Vegas Golden Knights vs Utah Mammoth prediction
Chance to win · 48% and 30% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2Golden Knightsodds down 2.25Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderO4.5odds down 1.31Confidence 70%
- HandicapMammoth +1.5odds up 1.40Confidence 65%
- Winner (incl. OT)Golden Knights1.78Confidence 61%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceGolden Knights or drawodds down 1.42Confidence 71%
- Draw no betGolden Knightsodds down 1.75Confidence 63%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)Yesodds up 1.07Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2Golden Knights2.65Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderO1.5odds up 1.71Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct score3–23%chance
- 1st period correct score2–08%chance
- Highest scoring period3rd period31%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (3%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)
Predicted team stats
The brighter bar is the bigger figureShots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Sep 24, 2026: Vegas Golden Knights 5, Utah Mammoth 4, after overtime.
- May 1, 2026: Utah Mammoth 1, Vegas Golden Knights 5.
- Apr 29, 2026: Vegas Golden Knights 5, Utah Mammoth 4, after overtime.
- Apr 27, 2026: Utah Mammoth 4, Vegas Golden Knights 5, after overtime.
- Apr 24, 2026: Utah Mammoth 4, Vegas Golden Knights 2.
Last five games
- Win, 4–1 at Buffalo Sabres, Nov 8. Odds: Sabres 2.45, Golden Knights 2.30.
- Win, 2–1 at Detroit Red Wings, Nov 5. Odds: Red Wings 3.05, Golden Knights 2.01.
- Win, 3–2 at Pittsburgh Penguins, Nov 3. Odds: Penguins 2.20, Golden Knights 2.55.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Boston Bruins, after a shootout, Nov 2. Odds: Bruins 2.45, Golden Knights 2.35.
- Loss, 2–5 against New Jersey Devils, Oct 30. Odds: Golden Knights 2.40, Devils 2.40.
- Loss, 2–4 at Ottawa Senators, Nov 7. Odds: Senators 2.55, Mammoth 2.20.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 at Montreal Canadiens, after overtime, Nov 5. Odds: Canadiens 2.65, Mammoth 2.15.
- Win, 3–2 at Toronto Maple Leafs, Nov 3. Odds: Maple Leafs 2.90, Mammoth 1.96.
- Loss, 3–6 at Philadelphia Flyers, Nov 1. Odds: Flyers 3.13, Mammoth 1.99.
- Win, 4–3 at Pittsburgh Penguins, after overtime, Oct 29. Odds: Penguins 2.85, Mammoth 2.05.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Vegas Golden Knights coming into this game.
- Goal differential gap of 1.0 per game — Vegas Golden Knights 0.0, Utah Mammoth −1.0 over their recent games.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Vegas Golden Knights.
- Save % gap: Vegas Golden Knights 89.6%, Utah Mammoth 85.1% over their recent games.
- 7.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (VGK) | 2.10 | 2.10 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.25 | 4.20 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (UTA) | 2.80 | 2.75 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 6 | 6 | No change |
| Handicap VGK | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NHL standings
Regular Season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 30 | .750 | 65 | 44 | +21 | |
| 2 | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 29 | .763 | 78 | 56 | +22 | |
| 3 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 26 | .684 | 64 | 51 | +13 | |
| 4 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 78 | 59 | +19 | |
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 23 | .639 | 55 | 51 | +4 | |
| 6 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 22 | .647 | 49 | 41 | +8 | |
| 7 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 21 | .583 | 69 | 66 | +3 | |
| 8 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 21 | .583 | 63 | 63 | 0 | |
| 9 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 19 | .594 | 57 | 57 | 0 | |
| 10 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 19 | .500 | 53 | 65 | −12 | |
| 11 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 18 | .500 | 53 | 55 | −2 | |
| 12 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 17 | .472 | 46 | 63 | −17 | |
| 13 | 20 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 17 | .425 | 51 | 71 | −20 | |
| 14 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 12 | .375 | 45 | 55 | −10 | |
| 15 | 18 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 9 | .250 | 39 | 76 | −37 | |
| 16 | 20 | 3 | 16 | 1 | 7 | .175 | 56 | 90 | −34 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Vegas Golden Knights host Utah Mammoth in the NHL on Wednesday, November 11, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.