Vasteras vs Södertälje prediction
Chance to win · 29% and 46% in regulation
Oschgan B.StartedSV 89.5% · GAA 3.00 · 3-5-2
Harenstam L.StartedSV 92.3% · GAA 2.20 · 7-2-1All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2LostSodertaljeodds up 2.32Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.32Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonVasteras +1.5odds down 1.31Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostSodertaljeodds up 1.72Confidence 56%
- Double chanceLostSodertalje or drawodds up 1.45Confidence 65%
- Draw no betLostSodertaljeodds up 1.80Confidence 57%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.12Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonDrawodds down 2.37Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU1.5odds down 1.69Confidence 58%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 21% since they opened; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; the odds drifted 11% since they opened; the odds drifted 8% since they opened; the odds drifted 20% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Vasteras 1–2
Sodertalje Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–2After 60 min4–14%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period1–124%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 3rd30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-2
- By period 0-0, 0-1, 1-1
- Likeliest 1-2 (4%), 2-3 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formVasteras
Södertälje
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Vasteras 4–1
Sodertalje - Sep 23, 2026: Vasteras 0, Södertälje 4.
- Jan 21, 2026: Södertälje 3, Vasteras 4.
- Jan 5, 2026: Vasteras 2, Södertälje 1.
- Oct 29, 2025: Vasteras 5, Södertälje 4, after overtime.
- Oct 1, 2025: Södertälje 1, Vasteras 2, after a shootout.
Last five games
Vasteras
3-0-2 - Win, 2–1 against Kalmar, after overtime, Oct 30. Odds: Vasteras 3.00, Kalmar 1.96.
- Overtime loss, 0–1 at Almtuna, after a shootout, Oct 28. Odds: Almtuna 2.30, Vasteras 2.45.
- Win, 4–3 at Ostersund, after overtime, Oct 23. Odds: Ostersund 2.01, Vasteras 2.85.
- Win, 3–0 at Vimmerby, Oct 21. Odds: Vimmerby 2.40, Vasteras 2.35.
- Overtime loss, 5–6 at AIK, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: AIK 1.42, Vasteras 5.63.
Sodertalje
4-1-0 - Win, 1–0 at Visby/Roma, Oct 30. Odds: Visby/Roma 6.00, Sodertalje 1.34.
- Win, 3–2 at Mora, Oct 28. Odds: Mora 2.15, Sodertalje 2.75.
- Loss, 1–3 at Nybro, Oct 23. Odds: Nybro 3.50, Sodertalje 1.76.
- Win, 3–0 against BIK Karlskoga, Oct 21. Odds: Sodertalje 1.66, Karlskoga 3.80.
- Win, 5–2 against Nybro, Oct 16. Odds: Sodertalje 1.70, Nybro 3.86.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 06:03 Goal SHG Vasteras: Lundgren N. assists: Johansson F., Arvedson A. 1-0
- 11:18 Goal PPG Södertälje: Olsson G. assists: Loimaranta V., Laavainen R. 1-1
2nd period1-0
- 16:01 Goal PPG Vasteras: Keilin T. assists: Edvardsen S. A., Falk S. 2-1
3rd period2-0
- 09:13 Goal Vasteras: Myllari A. assists: Birgersson O., Johansson F. 3-1
- 19:10 Goal Vasteras: Bertals M. assists: Edvardsen S. A., Lundgren N. 4-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Vasteras dropped from 2.37 to 1.83 since they were first published.
- In goal: Oschgan B. for Vasteras (3-5-2 in the last 10 starts), Harenstam L. for Södertälje (7-2-1 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 1.1 per game — Vasteras +0.2, Södertälje +1.3 over their recent games.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Vasteras.
- −1.9 goals away — Södertälje averaged 4.0 at home and 2.1 away this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (VAS) | 2.55 | 2.55 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.00 | 4.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (SOD) | 2.25 | 2.25 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap VAS | +1.5 | −0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Hockey Allsvenskan standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AIK |
17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 40 | 1.176 | 65 | 44 | +21 |
| 2 |  Leksand |
17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 39 | 1.147 | 73 | 40 | +33 |
| 3 |  Kalmar |
17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 1.000 | 57 | 45 | +12 |
| 4 |  Modo |
17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 33 | .971 | 49 | 39 | +10 |
| 5 | Sodertalje |
17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 31 | .912 | 50 | 39 | +11 |
| 6 |  Oskarshamn |
18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 29 | .806 | 69 | 61 | +8 |
| 7 |  Mora |
17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 24 | .706 | 48 | 41 | +7 |
| 8 |  BIK Karlskoga |
17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .676 | 43 | 53 | −10 |
| 9 |  Almtuna |
17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 23 | .676 | 44 | 55 | −11 |
| 10 | Vasteras |
17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 22 | .647 | 44 | 46 | −2 |
| 11 |  Ostersund |
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | .618 | 46 | 55 | −9 |
| 12 |  Vimmerby |
16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 13 | .406 | 43 | 61 | −18 |
| 13 |  Nybro |
17 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 13 | .382 | 33 | 54 | −21 |
| 14 |  Visby/Roma |
17 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 12 | .353 | 36 | 67 | −31 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Vasteras host Södertälje in the Hockey Allsvenskan on Sunday, November 1, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.