Vallentuna vs Surahammar prediction
Chance to win · 54% and 27% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2WonVallentunaodds down 2.50Confidence 54%
- Over/UnderLostO5.5odds up 1.68Confidence 52%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonVallentuna +1.51.38Confidence 76%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonVallentunaodds down 1.85Confidence 66%
- Double chanceWonVallentuna or drawodds down 1.67Confidence 69%
- Draw no betWonVallentunaodds down 2.00Confidence 61%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.07Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostVallentunaodds down 2.70Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds down 1.25Confidence 76%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Vallentuna 4–2
Surahammar Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–2After 60 min2–14%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period0–017%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 2 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-2
- By period 1-0, 1-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-2 (4%), 5-2 (4%), 4-3 (3%)
Season so far
This seasonVallentuna
Surahammar
Head-to-head
Vallentuna 0–2
Surahammar - Feb 25, 2026: Surahammar 2, Vallentuna 0.
- Oct 15, 2025: Vallentuna 3, Surahammar 4, after overtime.
Last five games
Vallentuna
2-3-0 - Win, 7–4 at Kiruna IF, Nov 1. Odds: Kiruna 2.15, Vallentuna 2.55.
- Win, 3–2 at Kalix, after overtime, Oct 31. Odds: Kalix 1.50, Vallentuna 4.55.
- Loss, 2–5 at Stromsbro IF, Oct 25. Odds: Stromsbro 1.80, Vallentuna 3.20.
- Loss, 2–4 against Sundsvall, Oct 23. Odds: Vallentuna 5.40, Sundsvall 1.40.
- Loss, 2–6 at Hudiksvall, Oct 9. Odds: Hudiksvall 1.25, Vallentuna 7.00.
Surahammar
4-1-0 - Loss, 1–5 against Sollentuna, Nov 4. Odds: Surahammar 1.70, Sollentuna 3.50.
- Win, 2–1 at Arlanda, Oct 28. Odds: Arlanda 4.73, Surahammar 1.49.
- Win, 2–1 against Borlange, after overtime, Oct 23. Odds: Surahammar 2.70, Borlange 2.05.
- Win, 3–2 against Norrtalje, Oct 18. Odds: Surahammar 1.75, Norrtalje 3.30.
- Win, 4–0 at Stromsbro IF, Oct 16. Odds: Stromsbro 1.68, Surahammar 3.87.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period1-0
- 10:12 Goal Vallentuna: Svennas F. assists: Sundell F., Engholm J. 1-0
3rd period1-1
- 01:42 Goal Surahammar: Stark A. assists: Lilja A., Semjonovs R. 1-1
- 06:11 Goal Vallentuna: Kardevall M. assists: Segh D., Skarp A. 2-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 4 days off for Vallentuna, 1 for Surahammar.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Surahammar.
- 15th vs 7th in the HockeyEttan Norra standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (VAL) | 2.57 | 2.50 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.10 | 4.15 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (SUR) | 2.15 | 2.20 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap VAL | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
HockeyEttan Norra standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hudiksvall |
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 1.300 | 62 | 13 | +49 |
| 2 |  Sundsvall |
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 1.000 | 45 | 27 | +18 |
| 3 |  Boden |
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 1.000 | 47 | 35 | +12 |
| 4 |  Ornskoldsvik |
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 1.050 | 37 | 28 | +9 |
| 5 |  Pitea |
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 1.000 | 37 | 29 | +8 |
| 6 |  Kalix |
12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | .833 | 36 | 28 | +8 |
| 7 | Surahammar |
11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 18 | .818 | 22 | 23 | −1 |
| 8 |  Lindloven |
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17 | .944 | 26 | 18 | +8 |
| 9 |  Vasby |
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17 | .944 | 31 | 28 | +3 |
| 10 |  Kiruna IF |
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 17 | .708 | 33 | 34 | −1 |
| 11 |  Jarfalla |
11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 17 | .773 | 36 | 39 | −3 |
| 12 |  Stromsbro IF |
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | .833 | 20 | 23 | −3 |
| 13 |  Asploven |
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 15 | .682 | 25 | 33 | −8 |
| 14 |  Borlange |
12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 14 | .583 | 28 | 31 | −3 |
| 15 | Vallentuna |
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 13 | .650 | 35 | 36 | −1 |
| 16 |  Sollentuna |
10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 10 | .500 | 26 | 44 | −18 |
| 17 |  Norrtalje |
11 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 7 | .318 | 24 | 40 | −16 |
| 18 |  Enkoping |
10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 6 | .300 | 23 | 41 | −18 |
| 19 |  Arlanda |
11 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 3 | .136 | 15 | 58 | −43 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Vallentuna host Surahammar in the HockeyEttan Norra on Friday, November 6, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.