Vaxjo vs Luleå Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Won

U6.5 1.30

Confidence70%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%

Full game

1X2WonVaxjoodds up 2.02Confidence 51%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.30Confidence 70%
HandicapWonLulea +1.51.44Confidence 68%
Winner (incl. OT)WonVaxjoodds up 1.61Confidence 51%
Double chanceWonVaxjo or drawodds up 1.34Confidence 65%
Draw no betWonVaxjoodds up 1.56Confidence 51%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.13Confidence 84%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonDraw2.55Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds down 1.22Confidence 79%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Vaxjo 32

Lulea

Final 2–1

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 3

Draw after 60 minDraw 22% Decided in regulation

VAX to winTo win 51% VAX won

Score details

Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min2–14%chance
1st period correct scoreWon0–01st period0–022%chance
Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 2 goals29%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 3-2
By period 0-0, 1-1, 2-1
Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 2-1 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record4-5-14-4-2

Home / road split3-2-02-2-1

StreakW1W1

Rest4 days4 days

Goals for2.92.6

Goals against3.43.0

In the standings12th7th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game−0.2−0.3

Goals for2.62.6

Goals against2.82.9

Shots on goal24.520.5

Shots against24.225.3

Shooting %10.6%12.7%

Save %89.3%88.5%

Power-play %16.7%22.2%

Penalty kill %80.0%87.9%

Faceoff %47.9%47.9%

Penalty minutes7.16.6

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Vaxjo 23

Lulea

Luleå won three of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 4.8 VAX 2.0 · LUL 2.8

Over 5.0 goalsOver 5.0 1 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in overtime

Feb 19, 2026: Vaxjo 2, Luleå 1.
Dec 18, 2025: Vaxjo 1, Luleå 3.
Dec 4, 2025: Luleå 2, Vaxjo 3.
Oct 11, 2025: Luleå 5, Vaxjo 2.
Mar 28, 2025: Luleå 3, Vaxjo 2, after overtime.

Last five games

Vaxjo 1-3-1

Win, 3–2 at Brynas, Oct 17. Odds: Brynas 1.80, Vaxjo 3.05.
Loss, 1–2 against Skellefteå, Oct 15. Odds: Vaxjo 2.90, Skelleftea 2.16.
Overtime loss, 1–2 at Pardubice, after overtime, Oct 13. Odds: Pardubice 3.74, Vaxjo 1.66.
Loss, 2–4 at Orebro, Oct 10. Odds: Orebro 2.32, Vaxjo 2.60.
Loss, 0–3 against Linkoping, Oct 8.

Lulea 2-1-2

Win, 5–2 against HV 71, Oct 17. Odds: Lulea 1.78, HV71 3.10.
Overtime loss, 1–2 at Farjestad, after a shootout, Oct 15. Odds: Farjestad 1.71, Lulea 4.08.
Overtime loss, 2–3 against Timrå, after overtime, Oct 10. Odds: Luleå 1.77, Timrå 3.90.
Loss, 2–3 against Malmo, Oct 8.
Win, 4–1 at Orebro, Oct 3.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-0

No goals or penalties.

2nd period1-0

04:35 2 min Luleå: Brome M. Slashing
12:20 Goal Vaxjo: Rasmussen D. assists: Aho S., Elvenes L. 1-0
15:48 2 min Luleå: Tardif B. Hooking

3rd period1-1

01:31 Goal Vaxjo: Suomi E. assists: Lowe K., Cehlarik P. 2-0
08:58 2 min Vaxjo: Karlsson O. Slashing
14:42 Goal Luleå: Nurmi M. assists: Levtchi A., Koppanen J. 2-1

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

In goal: Ahman A. for Vaxjo (3-6-1 in the last 10 starts), Ward M. for Luleå (3-6-1 in the last 10 starts).
3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Luleå.
−1.2 goals away — Luleå averaged 3.2 at home and 2.0 away this season.
1-3-1 in the last five for Vaxjo.
4.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (VAX)	1.96	1.96	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.50	4.50	No change
1X2: 2 (LUL)	3.10	3.10	No change
Over/Under line	5	5	No change
Handicap VAX	−0.5	−0.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

SHL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Farjestad	14	13	0	1	39	1.393	58	17	+41
2	Frolunda	16	11	5	0	31	.969	55	39	+16
3	Skelleftea	13	9	2	2	28	1.077	47	28	+19
4	Malmo	13	7	3	3	23	.885	42	31	+11
5	Rogle	14	8	6	0	22	.786	37	33	+4
6	Orebro	13	6	5	2	20	.769	30	39	−9
7	Lulea	13	5	5	3	18	.692	33	35	−2
8	Timra	13	7	6	0	18	.692	25	28	−3
9	Djurgarden	14	6	6	2	17	.607	30	39	−9
10	IF Bjorkloven	13	6	7	0	17	.654	26	41	−15
11	Brynas	13	5	7	1	15	.577	38	36	+2
12	Vaxjo	14	5	8	1	15	.536	33	47	−14
13	Linkoping	14	4	9	1	12	.429	27	51	−24
14	HV 71	13	3	7	3	10	.385	31	48	−17

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Play Out

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Vaxjo vs Luleå prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details