Vaxjo vs Skellefteå Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Won

U6.5 1.36

Confidence69%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%

Full game

1X2WonSkellefteaodds down 2.27Confidence 51%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU6.5odds up 1.36Confidence 69%
HandicapWonVaxjo +1.5odds up 1.37Confidence 61%
Winner (incl. OT)WonSkellefteaodds down 1.80Confidence 60%
Double chanceWonSkelleftea or drawodds down 1.41Confidence 66%
Draw no betWonSkellefteaodds down 1.75Confidence 62%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.11Confidence 85%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonSkellefteaodds down 2.70Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU2.51.22Confidence 77%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; the odds drifted 3% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Vaxjo 23

Skelleftea

Final 1–2

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 3

Draw after 60 minDraw 20% Decided in regulation

SKE to winTo win 61% SKE won

Score details

Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min1–24%chance
1st period correct scoreWon0–11st period0–118%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · all three30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 2-3
By period 0-1, 1-0, 1-2
Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 1-2 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record3-4-15-2-1

Home / road split3-1-01-1-1

StreakL3W2

Rest1 day1 day

Goals for3.13.5

Goals against3.82.6

In the standings12th3rd

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game−0.2+0.7

Goals for3.03.4

Goals against3.22.7

Shots on goal24.831.5

Shots against24.922.1

Shooting %12.1%10.8%

Save %88.0%88.7%

Power-play %27.6%21.4%

Penalty kill %81.5%86.1%

Faceoff %48.0%50.6%

Penalty minutes7.57.2

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Vaxjo 14

Skelleftea

Skellefteå won four of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 5.6 VAX 1.8 · SKE 3.8

Over 5.5 goalsOver 5.5 2 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 0 of 5 All decided in regulation

Mar 5, 2026: Vaxjo 4, Skellefteå 1.
Jan 10, 2026: Skellefteå 6, Vaxjo 3.
Dec 6, 2025: Skellefteå 4, Vaxjo 0.
Oct 4, 2025: Vaxjo 2, Skellefteå 5.
Mar 6, 2025: Vaxjo 0, Skellefteå 3.

Last five games

Vaxjo 2-2-1

Overtime loss, 1–2 at Pardubice, after overtime, Oct 13. Odds: Pardubice 3.74, Vaxjo 1.66.
Loss, 2–4 at Orebro, Oct 10. Odds: Orebro 2.32, Vaxjo 2.60.
Loss, 0–3 against Linkoping, Oct 8.
Win, 4–0 against Servette, Oct 6.
Win, 3–2 against Rögle, Oct 3.

Skelleftea 3-2-0

Win, 4–2 against Salzburg, Oct 13. Odds: Skelleftea 1.29, Salzburg 7.43.
Win, 3–2 against Rögle, Oct 10. Odds: Skellefteå 1.87, Rögle 3.40.
Loss, 1–5 against Farjestad, Oct 8.
Loss, 2–4 at Plzen, Oct 6.
Win, 4–1 at Timrå, Oct 3.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-1

06:50 Goal Skellefteå: Johnson A. assists: Stjernborg V., Fasching H. 0-1
14:16 2 min Vaxjo: Henriksson K. High sticking

2nd period1-0

00:37 2 min Skellefteå: Lindberg O. Cross checking
04:30 2 min Skellefteå: Lindberg V. Tripping
12:24 Goal Vaxjo: Nadeau O. assists: Rafferty B., Strandberg S. 1-1
18:54 2 min Vaxjo: Elvenes L. Slashing

3rd period0-1

01:01 2 min Vaxjo: Suomi E. Interference
01:27 2 min Skellefteå: Fasching H. Interference
05:11 Goal Skellefteå: Lindberg V. assists: Lindholm P. 1-2

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

3-game losing streak for Vaxjo coming into this game.
Odds moved: the odds on Skellefteå dropped from 1.85 to 1.69 since they were first published.
In goal: Ahman A. for Vaxjo (3-6-1 in the last 10 starts), Mann S. for Skellefteå (8-2-0 in the last 10 starts).
4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Skellefteå.
5.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (VAX)	2.90	2.90	No change
1X2: X (draw)	3.94	3.94	No change
1X2: 2 (SKE)	2.16	2.16	No change
Over/Under line	5.5	5.5	No change
Handicap VAX	+0.5	+0.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

SHL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Farjestad	14	13	0	1	39	1.393	58	17	+41
2	Frolunda	16	11	5	0	31	.969	55	39	+16
3	Skelleftea	13	9	2	2	28	1.077	47	28	+19
4	Malmo	13	7	3	3	23	.885	42	31	+11
5	Rogle	14	8	6	0	22	.786	37	33	+4
6	Orebro	13	6	5	2	20	.769	30	39	−9
7	Lulea	13	5	5	3	18	.692	33	35	−2
8	Timra	13	7	6	0	18	.692	25	28	−3
9	Djurgarden	14	6	6	2	17	.607	30	39	−9
10	IF Bjorkloven	13	6	7	0	17	.654	26	41	−15
11	Brynas	13	5	7	1	15	.577	38	36	+2
12	Vaxjo	14	5	8	1	15	.536	33	47	−14
13	Linkoping	14	4	9	1	12	.429	27	51	−24
14	HV 71	13	3	7	3	10	.385	31	48	−17

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Play Out

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Vaxjo vs Skellefteå prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details