Valpellice vs Kaltern prediction
Chance to win · 14% and 72% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 71%Full game
- Best tip of the game: 1X2WonKalternodds down 1.28Confidence 72%
- Over/UnderLostU71.68Confidence 69%
- HandicapWonValpellice +2.5odds up 1.82Confidence 53%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonKalternodds down 1.16Confidence 81%
- Double chanceWonKaltern or drawodds down 1.07Confidence 85%
- Draw no betWonKalternConfidence 83%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonKalternodds down 1.73Confidence 53%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.53Confidence 57%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–4After 60 min5–74%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period0–312%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 6 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-4
- By period 0-2, 1-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 2-4 (4%), 1-3 (4%), 2-3 (3%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Dec 30, 2025: Kaltern 6, Valpellice 1.
- Dec 4, 2025: Valpellice 4, Kaltern 5.
- Mar 6, 2025: Kaltern 9, Valpellice 1.
- Mar 4, 2025: Valpellice 3, Kaltern 10.
- Mar 1, 2025: Kaltern 3, Valpellice 0.
Last five games
- Overtime loss, 0–3 at Feltre, after overtime, Oct 22.
- Loss, 2–4 at Pustertal Junior, Oct 17.
- Win, 7–0 against Feltre, Oct 15.
- Win, 4–2 against Valdifiemme, Oct 10.
- Win, 3–0 at Feltre, Oct 3.
- Win, 7–0 at Pergine, Oct 10.
- Win, 3–0 against Fassa, Oct 3.
- Win, 6–3 against Varese, Oct 1.
- Win, 6–1 at Eppan, Sep 26.
- Win, 8–0 against Pustertal Junior, Sep 19.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-3
- 06:49 Goal Kaltern: Rajamaki T. assists: Massar F., Fink K. 0-1
- 18:19 Goal PPG Kaltern: Andergassen R. assists: Alanne J., Rajamaki T. 0-2
- 19:05 Goal Kaltern: Alanne J. assists: Andergassen R. 0-3
2nd period2-1
- 01:16 Goal Kaltern: Felderer R. assists: Selva M., Siiki O. 0-4
- 09:20 Goal PPG Valpellice: Majul H. 1-4
- 19:33 Goal Valpellice: Long C. assists: Pozzi M., Borno M. 2-4
3rd period3-3
- 03:36 Goal Kaltern: Selva M. assists: Andergassen R., Alanne J. 2-5
- 04:45 Goal Valpellice: Pozzi M. assists: Semrad D. 3-5
- 05:03 Goal Valpellice: Majul H. assists: Long C. 4-5
- 07:55 Goal PPG Valpellice: Majul H. assists: Pozzi M., Long C. 5-5
- 18:17 Goal Kaltern: Fink K. assists: Oberhuber M., Rajamaki T. 5-6
- 19:13 Goal SHG Kaltern: Fink K. assists: Soelva M., Andergassen R. 5-7
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 7-game winning streak for Kaltern coming into this game.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Kaltern.
- 8.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
- 7th vs 2nd in the IHL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (VAL) | 9.50 | 9.50 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 6.10 | 6.10 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (KAL) | 1.20 | 1.20 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap VAL | +2.5 | +2.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
IHL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 1.444 | 40 | 17 | +23 | |
| 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 1.333 | 47 | 20 | +27 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 1.000 | 34 | 20 | +14 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15 | .833 | 37 | 34 | +3 | |
| 5 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14 | .700 | 27 | 32 | −5 | |
| 6 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12 | .667 | 38 | 32 | +6 | |
| 7 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 9 | .500 | 28 | 37 | −9 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 8 | .500 | 17 | 24 | −7 | |
| 9 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 8 | .444 | 19 | 32 | −13 | |
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 7 | .438 | 17 | 36 | −19 | |
| 11 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 6 | .333 | 23 | 43 | −20 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Valpellice host Kaltern in the IHL on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.