Valenciennes vs Lyon Prediction & Picks

D1 Saturday, October 17, 2026Sat · Oct 17 Round 3

HomeValenciennes0-7-016th in the standingsLLWLL

23 FT Puck drop 12:40 ET 2.462.11

1st 2nd 3rd

VAL 1 0 1

LYO 1 0 2

FranceFrance

AwayLyon6-2-02nd in the standingsWLWLL

50%Valenciennes win · 40% in regulationVAL Overtime or shootout · 20%OT / SO 20% 50%Lyon win · 40% in regulationLYO

Chance to win · 40% and 40% in regulation

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Won

U7.5 1.62

Confidence65%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 59%

Full game

1X2LostValenciennesodds up 2.42Confidence 51%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU7.51.62Confidence 65%
HandicapWonLyon +1.5Confidence 64%
Winner (incl. OT)LostValenciennesodds up 1.92Confidence 51%
Double chanceLostValenciennes or drawodds up 1.50Confidence 59%
Draw no betLostValenciennesConfidence 51%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 84%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostValenciennesodds up 2.65Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.47Confidence 57%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 2 games.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Valenciennes 32

Lyon

Final 2–3

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 5

Draw after 60 minDraw 20% Decided in regulation

VAL to winTo win 50% LYO won

Score details

Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min2–33%chance
1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–17%chance
Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals29%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 3-2
By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
Likeliest 3-2 (3%), 4-3 (3%), 2-1 (2%)

Last five games

Valenciennes 1-4-0

Loss, 2–5 at Caen, Oct 10.
Loss, 0–3 against Nantes, Oct 3.
Win, 8–3 at Courbevoie, Sep 26.
Loss, 3–4 against Morzine-Avoriaz, Mar 12.
Loss, 2–5 at Morzine-Avoriaz, Mar 10.

Lyon 2-3-0

Win, 5–2 against Chambery, Oct 10.
Loss, 1–3 at Tours, Oct 3.
Win, 7–2 at Annecy, Sep 26.
Loss, 2–3 against Dunkerque Corsaires, Mar 15.
Loss, 3–4 at Dunkerque Corsaires, Mar 13.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (VAL)	2.45	2.46	Drifted
1X2: X (draw)	5.00	4.60	Shortened
1X2: 2 (LYO)	1.95	2.11	Drifted
Over/Under line	7	7	No change
Handicap VAL	+1.5	+1.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

D1 standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Nantes	8	6	1	1	19	1.188	28	14	+14
2	Lyon	8	6	2	0	17	1.063	33	23	+10
3	Dunkerque Corsaires	8	5	0	3	16	1.000	35	20	+15
4	Neuilly Sur Marne	7	5	1	1	15	1.071	29	24	+5
5	Valence	7	5	1	1	15	1.071	26	18	+8
6	Epinal	8	5	2	1	15	.938	23	15	+8
7	Caen	7	4	1	2	13	.929	24	16	+8
8	Chambery	6	4	2	0	10	.833	21	16	+5
9	Meudon	8	3	3	2	10	.625	21	25	−4
10	Tours	7	3	3	1	10	.714	18	30	−12
11	Mont Blanc	7	3	2	2	9	.643	23	24	−1
12	Villard	8	3	5	0	9	.563	18	27	−9
13	Morzine-Avoriaz	8	3	5	0	7	.438	22	32	−10
14	Strasbourg	8	3	5	0	7	.438	15	26	−11
15	Cholet	6	1	2	3	5	.417	14	19	−5
16	Valenciennes	7	0	7	0	0	.000	11	32	−21

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Play Out

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Valenciennes host Lyon in the D1 on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.