Vancouver Canucks vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction
Vancouver Canucks 2–, Toronto Maple Leafs 4
FT
Puck drop 19:00 ET
1X2 odds up 3.801X2 odds down 1.70
Rogers Arena (Vancouver, BC) · USARogers Arena (Vancouver, BC)
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
VAN
1
0
1
TOR
1
2
1
38%Vancouver win · 29% in regulationVAN
Overtime or shootout · 21%OT / SO 21%
62%Toronto win · 50% in regulationTOR
Chance to win · 29% and 50% in regulation
Merilainen L.Surprise startSV 87.3% · GAA 4.00 · 2-6-2
Stolarz A.StartedSV 89.4% · GAA 2.80 · 7-3-0
Best tip of the gameBest tip
Double chance
Won
Maple Leafs or draw
odds down 1.34
Confidence71%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2WonMaple Leafsodds down 1.95Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU7.51.44Confidence 69%
- HandicapLostCanucks +1.5odds up 1.55Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonMaple Leafsodds down 1.60Confidence 63%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonMaple Leafs or drawodds down 1.34Confidence 71%
- Draw no betWonMaple Leafsodds down 1.56Confidence 65%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.06Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostMaple Leafsodds down 2.43Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.62Confidence 58%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Canucks 2–3
Maple Leafs
Total goalsTotal
5
Actual 6
Draw after 60 minDraw
21%
Decided in regulation
Toronto to winTo win
62%
TOR won
Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min2–43%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period1–18%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · all three31%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 2-3 (3%), 3-4 (3%), 1-2 (2%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
Vancouver Canucks
Toronto Maple Leafs
Vancouver Canucks
Toronto Maple Leafs
Season recordVancouver Canucks 3-11-1Toronto Maple Leafs 7-6-2
Home / road splitVancouver Canucks 1-5-0Toronto Maple Leafs 3-3-1
StreakVancouver Canucks L1Toronto Maple Leafs L2
RestVancouver Canucks 1 dayToronto Maple Leafs 2 days
Goals forVancouver Canucks 3.0Toronto Maple Leafs 3.7
Goals againstVancouver Canucks 4.5Toronto Maple Leafs 3.4
In the standingsVancouver Canucks 8thToronto Maple Leafs 7th
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gameVancouver Canucks −1.9Toronto Maple Leafs +0.6
Goals forVancouver Canucks 2.4Toronto Maple Leafs 4.2
Goals againstVancouver Canucks 4.3Toronto Maple Leafs 3.6
Shots on goalVancouver Canucks 20.3Toronto Maple Leafs 27.7
Shots againstVancouver Canucks 32.7Toronto Maple Leafs 28.7
Shooting %Vancouver Canucks 11.8%Toronto Maple Leafs 15.2%
Save %Vancouver Canucks 87.2%Toronto Maple Leafs 88.5%
Power-play %Vancouver Canucks 16.7%Toronto Maple Leafs 29.5%
Penalty kill %Vancouver Canucks 73.7%Toronto Maple Leafs 94.0%
Faceoff %Vancouver Canucks 45.1%Toronto Maple Leafs 52.0%
Penalty minutesVancouver Canucks 8.6Toronto Maple Leafs 12.3
HitsVancouver Canucks 23.3Toronto Maple Leafs 20.1
Blocked shotsVancouver Canucks 11.5Toronto Maple Leafs 7.7
Per game · VAN at home, TOR away
Goal differential per gameVancouver Canucks −1.5Toronto Maple Leafs +0.2
Goals forVancouver Canucks 2.9Toronto Maple Leafs 4.2
Goals againstVancouver Canucks 4.4Toronto Maple Leafs 4.0
Shots on goalVancouver Canucks 19.2Toronto Maple Leafs 23.0
Shots againstVancouver Canucks 31.3Toronto Maple Leafs 34.2
Shooting %Vancouver Canucks 15.1%Toronto Maple Leafs 18.3%
Save %Vancouver Canucks 86.9%Toronto Maple Leafs 89.2%
Power-play %Vancouver Canucks 17.1%Toronto Maple Leafs 28.9%
Penalty kill %Vancouver Canucks 80.4%Toronto Maple Leafs 86.2%
Faceoff %Vancouver Canucks 49.7%Toronto Maple Leafs 50.0%
Penalty minutesVancouver Canucks 13.5Toronto Maple Leafs 14.4
HitsVancouver Canucks 23.9Toronto Maple Leafs 21.5
Blocked shotsVancouver Canucks 13.6Toronto Maple Leafs 9.9
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Canucks 2–2
Maple Leafs
Goals a gameGoals
4.0
VAN 1.8 · TOR 2.3
Over 6.5 goalsOver 6.5
0 of 4
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
1 of 4
1 in a shootout
- Jan 31, 2026: Vancouver Canucks 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3, after a shootout.
- Jan 10, 2026: Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Vancouver Canucks 0.
- Feb 8, 2025: Vancouver Canucks 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 1.
- Jan 11, 2025: Toronto Maple Leafs 0, Vancouver Canucks 3.
Last five games
Canucks
1-4-0 - Loss, 2–3 at San Jose Sharks, Oct 29. Odds: Sharks 1.93, Canucks 3.17.
- Win, 6–5 at Anaheim Ducks, after overtime, Oct 27. Odds: Ducks 1.62, Canucks 4.00.
- Loss, 2–4 against Minnesota Wild, Oct 25. Odds: Canucks 3.65, Wild 1.72.
- Loss, 2–5 against Detroit Red Wings, Oct 22. Odds: Canucks 3.35, Red Wings 1.86.
- Loss, 3–6 against Carolina Hurricanes, Oct 20. Odds: Canucks 5.00, Hurricanes 1.48.
Maple Leafs
3-2-0 - Loss, 4–5 at Seattle Kraken, Oct 28. Odds: Kraken 2.75, Maple Leafs 2.10.
- Loss, 2–5 at Calgary Flames, Oct 26. Odds: Flames 2.85, Maple Leafs 2.05.
- Win, 7–2 at Edmonton Oilers, Oct 24. Odds: Oilers 1.96, Maple Leafs 3.00.
- Win, 5–4 against New York Rangers, Oct 22. Odds: Maple Leafs 2.45, Rangers 2.30.
- Win, 6–2 at Columbus Blue Jackets, Oct 20. Odds: Blue Jackets 1.91, Maple Leafs 3.05.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 01:23 Goal Toronto Maple Leafs: Nylander W. assists: Paul N., McCabe J. 0-1
- 06:38 2 min Toronto Maple Leafs: Stecher T. Tripping
- 10:02 2 min Toronto Maple Leafs: Duhaime B. Tripping
- 10:30 Goal PPG Vancouver Canucks: Boeser B. assists: Hronek F., Lekkerimaki J. 1-1
- 11:01 2 min Vancouver Canucks: O'Connor D. Hooking
- 11:53 2 min Vancouver Canucks: Oleksiak J. Tripping
2nd period0-2
- 03:47 Goal Toronto Maple Leafs: Matthews A. assists: Raddysh D., Roslovic J. 1-2
- 12:34 Goal Toronto Maple Leafs: MacEwen Z. assists: Rielly M., Blueger T. 1-3
- 14:23 2 min Toronto Maple Leafs: Nylander W. Hooking
3rd period1-1
- 09:27 Goal Vancouver Canucks: Sasson M. assists: Gallagher B. 2-3
- 10:01 2 min Toronto Maple Leafs: Rielly M. Tripping
- 18:24 Goal ENG Toronto Maple Leafs: Blueger T. assists: Nylander W., Stolarz A. 2-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Surprise in goal: Merilainen L. started for Vancouver Canucks, not Lankinen K..
- 1-5-0 at home for Vancouver Canucks this season.
- The total moved up from 5.5 to 6.5 since it was first published.
- Goal differential gap of 2.5 per game — Vancouver Canucks −1.9, Toronto Maple Leafs +0.6 over their recent games.
- Power play vs penalty kill: 29.5% on the power play for Toronto Maple Leafs, 73.7% on the penalty kill for Vancouver Canucks.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (VAN) | 3.60 | 3.80 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.50 | 4.50 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (TOR) | 1.76 | 1.70 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 6.5 | Line raised |
| Handicap VAN | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NHL standings
Regular Season · Pacific Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Edmonton Oilers |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 29 | .763 | 78 | 56 | +22 |
| 2 |  Vegas Golden Knights |
19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 26 | .684 | 64 | 51 | +13 |
| 3 |  Anaheim Ducks |
18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 21 | .583 | 69 | 66 | +3 |
| 4 |  Seattle Kraken |
16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 19 | .594 | 57 | 57 | 0 |
| 5 |  Calgary Flames |
18 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 17 | .472 | 46 | 63 | −17 |
| 6 |  San Jose Sharks |
20 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 17 | .425 | 51 | 71 | −20 |
| 7 |  Los Angeles Kings |
16 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 12 | .375 | 45 | 55 | −10 |
| 8 | Vancouver Canucks |
20 | 3 | 16 | 1 | 7 | .175 | 56 | 90 | −34 |
Regular Season · Atlantic Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boston Bruins |
18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 27 | .750 | 68 | 41 | +27 |
| 2 |  Montreal Canadiens |
18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 26 | .722 | 62 | 55 | +7 |
| 3 |  Tampa Bay Lightning |
17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 24 | .706 | 63 | 53 | +10 |
| 4 |  Ottawa Senators |
19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 60 | 57 | +3 |
| 5 |  Florida Panthers |
19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .579 | 60 | 56 | +4 |
| 6 |  Buffalo Sabres |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 19 | .559 | 50 | 57 | −7 |
| 7 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
20 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 18 | .450 | 67 | 70 | −3 |
| 8 |  Detroit Red Wings |
19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 17 | .447 | 51 | 59 | −8 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Vancouver Canucks host Toronto Maple Leafs in the NHL on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.