.50Confidence 71%
- Draw no betLostVillardConfidence 66%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostVillardConfidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5Confidence 76%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 4 games; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; a fallback pick in an evenly matched game; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Valence 2–3
Villard Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min4–15%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–11st period2–017%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-1, 1-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 2-3 (5%), 1-2 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonValence
Villard
Head-to-head
Valence 0–1
Villard - Sep 27, 2025: Valence 3, Villard 9.
Last five games
Valence
2-2-1 - Overtime loss, 2–3 at Mont Blanc, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: Mont Blanc 1.98, Valence 2.70.
- Win, 3–2 against Meudon, Oct 17. Odds: Valence 2.46, Meudon 2.11.
- Win, 6–5 at Neuilly Sur Marne, after a shootout, Oct 10.
- Loss, 3–5 against Morzine-Avoriaz, Oct 3.
- Loss, 1–7 at Mont Blanc, Sep 26.
Villard
3-2-0 - Win, 4–1 against Meudon, Oct 24. Odds: Villard 2.25, Meudon 2.40.
- Loss, 0–4 against Gap, Oct 20. Odds: Villard 7.00, Gap 1.28.
- Win, 3–2 at Morzine-Avoriaz, Oct 17. Odds: Morzine-Avoriaz 1.87, Villard 2.93.
- Win, 4–3 against Cholet, Oct 10.
- Loss, 1–2 at Strasbourg, Oct 3.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 5th vs 12th in the D1 standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (VAL) | 2.30 | 2.30 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.30 | 4.25 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (VIL) | 2.30 | 2.30 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap VAL | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
D1 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nantes |
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 1.188 | 28 | 14 | +14 |
| 2 |  Lyon |
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 1.063 | 33 | 23 | +10 |
| 3 |  Dunkerque Corsaires |
8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 1.000 | 35 | 20 | +15 |
| 4 |  Neuilly Sur Marne |
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 1.071 | 29 | 24 | +5 |
| 5 | Valence |
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 1.071 | 26 | 18 | +8 |
| 6 |  Epinal |
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | .938 | 23 | 15 | +8 |
| 7 |  Caen |
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | .929 | 24 | 16 | +8 |
| 8 |  Chambery |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | .833 | 21 | 16 | +5 |
| 9 |  Meudon |
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | .625 | 21 | 25 | −4 |
| 10 |  Tours |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | .714 | 18 | 30 | −12 |
| 11 |  Mont Blanc |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | .643 | 23 | 24 | −1 |
| 12 | Villard |
8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 9 | .563 | 18 | 27 | −9 |
| 13 |  Morzine-Avoriaz |
8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 7 | .438 | 22 | 32 | −10 |
| 14 |  Strasbourg |
8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 7 | .438 | 15 | 26 | −11 |
| 15 |  Cholet |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | .417 | 14 | 19 | −5 |
| 16 |  Valenciennes |
7 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 11 | 32 | −21 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Valence host Villard in the D1 on Tuesday, October 27, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.