Vasby vs Norrtalje prediction
Chance to win · 69% and 15% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 71%Full game
- 1X2WonVasbyodds down 1.60Confidence 70%
- Over/UnderLostU7.5odds down 1.35Confidence 72%
- HandicapLostVasby -1.5odds down 1.91Confidence 63%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonVasby1.29Confidence 80%
- Double chanceWonVasby or drawodds down 1.24Confidence 84%
- Best tip of the game: Draw no betWonVasbyodds down 1.30Confidence 81%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.06Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostVasbyodds up 1.99Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.72Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Vasby 4–1
Norrtalje Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min5–46%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–211%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · all three29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (6%), 5-2 (5%), 4-2 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonVasby
Norrtalje
Head-to-head
Vasby 1–1
Norrtalje - Feb 11, 2026: Norrtalje 0, Vasby 3.
- Nov 19, 2025: Vasby 1, Norrtalje 2.
Last five games
Vasby
4-1-0 - Loss, 2–7 at Hudiksvall, Oct 16. Odds: Hudiksvall 1.34, Vasby 6.23.
- Win, 2–0 against Kalix, Oct 11.
- Win, 7–2 against Kiruna IF, Oct 10.
- Win, 5–2 against Lindloven, Oct 4.
- Win, 2–1 against Surahammar, after a shootout, Oct 2.
Norrtalje
0-5-0 - Loss, 1–2 against Lindloven, Oct 21. Odds: Norrtalje 5.10, Lindloven 1.44.
- Loss, 2–3 at Surahammar, Oct 18. Odds: Surahammar 1.75, Norrtalje 3.30.
- Loss, 2–4 at Pitea, Oct 11.
- Loss, 1–4 at Ornskoldsvik, Oct 10. Odds: Ornskoldsvik 1.52, Norrtalje 3.85.
- Loss, 2–5 against Sundsvall, Oct 4.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-2
- 16:21 Goal Norrtalje: Bjorkman D. assists: Chetverikov V. 0-1
- 17:08 Goal Norrtalje: Wiita Adamsson G. assists: Sjolund L., Dufva M. 0-2
- 19:59 Goal Vasby: Hardstam T. assists: Meijer G., Wehmas J. 1-2
2nd period1-2
- 10:24 Goal Norrtalje: Melin G. assists: Sjolund L., Dahlin C. 1-3
- 11:49 Goal Vasby: Wiklund V. assists: Valente J., Eriksson L. 2-3
- 13:18 Goal Norrtalje: Dufva M. assists: Wiita Adamsson G., Hakansson E. 2-4
3rd period3-0
- 04:51 Goal Vasby: Meijer G. assists: Eriksson L., Hardstam T. 3-4
- 05:52 Goal Vasby: Meijer G. assists: Hardstam T., Blom A. 4-4
- 08:51 Goal Vasby: Aalto A. assists: Kivela M., Sodergren L. 5-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 6-game losing streak for Norrtalje coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 7 days off for Vasby, 2 for Norrtalje.
- 0-4-1 away for Norrtalje this season.
- 4-1-0 at home for Vasby this season.
- The total moved down from 6.5 to 5.5 since it was first published.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (VAS) | 1.50 | 1.44 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.75 | 4.70 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (NOR) | 4.52 | 4.95 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 5.5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap VAS | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
HockeyEttan Norra standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hudiksvall |
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 1.300 | 62 | 13 | +49 |
| 2 |  Sundsvall |
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 1.000 | 45 | 27 | +18 |
| 3 |  Boden |
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 1.000 | 47 | 35 | +12 |
| 4 |  Ornskoldsvik |
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 1.050 | 37 | 28 | +9 |
| 5 |  Pitea |
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 1.000 | 37 | 29 | +8 |
| 6 |  Kalix |
12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | .833 | 36 | 28 | +8 |
| 7 |  Surahammar |
11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 18 | .818 | 22 | 23 | −1 |
| 8 |  Lindloven |
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17 | .944 | 26 | 18 | +8 |
| 9 | Vasby |
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17 | .944 | 31 | 28 | +3 |
| 10 |  Kiruna IF |
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 17 | .708 | 33 | 34 | −1 |
| 11 |  Jarfalla |
11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 17 | .773 | 36 | 39 | −3 |
| 12 |  Stromsbro IF |
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | .833 | 20 | 23 | −3 |
| 13 |  Asploven |
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 15 | .682 | 25 | 33 | −8 |
| 14 |  Borlange |
12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 14 | .583 | 28 | 31 | −3 |
| 15 |  Vallentuna |
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 13 | .650 | 35 | 36 | −1 |
| 16 |  Sollentuna |
10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 10 | .500 | 26 | 44 | −18 |
| 17 | Norrtalje |
11 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 7 | .318 | 24 | 40 | −16 |
| 18 |  Enkoping |
10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 6 | .300 | 23 | 41 | −18 |
| 19 |  Arlanda |
11 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 3 | .136 | 15 | 58 | −43 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Vasby host Norrtalje in the HockeyEttan Norra on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.