Vastervik vs Nykoping prediction
Chance to win · 72% and 13% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 72%Full game
- 1X2WonVastervikodds down 1.49Confidence 72%
- Over/UnderWonO4.51.33Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonVastervik -1.5odds down 1.78Confidence 65%
- Best tip of the game: Winner (incl. OT)WonVastervikodds down 1.31Confidence 81%
- Double chanceWonVastervik or drawodds down 1.17Confidence 86%
- Draw no betWonVastervikodds down 1.23Confidence 84%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.09Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostVastervikodds down 2.03Confidence 52%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.74Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Vastervik 4–1
Nykoping Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min9–46%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–112%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 6 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 2-1, 0-0
- Likeliest 4-1 (6%), 5-2 (5%), 4-2 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonVastervik
Nykoping
Head-to-head
Vastervik 2–0
Nykoping - Feb 22, 2026: Vastervik 4, Nykoping 0.
- Nov 2, 2025: Nykoping 2, Vastervik 3.
Last five games
Vastervik
3-2-0 - Win, 6–1 at Morrums GoIS, Oct 16. Odds: Morrums GoIS 2.33, Vastervik 2.39.
- Loss, 4–7 at Mariestad, Oct 11.
- Win, 5–4 against Troja/Ljungby, after a shootout, Oct 7.
- Win, 4–1 at Huddinge, Oct 4.
- Loss, 0–3 against Karlskrona, Oct 2.
Nykoping
1-3-1 - Loss, 0–5 against Huddinge, Oct 14. Odds: Nykoping 2.97, Huddinge 2.04.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 against Karlskrona, after overtime, Oct 10.
- Loss, 1–4 at Boro Vetlanda HC, Oct 7.
- Win, 2–1 against Tyringe, Oct 2.
- Loss, 1–7 at Mjolby, Sep 30.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 04:49 Goal Nykoping: Isiguzo P. assists: Olsson-Trkulja D., Aho Schjolin S. 0-1
- 09:08 Goal Vastervik: Aman L. assists: Svensson W., Johannesson H. 1-1
2nd period5-1
- 00:36 Goal Nykoping: Isiguzo P. assists: Aho Schjolin S., Axbom R. 1-2
- 07:24 Goal Vastervik: Rothsten H. assists: Lundman S., Backman A. 2-2
- 10:48 Goal Vastervik: Wolf N. assists: Tenemyr J., Flygt L. 3-2
- 13:16 Goal Vastervik: Tenemyr J. assists: Lundman S., Wolf N. 4-2
- 15:54 Goal Vastervik: Wolf N. assists: Tenemyr J., Lundman S. 5-2
- 17:14 Goal PPG Vastervik: Lundman S. assists: Tenemyr J., Dervall-Svensson E. 6-2
3rd period3-2
- 02:23 Goal Vastervik: Wolf N. assists: Lundman S. 7-2
- 04:17 Goal Vastervik: Kjellen S. assists: Sirkka J. 8-2
- 09:12 Goal Nykoping: Mantynen T. 8-3
- 16:43 Goal Nykoping: Risberg J. assists: Arvidsson A., Eriksson K. 8-4
- 19:36 Goal Vastervik: Torvfelt E. assists: Kjellen S. 9-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Nykoping coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 3 days off for Nykoping, 1 for Vastervik.
- 10th vs 19th in the HockeyEttan Sodra standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (VAS) | 1.53 | 1.50 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.55 | 4.60 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (NYK) | 4.40 | 4.55 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap VAS | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
HockeyEttan Sodra standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boras |
12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 1.042 | 53 | 25 | +28 |
| 2 |  Tingsryd |
11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 1.136 | 49 | 27 | +22 |
| 3 |  Mariestad |
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 1.150 | 51 | 28 | +23 |
| 4 |  Karlskrona |
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 1.150 | 34 | 16 | +18 |
| 5 |  Vita Hasten |
10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 1.100 | 34 | 20 | +14 |
| 6 |  Dalen |
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 1.000 | 34 | 23 | +11 |
| 7 |  Boro Vetlanda HC |
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19 | .864 | 34 | 33 | +1 |
| 8 |  Halmstad |
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 18 | .900 | 33 | 27 | +6 |
| 9 |  Tranas |
11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 17 | .773 | 34 | 36 | −2 |
| 10 | Vastervik |
11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 16 | .727 | 41 | 43 | −2 |
| 11 |  Huddinge |
11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | .682 | 27 | 33 | −6 |
| 12 |  Tyringe |
11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 14 | .636 | 36 | 34 | +2 |
| 13 |  Hanvikens |
11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 14 | .636 | 31 | 36 | −5 |
| 14 |  Kungalvs |
11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 14 | .636 | 33 | 42 | −9 |
| 15 |  Mjolby |
10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 13 | .650 | 33 | 32 | +1 |
| 16 |  Troja/Ljungby |
11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 10 | .455 | 30 | 47 | −17 |
| 17 |  Morrums GoIS |
11 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 9 | .409 | 23 | 41 | −18 |
| 18 |  Grastorps |
11 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 9 | .409 | 25 | 47 | −22 |
| 19 | Nykoping |
11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 9 | .409 | 15 | 43 | −28 |
| 20 |  Grums |
10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 6 | .300 | 24 | 41 | −17 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Vastervik host Nykoping in the HockeyEttan Sodra on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.